Constructing Executable Analytical Knowledge Representations for Meta-Analysis Synthesis Using an Agentic Harness

2026-08-03Artificial Intelligence

Artificial Intelligence
AI summary

The authors explain that simply having structured evidence is not enough for doing reliable meta-analyses because important decisions about how to handle data must be clearly defined first. They created EAKR, a way to represent all the necessary knowledge so computers can execute meta-analyses properly. They built a system called MetaSynDec that uses large language models along with strict checks to create and validate these knowledge representations. Their tests showed MetaSynDec produced more accurate and consistent analyses compared to directly using language models. This work shows it is possible to improve automated meta-analysis by making the decision logic explicit and verifiable.

meta-analysisstructured evidenceexecutable knowledgemachine-actionable representationlarge language modelsstatistical executionvalidationprovenanceeffect-sizemethodological agreement
Authors
Lingbo Li, Anuradha Mathrani, Teo Susnjak
Abstract
Meta-analysis synthesis highlights a fundamental challenge in knowledge-based scientific analysis: structured evidence does not by itself represent the analytical knowledge required for executable computation. Decisions about evidence assignment, analytical contrasts, outcome and time-point alignment, effect-size formulation, and methodological admissibility must be explicit before statistical execution. Existing automated approaches often embed these decisions in model outputs, generated code, or workflow traces rather than representing them as independently verifiable knowledge. We introduce the Executable Analytical Knowledge Representation (EAKR), a machine-actionable representation of the knowledge required to transform structured evidence into executable meta-analysis. An EAKR represents evidence, relations, numerical inputs, constraints, provenance, and unresolved issues. We operationalise EAKR in MetaSynDec, an agentic harness in which large language models propose structured updates and deterministic services govern schema- and contract-based validation and execution. Across 58 synthesis units, MetaSynDec constructed all EAKRs, with 57 proceeding to statistical execution. Of 56 units with sufficient information to define a reference analysis object, 38 (67.9%) achieved complete object fidelity and 42 (75.0%) exact evidence-set agreement, with a mean Jaccard similarity of 0.909. Generated and published confidence intervals overlapped in 54 of 55 units (98.2%). MetaSynDec outperformed direct LLM generation in reference synthesis-structure agreement (57/58 versus 23/58; p<0.001) and among 23 jointly completed units, exact reference-formulation agreement (23/23 versus 1/23; p<0.001). These findings provide feasibility evidence that EAKR supports formal validation, traceability, statistical execution, and improved methodological agreement relative to direct LLM generation.