Metadata and audio features help predict online audio popularity

Predicting Audio Popularity: A Comparative Study of Metadata and Acoustic Features Across Music and Sound Effects

SoundMachine Learning

Summary

Some sounds like music or effects get downloaded and rated a lot, but predicting which ones will be popular is tricky. The authors studied if details about the audio files (metadata) or the actual sound properties (acoustic features) can predict popularity. They found that metadata usually works best for guessing popularity, but the sound itself also holds useful clues. They used computer programs like Random Forests and Neural Networks to make these predictions.

What this means in practice

Authors

Ikram El Hadi, Nihad Elbari, Kawtar Tlemçani, Théo Mariotte, Meysam Shamsi

Abstract

This study addresses the prediction of audio popularity on an online sharing platform by leveraging both metadata and acoustic feature representations. Two distinct categories of audio content are considered: music and sound effects. Popularity is formulated as a supervised classification task based on two target variables: the number of downloads and the average user rating. We conduct a comparative evaluation of multiple machine learning models, including Random Forest, XGBoost, and a Neural Network model. Experiments are performed across different feature sets, including metadata, platform-provided descriptors, and eGeMAPS acoustic features. Results indicate that metadata consistently provide the most informative representation for predicting popularity. Nevertheless, acoustic features alone achieve performance significantly above chance level, demonstrating that intrinsic properties of the audio signal contribute to popularity prediction.