Papers for

urban mobility planners

Papers whose findings have a practical use for this group, as judged from the abstract. Open a paper to read what it means in practice.

Traffic control cuts delays using dynamic lanes and speed limits

Joint Dynamic Lane Reversal and Variable Speed Limit Control: A Graphormer-Based Approach

Abstract: Connected and automated vehicles could allow reassigning lane directions and speed limits on every road frequently, but the benefit hinges on how traffic reroutes, and one-way roads can isolate junctions. We formulate network-wide dynamic lane allocation and directional speed limit control with one-way roads, lane clearing before each reversal, and a navigable graph kept strongly connected at all times. An action-resolution algorithm grounded in graph orientation theory admits a proposal closing a direction only if the network stays strongly connected and otherwise relaxes or reverts it, keeping all junctions mutually reachable within the model, even during clearing. All road controllers share one transformer whose attention, Global Endpoint Relation-Aware Spatio-Temporal Self-Attention (GERASTSA), spans all road-time tokens, biased by the endpoint relations between roads. It is pretrained on action-conditioned traffic forecasting and fine-tuned with per-road proximal policy optimization under a mixed reward that also credits neighboring roads and the network. On a 6 x 6 grid with commuter rush hours, the learned policy makes about two thirds of roads one-way in the peak direction and cuts daily delay by 90% against the initial configuration held fixed and by 85% against a tuned two-way load balancer. Restricted to two-way roads at test time, it gains only about as much as this balancer, whereas its learned speed limits add delay. Pretraining roughly halves the updates needed to surpass the fixed configuration. Of the ablations, only removing the relational bias or the spatial embedding clearly matters, multiplying delay about fivefold.

Mon 26 OctArtificial IntelligenceMachine Learning
The gist
Traffic jams could be reduced if roads changed lane directions and speed limits dynamically, but this is tricky because some road changes can cut off parts of the network. The authors created a method that keeps all intersections connected while changing lanes and speeds, using a special attention-based model to learn good control strategies. On a simulated grid of roads, their approach cut traffic delays by 85-90%, showing how smart traffic control could improve rush hour flow. Some parts of the model, like spatial and relational information, were especially important for success.
Open → 2610.35070v1

Road infrastructure perception advances scene understanding for autonomous driving

Road Infrastructure Perception for Autonomous Driving: Taxonomy, Representations, Tasks, and Challenges

Abstract: Road infrastructure perception is a fundamental component of autonomous driving, as it recovers the structured road elements that define roadway geometry, delimit operational space, and encode traffic regulations. Although individual tasks such as lane detection, drivable-space estimation, traffic-sign recognition, and online map construction have been extensively studied, the field remains fragmented across task definitions, sensing assumptions, output representations, datasets, and evaluation protocols. This survey provides a function-oriented synthesis of road infrastructure perception. We first clarify its scope and organize existing studies into three complementary categories: geometric-structural, functional-spatial, and regulatory-semantic infrastructure. Based on this taxonomy, we review sensing modalities, scene representations, representative methods, benchmarks, and evaluation protocols, emphasizing the field's evolution from image-space recognition toward metric, vectorized, topology-aware, occupancy-based, and rule-grounded scene modeling. We further examine how representation choices affect evaluation and downstream usability, revealing limitations of current benchmarks in relation reasoning, temporal consistency, robustness, and planning-oriented assessment. Finally, we discuss open challenges and future directions toward unified infrastructure representation, open-environment generalization, relation- and rule-aware reasoning, and downstream-oriented evaluation. By connecting tasks, representations, and evaluation under a common functional framework, this survey aims to establish road infrastructure perception as a coherent foundation for map-compatible and behavior-relevant autonomous-driving scene understanding.

Sat 24 OctComputer Vision and Pattern Recognition
The gist
Self-driving cars need to understand road features like lanes, signs, and traffic rules to drive safely. The authors explain that while many tasks related to recognizing these features have been studied, the field is split by different approaches and ways to measure success. They organize these studies into three groups based on the type of road information and review how sensing methods and data models have changed over time. They also point out current issues with testing and suggest directions to improve the accuracy and usefulness of road perception systems for driving decisions. This work helps unify how machines see and understand roads to support safer autonomous driving.
Open → 2610.33758v1

Eco-friendly trip planner cuts travel time and carbon in major cities

An Eco-Friendly Tourism Trip Planner Driven by Z-Number Uncertainty: Evidence from Baku, Dubai, Abu Dhabi, Tashkent, and Istanbul

Abstract: Deployed tourism trip planners ingest travel times and ratings as exact numbers, although routing services return travel times that vary with the hour of departure and a platform rating may rest on a handful of reviews or on tens of thousands. We present an eco-friendly trip planner that represents both quantities as Z-numbers, which pair a fuzzy restriction on a value with a fuzzy reliability on the evidence behind it, and that constructs them directly from routing-service observations at six departure hours and from platform review counts rather than from linguistic elicitation. A hybrid loss combines score, carbon, travel-time, and reliability terms, and an adaptive large neighborhood search returns single-day itineraries with per-leg reliability annotations through a conversational front end. We compare the planner with a crisp-mean baseline under an identical optimizer in Baku, Dubai, Abu Dhabi, Tashkent, and Istanbul, with fifteen points of interest and thirty seeds per city, and we evaluate the selected itineraries on their trip carbon and their total travel time. Pooled over 150 seed-paired runs, the planner lowers trip carbon from 3.24 to 2.61 kg (19.3%, Wilcoxon p = 0.017; city-clustered bootstrap interval 6.4% to 26.7%) and travel time from 123 to 109 minutes per trip (11.5%, p = 2.8e-10; interval 5.0% to 18.2%). The travel-time reductions survive a Holm correction in Baku, Istanbul, and Abu Dhabi, the carbon reduction is significant in Baku and large but uncertain in the dispersed catalogs of Dubai and Abu Dhabi, and neither metric changes in Tashkent. Review counts were measured for Baku and estimated for the other four cities, and the comparison involves a single baseline, so the results establish feasibility and direction rather than a general advantage. Code, routing caches, frozen routing tables, and per-seed results are openly released.

Wed 21 OctArtificial IntelligenceComputational Engineering, Finance, and Science
The gist
Travel times and reviews that tourists see are often uncertain or based on limited data. The authors created a trip planner that uses a special way to handle these uncertainties, called Z-numbers, to make better travel plans that save time and reduce carbon emissions. They tested their planner in five cities and found it generally reduced trip times and carbon footprints compared to a normal planner. This work shows a new way to consider uncertain travel info when planning eco-friendly trips.
Open → 2610.29120v1

State-matched prediction improves uncertainty estimates in recurring conditions

State-Matched Sequence Conformal Prediction

Abstract: Sequential conformal prediction needs to decide which past errors should calibrate uncertainty for the current target. Recency and online error feedback are useful when recent observations remain relevant, but the recent past can be a poor reference when comparable states recur at nonadjacent times, with the recurrence pattern generally unknown. We propose State-Matched Sequence Conformal Prediction (SMSCP), which constructs an explicit one-sided local-linear state from pre-target information, uses state similarity to select a matched reference set of past calibration scores, and then applies the ordinary unweighted conformal order statistic. In contrast to existing approaches, SMSCP uses state similarity to identify calibration observations relevant to the target score quantile. This motivates a theoretical analysis of whether nearby states have comparable target score quantiles under temporal dependence. We establish control of the resulting conformal cutoff and characterize predictive information not captured by the chosen state. Simulations show that state matching is most effective when score-relevant states recur across nonadjacent times, while revealing settings in which its advantage weakens or reverses. Across solar irradiance and bike-demand benchmarks, SMSCP improves interval score over recency, weighted, adaptive, and HopCPT comparators, and achieves coverage closer to the nominal 0.90 level than ResCP on five of six benchmarks.

Wed 14 OctMachine Learning
The gist
Predicting uncertainty in a sequence of data is tricky when the situation repeats but not in order. The authors propose a method called SMSCP that compares the current situation to similar past situations instead of just looking at recent data. This approach helps to pick better examples for estimating how uncertain predictions should be. Tests show SMSCP works better when certain states or conditions repeat after breaks, like in weather or bike-sharing demand. It often gives more accurate and reliable prediction intervals than other common methods.
Open → 2610.19484v1

Neural network speeds up estimating hidden event rates from repeated data

Amortized Variational Inference of Latent Intensities from Replicated Point Patterns

Abstract: Bayesian inference for latent point process intensities often relies on per-dataset sampling or optimization, making repeated inference computationally expensive. We propose a neural-network-based amortized variational framework that learns a reusable inference rule mapping a variable number of replicated point patterns to a distribution over their shared latent intensity. Trained from event times using the point process likelihood, the model learns an amortized inference rule without ground-truth intensity supervision. At test time, it performs inference of the latent distribution in a forward pass. On synthetic data, additional realizations improve intensity recovery and yield narrower credible intervals with broadly stable coverage. Our method is tested on bicycle-sharing data and achieves the highest mean held-out log likelihood among the evaluated methods while requiring substantially less inference time than the Log-Gaussian Cox Process baseline.

Mon 12 OctMachine Learning
The gist
Figuring out the hidden patterns behind events happening over time can be slow when done separately each time. The authors designed a neural network that learns from many examples to quickly estimate these hidden patterns all at once, even when the number of examples changes. This method doesn’t need to know the exact patterns beforehand and works well on both made-up data and real bike-sharing usage records. It speeds up the process compared to older methods while keeping accuracy high.
Open → 2610.16669v1

Vehicle tracking improved by using indirect data from third-party sensors

Beyond Direct Sensing: Harnessing Indirect Observations from Third-Party Sensors in Vehicle Tracking

Abstract: Vehicle tracking is fundamental to applications ranging from urban mobility and public safety to security and defense. Conventional tracking relies on direct access to sensors that provide strong observations such as vehicle identity and location. In practice, however, factors such as ownership, privacy, cost, and operational constraints may limit directly accessible sensors, leaving sparse observations and long tracking gaps. Meanwhile, many additional third-party sensing assets may be present across the environment but remain inaccessible at the raw-data level, preventing their direct integration into the tracking system. In this work, we investigate whether weak, indirect observations with uncertain spatial and temporal cues can complement sparse direct sensing for vehicle tracking. Specifically, we propose GrayTrack, which fuses weak anonymous events with sparse direct observations using a road-constrained particle filter. We build a CARLA-Mininet-WiFi pipeline to evaluate the system under controlled conditions, generating direct observations from accessible cameras and indirect observations from third-party cameras. Our learning-based detector achieves an F1 score of 0.989 for anonymous vehicle passages. Further, incorporating indirect third-party observations reduces trajectory RMSE by 60.1% and catastrophic track loss from 35.8% to 0.3%. These results demonstrate that GrayTrack can effectively exploit weak indirect observations to extend tracking capabilities.

Wed 16 SeptMachine Learning
The gist
Tracking vehicles is important but hard when the usual sensors are hard to access or only give limited information. The authors looked at whether weaker, indirect clues from other sensors could help fill in the gaps when direct data is missing. They created GrayTrack, which combines both strong and weak signals to follow vehicles better. Testing this system showed it greatly improved how accurately vehicles could be tracked and reduced losing track of them. This work shows that even partial or anonymous observations can boost tracking when combined smartly.
Open → 2609.18173v1

Trajectory representation learning improved by closed loop feedback method

REFINE: Trajectory Representation Learning via Closed-Loop Transcription -- Extended Version

Abstract: Trajectory representation learning underpins a wide range of trajectory analytics tasks; however, most existing self-supervised approaches, whether discriminative or generative, adopt an open-loop paradigm, relying on fixed data augmentations or random masking without feedback, which limits their ability to generalize and scale. We propose REFINE, a simple yet effective Representation lEarning Framework vIa closed-loop traNscription rEfinement for trajectory data. Drawing upon feedback control theory, REFINE tightly couples road-network-aware generative reconstruction with feedback-driven contrastive learning, enabling the model to capture fine-grained local movement semantics and global spatio-temporal dependencies without manually designed augmentation views. We further provide a control-theoretic analysis that establishes convergence guarantees for the proposed closed-loop optimization. Extensive experiments on four real-world datasets demonstrate that REFINE consistently outperforms state-of-the-art methods across multiple downstream tasks while remaining computationally efficient and scalable. This paper is an extended version of REFINE: Trajectory Representation Learning via Closed-Loop Transcription, to appear in KDD 2026.

Mon 7 SeptMachine LearningArtificial Intelligence
The gist
Understanding and analyzing movement paths, like how vehicles travel on roads, is important but challenging. The authors propose REFINE, a new approach that improves how these movement paths are learned by using a feedback loop inspired by control theory. This method helps the model better understand both local details and overall patterns without relying on fixed, manual data tweaks. Experiments show REFINE works better than previous methods on real-world movement data while being efficient and scalable.
Open → 2609.07206v1