Papers for
transportation modelers
Papers whose findings have a practical use for this group, as judged from the abstract. Open a paper to read what it means in practice.
Synthetic human mobility data methods compared for urban analysis
Synthetic Human Mobility Data Generation: A Structured Review of Representations, Methods, and Practical Capabilities
Abstract: Human mobility data has become an increasingly important component of urban analytics. Although the range of available mobility data sources has expanded substantially, access remains highly constrained by commercial restrictions, privacy concerns, and institutional barriers. Data protection procedures also often reduce the analytical value of released datasets. Synthetic mobility data has emerged as a promising solution, but existing methods differ substantially in their underlying mechanisms, the information they preserve, the outputs they generate, and the analytical questions they can support. Their comparative strengths and trade-offs remain insufficiently understood for urban analytics. This paper presents a structured review of synthetic human mobility data generation from an urban analytics perspective. We review the literature by methodological family and index it by the mobility outputs each family generates natively and the analytical capabilities those outputs enable. We first provide a taxonomy of synthetic data products, including population and persona representations, activity schedules, trip and tour records, trajectories, and aggregate mobility patterns. We then review the major methodological families, spanning mechanistic models, survey-driven population synthesis, activity- and agent-based simulation, deep generative models, transformer-based mobility language models, and LLM-agentic systems. Building on this synthesis, we introduce a Meaning-Population-Autonomy framework that characterises these methods along three dimensions: behavioural meaning, population grounding and scale, and generation autonomy. We consider these dimensions the principal requirements for downstream urban analytics. Few methods deliver behavioural meaning, population grounding and autonomous generation at once, and fewer still with generation constrained to feasible trajectories.
Multitask reinforcement learning speeds discrete choice model building
Multitask Reinforcement Learning for Assisting Choice Model Specification
Abstract: Discrete choice model specification is a time-consuming task in which modellers often specify and estimate multiple models while balancing goodness-of-fit, parsimony, and behavioural plausibility. We present Delphos, a multitask reinforcement learning framework that learns transferable specification strategies across transport choice datasets. Delphos frames model specification as a sequential decision-making problem in which it applies a sequence of modelling actions and receives feedback from an estimation environment based on model performance and convergence. To transfer modelling decisions across datasets with different sets of variables, Delphos represents utility specifications as sets of modelling terms using a DeepSet-Q architecture, allowing a shared specification policy to learn across multiple datasets. Trained on nine transport choice datasets, Delphos consistently outperforms independently trained single-task agents, indicating that sharing modelling experience improves learning efficiency and helps identify promising sequences of modelling decisions with fewer unsuccessful estimation attempts. When applied without further training to the unseen Swissmetro and Decisions datasets, the same agent identifies competitive specifications in less than 20 minutes on a standard CPU. It achieves a higher log-likelihood per observation than the VNS metaheuristic on Swissmetro and performance comparable to a published MNL specification developed by expert modellers on Decisions. These findings show that accumulating and reusing modelling experience enables Delphos to function as an intelligent assistant for discrete choice model specification. It reduces manual trial-and-error while allowing modellers to retain control over model diagnosis, refinement, and final selection.