wind farm operators

Abstract: Uncertainty bands on wind forecasts help inform reserve sizing and commitments, but often fail to deliver their stated coverage. We apply conformal prediction to native bands to see what it adds and what it costs, comparing six forecasters, from ARIMA to a tabular foundation model, at two wind farms in Great Britain (GB) under operational conditions. We show that calibration repairs empirical marginal coverage with little or no Winkler Score penalty, but this apparent success conceals under-coverage in high winds. Calibrating by forecast wind regime turns marginal coverage into regime-level coverage, cutting day-ahead out-of-band volume in high winds by over 40% relative to pooled calibration while narrowing bands overall.

Abstract: Wind farm power control can help the system maintain balance and avoid blackouts. In Europe, this can be achieved through implicit balancing, where a wind farm adjusts its power setpoint in anticipation of the imbalance price using information published by the Transmission System Operator. Thereby, the wind farm helps restore system balance while also reducing its own imbalance costs resulting from forecast errors. However, implicit balancing is a challenging problem since the settlement price is unknown in advance and can be impacted by the pursued control strategy. Reinforcement learning methods could help to solve this problem, but lack the interpretability needed to be deployed on real wind farms. Therefore, we propose a policy distillation framework using explainable boosting machines (EBMs), a variant of generalized additive models, to obtain a transparent control policy. To increase the value captured by the EBM model, we introduce a value-oriented perspective to policy distillation inspired by research in the field of energy forecasting. Furthermore, we suggest to include expert knowledge during model design, such that the control strategy is also justifiable to stakeholders. Using real data of the Belgian grid and an offshore wind farm, we find that our value-oriented and expert-based controller can reduce imbalance costs by 82%, while outperforming a price threshold controller as well as a policy distillation baseline using decision trees.

Abstract: Existing noise mitigation strategies for wind farms usually consist in reducing turbines power output, without accounting for the wake interactions between them and the noise emission directivity. This leads to over-conservative policies and unexploited wind power. Yet, turbine yaw can simultaneously affect wake interactions and the direction of noise emission, offering an additional degree of freedom for farm-level noise control. We therefore propose Noise Steering, a model-free reinforcement learning (RL) strategy that jointly controls turbine yaw angles and power setpoints to maximise farm power while satisfying a local noise constraint in a defined region. To enable training at a reduced computational cost, a low-fidelity acoustic model is coupled with the steady-state FLORIS simulator. The RL agent effectively learns how to redirect wakes and noise directivity away from the protected region while redistributing power across the farm. On a six-turbine test farm, the policy satisfies the 40 dB noise constraint throughout the full range of turbulent winds, with an average power deficit of only 2% relative to greedy unimpeded control, and up to 7.7% at high wind speeds. In comparison, the industry-standard noise-reduced operation (NRO) baseline here generates an average power loss of 17%. When deployed in the higher-fidelity FAST.Farm simulator, the policy largely retains its performance under steady and turbulent inflow, despite differences in simulation fidelity. These results demonstrate the potential of combining yaw control and power derating through RL to improve the power-noise trade-off in wind farm operation.

Abstract: Bird-strike mitigation at wind farms requires identifying distant birds that span only tens of pixels, so the classifier's input resolution N is a design variable, not a fixed specification. We study it with a factorial design over 14 side lengths N (16 to 224), six architectures, two training and evaluation regimes and 30 random seeds -- 2,520 checkpoints and 5,040 evaluations -- plus latency measured on an NVIDIA Jetson Orin Nano. Four results. (1) The selected N depends on the target: 0.90 is met on validation by ResNet50 at N=112 in an estimated 1.85 ms (0.8980 on test) and 0.95 by DINOv2-L at N=144 in 12.70 ms; changing the model buys more accuracy than raising N (+5.93 versus +2.33 points at N=112). (2) The benefit of lowering N depends on the assumed preprocessing path: N=224 -> 80 saves 13.5% when each individual is decoded from its own file but 46.2% when the detector decodes the 4K frame once; the Pareto set grows from 20 to 23 configurations. (3) Accuracy must be measured on the deployed engine: half precision costs ViT-S/16 alone 4 to 7 points at N>=96 while the CNNs stay within 0.1 points, and with selection held at validation the choice differs at 26 of 176 targets. A broken FP16 engine can run faster than a correct one, undetectable from latency; admitting 14 ViT-S/16 FP32 configurations moves the recommendation over the 0.931-0.938 band and under the 10 ms budget. (4) ViT-L-scale models fit this device, but activations exceed the FP16 range; splitting the graph at transformer-block boundaries confines FP32 to the affected segments, making the deployed DINOv2-L chain 1.85x faster than the single-engine build. We also quantify how the regime-difference sign stabilises with seed count; a sensitivity split removing some forms of group sharing preserves all 14 non-trivial signs at the selection boundary.

Abstract: This paper addresses the wind farm power maximization problem in the presence of wind direction changes. Specifically, a model-free Modified Twin Delayed Deep Deterministic Policy Gradient with Behavior Cloning (MTD3-BC) algorithm is proposed to tackle this task through yaw control under varying wind direction conditions. MTD3-BC is an offline reinforcement learning (RL) algorithm that aims to infer good behavior from only a precollected offline dataset. Additionally, to ensure smooth and moderate yaw adjustments, a new action consistency term is introduced into the policy optimization objective. Unlike online RL methods, MTD3-BC does not require extensive interactions with a wind farm simulator during training, significantly reducing computational costs and training time. A wind tunnel experiment is conducted to validate the effectiveness of the algorithm under varying wind directions. The results demonstrate that MTD3-BC successfully mitigates wake effects, delivering farm-level power gains of approximately 10\% over the baseline greedy strategy and performance on par with a data-calibrated model-based wake-steering benchmark, while requiring no wake model and only a small fraction of the training cost of online RL. To our knowledge, this is the first time an offline RL wind farm control policy has been validated and demonstrated experimentally.