traffic management centers

Abstract: We propose a causal machine learning framework to integrate dynamic tolling for mobility, equity, and climate objectives, resolving a long-standing policy trilemma. Using Double Machine Learning, we estimate zone-type-specific treatment effects, showing that commercial zones yield nearly twice the delay reduction of residential zones. Our adaptive quota mechanism expands residential coverage 34-fold while preserving 93% of total delay savings and sustaining high return on investment. The framework delivers climate co-benefits, reducing emissions by 743.5 metric tons of CO2 (valued at 141 USD) via congestion-sensitive pricing under moderate traffic conditions with sensitivity bounds from 557.6 to 929.3 tons. Crucially, we uncover a policy-invariant toll range where performance remains robust across demand scenarios, simplifying implementation. This study reveals critical, previously unidentified insights, such as a policy-invariant toll range, that can significantly simplify real-world implementation. Validated on synthetic data mirroring real-world networks, our methodological advances lay the foundation for future public deployment.

Abstract: Localized roadway incidents can produce congestion well beyond their point of origin, but evaluating these effects with microscopic simulation requires a separate run for each scenario. This paper presents a Spatio-Temporal Graph Convolutional Network (STGCN) for forecasting route-level travel times on a simulated Nashville, Tennessee road network with 1,037 junctions and 1,601 road segments. The model uses directional traffic counts from only 129 signalized intersections, reflecting data commonly available to transportation agencies. By representing these intersections as a graph, the STGCN jointly captures spatial dependence and temporal traffic evolution to learn how localized disruptions propagate through the network. We compare a baseline trained on 80 incident-free simulations with an incident-inclusive model trained with an additional 360 lane-blockage scenarios across 12 locations and three durations. The baseline achieved a relative mean absolute error (MAE) of 9.94%. The incident-inclusive model achieved 9.67% overall, 6.45% during active incidents, and 13.62% at 30 incident locations withheld entirely from training. On disrupted routes, its predictions were within 2.0 minutes of observed travel time on average. For comparison, simulated travel times vary by 7.4%, or 1.3 minutes, across random seeds under identical conditions. Inference requires approximately 53 ms on a single CPU core, demonstrating the potential of the model as an efficient surrogate for transportation resilience screening, incident management, and proactive rerouting.

Abstract: Traffic flow prediction is a core supporting technology for intelligent transportation systems. It uses historical data to infer future traffic dynamics in specific areas, thereby helping to alleviate congestion and improve resource allocation efficiency. Traditional neural networks struggle to break through accuracy limits due to their reliance on singular feature modeling, while large language models (LLMs) suffer from insufficient capture of spatial topological information and mining spatiotemporal correlation. This study proposes a Dynamic Fusion Large Language Model (DF-LLM) for traffic flow prediction. The model incorporates three core components: spatiotemporal embedding module, spatiotemporal fusion module, and LLM backbone. The spatiotemporal embedding module enables synergistic representation of multi-scale spatiotemporal features. The spatiotemporal fusion module integrates spatial topology and dynamic dependencies via graph convolution. The LLM backbone adopts a differentiated parameter adaptation strategy to balance training efficiency and traffic data adaptability. Additionally, it introduces a context aggregation attention module to strengthens global dependencies. More importantly, the LLM backbone takes the residual connections to mitigate the gradient vanishing in deep networks. Experiments show that DF-LLM has achieved better performance by comparing the metrics on all the four datasets.

Abstract: As Vision-Language Models (VLMs) advance toward physical deployment, the focus has remained on action-oriented Embodied AI evaluated on subject-centric consumer video. This overlooks a pervasive class of Physical AI: Infrastructure AI, which relies on fixed cameras for open-loop insights like safety monitoring and operational logging. We introduce VANTAGE-Bench, a benchmark measuring this "Infrastructure AI Gap." It spans three operational domains (Logistics, Transportation, and Smart Spaces), unifies image and video evaluation across semantic, spatial, temporal, and spatio-temporal capabilities, and moves beyond multiple-choice to eight task formulations including dense captioning and spatio-temporal grounding. It adds a single-pass trajectory protocol for Single Object Tracking and, to our knowledge, the first such evaluation on fixed-camera infrastructure video, scored against specialist trackers. Annotation spans three regimes over 3,346 media assets: 3,342 video-task annotations, 4,281 image-grounding annotations, and 27,404 detection boxes. Evaluating 17 models zero-shot, we find the shortfall relative to consumer-centric benchmarks is concentrated, not general. Event verification, referring expressions, and temporal localization fall roughly 9 to 24 points at every model scale, while video question answering stays within 5.3 points of VideoMME and 2D spatial pointing shows no shortfall against BLINK. The temporal pillar is weakest in absolute terms: no system exceeds 55.7 mIoU on temporal localization or 37.3 SODA_c on dense video captioning. On tracking, frontier models come within roughly 5 points of specialist trackers over short horizons but separate as the horizon extends. Open-weight models lead 2D object localization outright, so neither scale nor proprietary access explains the pattern. Data, evaluation harness, and leaderboard: https://vantage-bench.org/