Papers for
social media platform engineers
Papers whose findings have a practical use for this group, as judged from the abstract. Open a paper to read what it means in practice.
Recommendations that reduce political polarization by adapting to user tolerance
Reversing Polarization through Tolerance-Aware Recommendation and Adaptive Diversification
Abstract: Recommender systems face a tension between broadening exposure to diverse viewpoints and avoiding interactions that reinforce extreme positions. This tension is especially consequential in already polarized populations. Here we investigate whether recommendation strategies can reverse polarization rather than merely slow its development. Building on the Attraction--Repulsion Model of opinion dynamics, we introduce two complementary design principles: Tolerance-aware recommendation, which seeks to learn each individual's tolerance for disagreement and reduces exposure to viewpoints beyond that tolerance, and adaptive diversification, which broadens exposure for agents with more extreme opinions while retaining stronger personalization for moderates. Agent-based experiments show that highly personalized recommendations intensify polarization under polarized initial conditions. Tolerance awareness alone primarily slows polarization, whereas combining it with adaptive diversification can reduce polarization below its initial level and, under suitable conditions, restore consensus. Additional experiments incorporating persistent extreme influencers and a spiral-of-silence mechanism show that the combined strategy can mitigate polarization under social pressure and selective participation. To examine whether these findings extend beyond predefined opinion-update rules, we repeat the experiments on a simulated social platform populated by 100 LLM-driven agents prompted to move toward opinions similar to their own and away from those that differ substantially. Across three runs, the combined strategy is again the only recommendation policy tested that reverses polarization in every run. These findings distinguish polarization prevention from reversal and identify tolerance-aware, adaptive exposure as a promising recommendation design principle for reconnecting divided populations.
Structural proximity matches complex models for predicting future links
Revisiting Temporal Link Prediction through Structural Proximity
Abstract: Existing temporal link prediction methods typically rely on learned temporal representations to capture evolving interaction patterns. In this paper, we show that a classical structural proximity measure can match or outperform these methods without training or learned temporal sequence modeling. We revisit Personalized PageRank (PPR) on historical interaction graphs, using simple sliding-window retention or exponential time decay. Surprisingly, across 14 datasets, Time-decay PPR ranks first on nine and second on four among the compared methods, including datasets with few repeated edges. To understand this result, we examine the historical paths connecting source nodes to previously unseen destinations. We find that such paths contain useful predictive information, and that PPR outperforms a strong neural baseline on queries where historical structure clearly distinguishes the true destination from negative candidates. These results show that strong performance on current benchmarks does not necessarily require complex temporal models. More fundamentally, they raise the question of how much predictive value learned temporal modeling adds beyond historical structural proximity. Our findings motivate reassessing progress in temporal link prediction with strong classical baselines.
Multimodal AI improves fraud detection in short finance videos
Complementing Text Based Moderation with Multimodal Grounding: Detecting Fraudulent Inducement Behaviors on Short Video Platforms
Abstract: Short video platforms have become a primary channel for black and gray industry operations in internet finance, where inducements such as prompts to like, follow, join private chat groups, or click external links frequently steer users toward fraud. Because such videos are short, dynamic, and often convey intent through fleeting visual cues rather than stable text, a moderation system must guarantee detection recall and localize the offending segment so reviewers inspect only the relevant clip. Existing OCR+LLM pipelines transcribe on-screen text frame by frame and classify the transcript, but exploit only textual information. Many inducements are conveyed through visual cues OCR cannot observe, and keyframe-based localization cannot recover precise temporal boundaries. We explore OCR+MLLM, which augments the text pipeline with a Multimodal Large Language Model, and compare three routes: OCR+LLM, OCR+MLLM, and a large zero-shot MLLM, along detection, latency, token consumption, and deployment complexity. OCR preserves the text signal that guarantees recall, while the MLLM jointly performs OCR-grounded discrimination and temporal grounding, localizing both textual and non-textual inducements. We construct a dataset of 2,419 internet finance short videos (66.49 hours) with 3,194 annotated events across four categories, and study reward design for RL-based grounding under class imbalance. We report two findings: auxiliary reward terms are exploited through reward hacking, and stronger localization rewards degrade class-balanced detection. We therefore design a recall-weighted F2 localization reward with class-balanced resampling. Experiments show OCR+MLLM localizes better than the keyframe OCR+LLM baseline (mIoU 26.52 vs. 14.49) and detects non-textual inducements that text-only pipelines miss, while maintaining 67.0 percent macro recall.
Image quality assessment improved with local and global visual analysis
VGIQA: Fine-Grained Image Quality Assessment with Visual Grounding Rewards
Abstract: Image quality assessment (IQA) aims to evaluate the perceptual visual quality of images. Recently, the rapid development of Multi-modal Large Language Models (MLLMs) has significantly advanced the IQA field. By integrating chain-of-thought (CoT) reasoning and reinforcement learning (RL), these models can generate more accurate and interpretable results while relying on less training data. However, existing MLLM-based methods are predominantly constrained to holistic, image-level evaluations and lack the capability to produce fine-grained, localized assessments, which substantially limits their practical applicability. To address this limitation, we propose VGIQA, a novel IQA model endowed with both local and global quality assessment capabilities. VGIQA is trained via a two-stage paradigm comprising a cold-start phase followed by reinforcement learning. Driven by carefully designed local quality assessment reward functions, our model exhibits exceptional image quality understanding on VGSR-2K, a new dataset we propose specifically for local quality evaluation, significantly outperforming existing open-source MLLMs such as Qwen2.5-VL-72B-Instruct and Qwen3-VL-32B-Instruct. Furthermore, the local quality evaluation task can effectively enhance the model's performance on the degradation perception task.
Topic-level fairness improves fairness in retrieval based text generation
Topic-Level Fairness in Retrieval-Augmented Generation
Abstract: Group fairness in retrieval-augmented generation (RAG) systems is typically evaluated using metrics aggregated across queries. However, such metrics can conceal topic-level disparities: a system may favor women on questions about human rights and men on questions about actors and filmmakers, appearing nearly neutral overall even though neither topic is fair. We therefore study topic-level fairness, which requires group fairness to hold within each topic rather than only in aggregate. To reduce the topic-level disparity, we adapt the reranker separately for each topic with a Bradley-Terry objective under direct supervision from the generated output: preference pairs built from the generator's own output carry the direction that topic requires. With preference pairs built from RoMQA alone, the adaptation reduces the mean absolute per-topic disparity by 51% on RoMQA and by 40% on TREC Fair Ranking while retaining accuracy. No baseline reaches the reduction, even when modified to treat each topic separately rather than apply one correction to every topic. Neither does our method with one reranker for all topics, which follows the direction that most topics require.
Cheap models match advanced AI in content moderation accuracy and cost
Two Uncertainties Are Not One: Disagreement versus Decision-Risk in Cheap Structured Content Moderation
Abstract: Content moderation compresses a graded, contested human judgment into a binary act (leave up / take down) over billions of items, at a scale where running a frontier LLM on every post is uneconomical. A new class of frozen "System One" models returns typed, calibrated decisions instead of text at ~USD 0.000025 per call and ~100 ms. We run the first independent audit of one such model on 142,658 human-labeled comments, and benchmark it against 14 frontier reasoning models (the GPT-5.x, Claude, Gemini 3, and Grok families) on a shared probe set. Two findings stand out. First, the cheap model is accuracy-competitive: its zero-shot classification AUROC (0.83) is not statistically separable (paired bootstrap, n=56; a failure to reject parity, not proof of equivalence) from 13 of the 14 frontier systems while costing 1-3 orders of magnitude less, and it is no worse calibrated than several of them. Second, "confidence" conflates two uncertainties that come apart: human disagreement (where annotators split on satire and coded language) and decision risk (where the automatic action is costly-wrong). Under an asymmetric moderation loss these call for opposite escalation signals, so no single confidence number serves both. Because the model prices extra questions at nearly zero, decomposing the judgment into parallel sub-questions and reading their spread recovers a human-disagreement signal that the model's native confidence misses -- but this remedy is specific: it helps the weakest, disagreement-blind models and only when the decomposition aligns with the sources of disagreement; a specialist toxicity model and the strongest LLMs do not need it, and the effect is distribution-sensitive. We will release the instrument, the cached runs, and the analysis.
Fast and scalable methods improve influence estimation on social networks
Fast and Scalable Influence Estimation in the Independent Cascade Model: a unified framework
Abstract: Computing diffusion processes on networks is fundamental to applications including influence maximization, epidemic modeling, information propagation, and diffusion inference. The Independent Cascade (IC) model is one of the most widely used models of progressive diffusion, yet exact computation of its activation probabilities is #P-hard, while Monte Carlo simulation becomes costly when accurate estimates are required repeatedly. Despite its central role, analytical approximation of the IC diffusion function has received comparatively little systematic attention relative to the extensive literature on influence-maximization algorithms. We present a comprehensive study of analytical approximations for the IC model. We review a wide range of existing approaches and unify them through a common framework based on temporal representation, retained propagation information, and aggregation rule. This perspective exposes connections between previously distinct approximation families and motivates several new methods. We further conduct, to our knowledge, the first large-scale cross-family comparison of analytical IC approximations for node-level marginal activation probabilities. Our benchmark spans real-world and synthetic networks with systematically varied topology, seed-set size, edge-probability model, and diffusion strength. The proposed second-order dynamic message-passing method achieves the lowest pooled median error and the lowest dataset- or graph-family-level median error on every network considered. The results reveal systematic differences between approximation families, identify regimes in which higher-order corrections are most beneficial, and establish analytical IC approximation as a rich accuracy-efficiency design space rather than a collection of isolated methods.
Detecting implied arguments in political tweets faces disagreement challenges
Interpretive Variation and Discourse Structure in Detecting Enthymemes in Controversial Political Discourse
Abstract: Enthymemes are arguments that leave a premise or conclusion unstated, and they are a common persuasion device on social media. Because readers must fill in the missing part themselves, they often disagree on whether a text contains one. This paper asks how to detect and evaluate enthymemes when such disagreement is part of the task. On tweets about vaccination and immigration, each labeled by five annotators, F1 stalls around 0.67 for every fine-tuned model we train, regardless of data size, added features or label type. We therefore ask how these models should be evaluated instead, and propose metrics that compare predictions with the full distribution of annotator votes, together with a model that predicts this distribution directly and captures disagreement better at no cost in F1. We then ask what role discourse structure plays. Models learn to rely on explicit argumentative structure: they reliably recognize tweets without an enthymeme but rarely commit on tweets that contain one. Both the models and a discourse parser miss arguments whose links are left implicit and must be inferred by the reader. Finally, we discuss what these blind spots mean for content moderation systems trained on majority labels.
Social network model reveals causes of echo chambers and community splits
An Information-Theoretic Model for the Evolution of a Social Network
Abstract: Echo chambers and filter bubbles provide a framework to view communication and connection in a social network age. Such systems are characterised by isolated communities regurgitating information which reinforces prior beliefs. Theoretical analysis of echo chambers is suited for a network science approach to understand the mechanics of information influences between users. Here, we propose an evolutionary network model that extends the Quoter Model, rewiring edges according to cross-entropy between text-generating nodes. Parameters characterise binary reinforcement vs exploration node intents, determining whether a node will seek high or low novelty neighbours, measured by cross-entropy. Through an empirical simulation study, we observe emergent model attributes. Specifically, we compare to a Watts--Strogatz model, highlighting parameter regions of high clustering and hyper-exploration. Further, we identify a quality of disjoint communities akin to rudimentary echo chamber structures. These findings underscore user behaviours that drive echo chamber entrenchment, contextualising future social network analysis.
Influencer content distortion mainly comes from audience replies on platforms
Where Does Rhetorical Distortion Live? A Multi-Platform, Multi-Language Measurement of Influencer Content
Abstract: Much of the manipulation in online influencer content is not false but disproportionate: an accurate fact is framed as historic, urgent, or catastrophic. Fact-checking and clickbait detection are not designed to capture such framing, and little is known about where it originates: with the creator, the topic, the platform, or the audience that replies. We operationalize rhetorical distortion through five literature-grounded dimensions (Significance Inflation, Anxiety Manufacturing, Novelty Claims, Loaded Language, and Temporal Distortion) and measure it with a three-tier pipeline in which bilingual lexical rules propose candidates, negative filters cancel known false-positive contexts, and an LLM verifies or relabels the candidates. Applying the pipeline to 13,060 posts from 330 accounts on six platforms (RSS/newsletters, YouTube, Bluesky, Reddit, Weibo, and X/Twitter), we find that platform is far more strongly associated with account-level distortion than content category (Kruskal-Wallis $\varepsilon^2=0.33$; two-way ANOVA $η_p^2=0.49$ for platform vs. $0.09$ for category). X/Twitter scores highest (DI 7.74 vs. 0.78 for RSS). Classifying tweets and their replies separately shows where this comes from: the reply layer readers see under a post (its top-5 replies) carries 3.5x the distortion of the tweet it answers (7.65 vs. 2.17, $p<10^{-6}$, 36 of 43 accounts), driven by Loaded Language. At equal text length the gap shrinks to 1.5x but remains significant, and creator tweets alone are statistically indistinguishable from YouTube and Bluesky. Two independent human annotators confirm the reply gap, and the platform ordering and the reply gap replicate with GPT-4o as a second classifier. On threaded platforms, measured distortion thus lives largely in the audience layer, which motivates measurement that separates creator and reply text.
Discourse profiles improve detection of climate misinformation online
Modeling Discourse Profiles in Climate Misinformation Discourse
Abstract: Prior work on climate misinformation detection typically classifies individual comments or claims using text alone. This framing overlooks a key property of online climate discourse: misinformation is often produced, reinforced, and sustained through recurring rhetorical patterns that reappear across comments and threads. Using a large-scale TikTok climate discourse dataset, we construct discourse profiles by clustering climate-related comments into recurring rhetorical patterns. We then incorporate these profiles into fine-grained climate misinformation classifiers using a late-fusion architecture. Under video-disjoint evaluation across three training seeds, discourse-profile-aware models significantly improve macro-F1 over text-only baselines for bag-of-words, TF-IDF, and MPNet representations. RoBERTa-large exhibits a positive mean improvement but substantially greater variability, and the difference is not statistically significant. Beyond classification, our results show discourse profiles shape misinformation reception and propagation. Discourse-profile-conditioned language model agents exhibit misinformation acceptance patterns aligned with profile-level misinformation prevalence in ClimateDisc, and the relationship between misinformation prevalence and engagement persistence differs across dominant discourse profiles.
Large language models accurately detect covid19 fake news on twitter
A Large Language Model LLM Approach to COVID-19 Fake News Detection
Abstract: Text classification is a widely studied problem in information retrieval and data mining, with applications ranging from healthcare diagnosis to the detection of COVID-19-related fake news. Social media platforms generate vast volumes of user-generated text, and the rapid spread of misinformation during the pandemic has made automated fake news detection an important task. In this study, we apply pretrained transformer-based transfer learning (TL) models and large language models (LLMs), namely BERT-base, ALBERT-base, XLM-RoBERTa-base, DistilBERT, GPT-2, XLNet, and T5, to the COVID-19 English Tweets dataset, which contains 6,420 tweets labeled as real or fake. To further improve performance, we apply six late-fusion optimization techniques: weighted fusion, particle swarm optimization (PSO) fusion, the Nelder-Mead algorithm, Powell's method, the Broyden-Fletcher-Goldfarb-Shanno (BFGS) algorithm, and trust-region constrained optimization. Models are evaluated using accuracy, precision, recall, and F1-score, and confusion-matrix heatmaps are used to visualize the predictions of each model. GPT-2 achieved the best performance, with an accuracy of 0.9631, precision of 0.9612, recall of 0.9610, and F1-score of 0.9600, while Nelder-Mead fusion achieved the best result among the fusion methods with an accuracy of 0.9610. These results highlight the value of LLMs for COVID-19 fake news detection. We conclude by outlining future directions, including multiclass classification, multilingual datasets, and real-time social media streams.
Language models mistakenly flag you as toxic in online comments
"You" Is Not Toxic: How LLM Labelers Rewrite the Web's Conversation Laws
Abstract: What the Web community believes about toxic conversations, such as that toxicity rises in longer and deeper threads, was measured mostly with Google's Perspective API, which is shutting down; large language models (LLMs) will make the next measurements. We find that LLM labelers mistake second-person address for toxicity, and that this one bias manufactures laws that human labels do not show. On 1.25 million news comments with crowd labels, Claude Haiku flags 12% of the non-toxic comments that contain no "you" and 51% of those with four or more; a single crowd rater flags 6% and 10%. Deeper replies address someone more often, so under Haiku toxicity rises with reply depth (+0.93 percentage points per level), while under the crowd's labels it slightly declines (-0.12). Rewriting "you" in the third person removes two thirds of the false rise; flagging only as many comments as the crowd does not remove it, and showing Haiku the parent comment enlarges it. All seven LLMs we test over-flag "you", and at the crowd's flag rate, without the parent, any false rise of the open ones vanishes at a fixed number of second-person words; Haiku also over-flags "you" on Reddit, Gab and Wikipedia talk pages. Agreement with human labels does not reveal the bias: we prove that a fixed Cohen's kappa leaves a law nearly unconstrained. We therefore certify the law instead of the labeler. Threadsafe uses the labeler's scores to choose which comments human raters label and to predict the others, and corrects the predictions with the human labels; linear laws are estimated without bias whatever the labeler does. In simulated audits its intervals for the laws keep nominal coverage from 250 labels on, where uniform-sample methods such as PPI++ fall short, and at 1,000 to 8,000 labels are 0.75 times as wide as those of design-based supervised learning (DSL); a thousand human labels rule out Haiku's rising law.
Large language models generate political networks with realist exposure errors
Validating LLM-generated political networks with survey-reported partisan exposure
Abstract: Large language models (LLMs) are increasingly used to simulate human behavior in social science research, including decisions, interactions, and social relationships. However, in network formation tasks, existing evaluations often focus on aggregate network properties, while networks with plausible structural properties may still fail to reproduce individuals' social and political environments. Here, we generate LLM-based political networks using personas sampled from the nationally representative ANES 2020--2022 Social Media Study and use respondents' survey-reported partisan exposure as an empirical benchmark for the political environments generated for the corresponding personas. We first characterize the structural properties and political assortativity of the generated networks, and then compare ego-level partisan exposure with the survey. We find that the structure and political assortativity of the generated networks vary across experimental configurations. More importantly, when comparing generated partisan exposure with the survey, some models generate stronger separation between Democratic and Republican egos than reported in the survey, with higher same-party and lower cross-party exposure, while others mainly underestimate Republican exposure across ego groups. Moreover, networks with similar political assortativity can still generate different partisan environments around the same personas, including among networks with plausible structural properties. Finally, generated networks show group-specific errors, under- or overestimating exposure to either Democrats or Republicans for specific social groups. These findings show that evaluating LLM-based social simulations only through aggregate outcomes can hide errors in the local environments through which those outcomes emerge, highlighting the importance of validation at both aggregate and individual levels.
Graph algorithms improve noisy label detection and correction fast
A Label Noise Robust Algorithm for Graph Data using Neighborhood Label Distribution
Abstract: Graph Convolutional Networks (GCNs) have demonstrated exceptional performance on graph-structured data. However, their success heavily relies on the availability of clean labels, an assumption that often fails in real-world scenarios. The learnability of GCNs is intrinsically linked to the neighborhood structure of nodes, making it critical to understand how this structure changes in the presence of label noise. In this work, we investigate how the neighborhood label distribution of a node changes under label noise. We mathematically derive that label noise smooths this distribution, which inherently increases its entropy and severely decreases interclass distinguishability. To address this challenge, we propose Leave-one-out Entropy Node Screening (LENS), an end-to-end framework that identifies noisy nodes by measuring the reduction in neighborhood entropy when a specific node is removed. LENS further incorporates a relabeling mechanism to recover and preserve valuable feature information instead of entirely discarding the identified noisy nodes. Crucially, the end-to-end computational overhead of LENS is remarkably low. Extensive evaluations demonstrate that our algorithm achieves state-of-the-art node classification accuracy while executing an order of magnitude faster than existing noise-robust approaches.
How emotions spread and shape decisions in social networks
How Do Emotions Spread And Affect Decision-Making In Social Networks? An Opinion Dynamics Perspective
Abstract: Emotions affect how we think and perceive information. Motivated by this, we present a novel framework for modeling emotions, and study its impact in social networks. We represent emotions on a circle by utilizing the circumplex model. These emotions spread in a group through the process of emotional contagion, and influence the interpersonal relationships therein. We propose a model to explain the process of emotional contagion, and its effect on the decision-making process, using a Laplacian-based flow. Our key finding in this direction shows that agents with similar emotions reach agreement eventually, exhibiting emotional contagion. Through this, the widely observed behaviors of consensus, polarization, and clustering of opinions follow in complex-weighted networks. Our approach relies on the equitable partitions and spectral properties of Laplacians in complex-weighted networks. Lastly, we validate our findings using synthetic and real-world datasets.
AI agent communities maintain words but lack lasting word meanings
Lexical Persistence Without Semantic Entrenchment in AI Agent Communities
Abstract: AI agent communities sustain lexical persistence, popular terms spread, recur, and achieve broad adoption, but whether they also develop the temporal semantic structure characteristic of human linguistic communities remains open. We compare MoltBook (AI agent community, 8 weeks), PTT (Chinese human BBS, 19 years), and Reddit (English human forum, in matched 8-week windows) using Compass-Aligned Distributional Embeddings (CADE), measuring semantic drift (B1), neighborhood stability (B2), and lag-1 autocorrelation of per-word drift trajectories. Across the platforms, lag-1 autocorrelation forms a memory-horizon continuum. AI agents' result clusters at the low end, while human platforms show longer-range temporal dependence. MoltBook exhibits approximately 2$\times$ the B1 drift and 20-30% lower B2 stability than both human platforms. As a partial control for community age, r/vibecoding (founded 2025-02-08) shows significant ACF in its first 8 weeks ($0.082$, $p<.001$) and over 15 weeks ($0.220$, $p<.001$); MoltBook's ACF remains non-significant ($p = 0.41$), consistent with the gap not reducing to developmental stage alone. We interpret this pattern as evidence that lexical diffusion alone does not guarantee diachronic semantic consolidation. The findings are consistent with a contrast between communities whose semantic trajectories accumulate long-range interaction constraints and communities whose outputs are repeatedly regenerated from largely fixed pretrained distributions.
Multimodal AI tool tracks origins and risks of unsafe memes
MemeTrace: A Multimodal LLM-Based Agent for Safety-Aware Meme Provenance Analysis
Abstract: Online memes are often carriers of unsafe content such as disinformation and propaganda. Their rapid evolution in response to news events and strong dependence on contextual information make it difficult for platforms and moderators to detect and moderate them effectively. Moreover, existing moderation studies typically classify memes as safe or unsafe based on individual images, lacking the ability to perform broader provenance analysis, i.e., where a meme originates, how it spreads, what cultural symbolism it represents, whether it poses potential risks to society, etc. To bridge this gap, we introduce MemeTrace, a multimodal LLM-based agent that automatically traces the provenance and potential risks of emerging memes. We evaluate MemeTrace on Meme100, a dataset of 100 real-world memes, using both human annotation and automatic metrics. The results demonstrate that MemeTrace substantially outperforms the VLM baseline. More importantly, MemeTrace achieves higher accuracy in detecting unsafe memes, especially those involving disinformation and sensitive content, and remains robust under visual perturbations.
Multimodal sarcasm detection improved by focusing on key image and text parts
Focus on What You Need: Global-to-Local Dynamic Attention for Multimodal Sarcasm Detection
Abstract: Multimodal sarcasm detection has attracted increasing attention due to the widespread use of images and text on social media platforms. Existing studies generally treat the semantic or emotional inconsistency between images and text as a key cue for identifying sarcastic expressions. However, images in real-world scenarios often contain multiple visual objects, many of which are irrelevant to sarcasm-related semantics. Such redundant visual information may introduce noise during cross-modal interaction, distracting models from focusing on critical sarcasm cues and potentially leading to inaccurate predictions. To address this issue, we propose GLDA (Global-to-Local Dynamic Attention), a multimodal sarcasm detection framework that models cross-modal interactions from a global-to-local perspective. Specifically, GLDA first employs a global multimodal fusion module to capture high-level semantic interactions between visual and textual modalities, enabling the model to identify coarse-grained cross-modal inconsistencies. To further reduce the influence of irrelevant objects, GLDA introduces a local gated cross-modal attention mechanism that dynamically filters redundant visual and textual features and refines multimodal representations at a finer granularity. In addition, a multi-branch learning objective is designed to jointly optimize unimodal and multimodal representations. Experimental results demonstrate that GLDA effectively improves sarcasm detection performance and achieves competitive results compared with existing approaches. The code will be available at https://anonymous.4open.science/r/GLDA-DBE6.
Dynamic graph node classifiers improve recognizing label shifters
Chasing Label Shifters: A Change-Aware Framework for Dynamic Graph Node Classification
Abstract: Entities in real-world systems often evolve over time: users shift between information consumption patterns, researchers migrate between fields, and firms transition between financial risk states. When such systems are modeled as dynamic graphs, these transitions correspond to nodes whose class labels change between consecutive snapshots, which we call shifters. Correctly classifying shifters is often more consequential than classifying stable nodes with persistent labels, as detecting such transitions enables timely intervention in high-stakes settings. Yet, we identify a systematic failure mode across all major dynamic graph neural network architectures: shifter performance consistently lags behind stable nodes, with errors concentrated on the old label. Our structural analysis traces this failure to embedding inertia: neighborhood aggregation keeps shifter representations anchored to the old-class centroid, and this effect is strongest precisely where it is hardest to correct, namely for shifters whose neighborhoods remain aligned with the old class. Guided by this finding, we propose CHASE, a model-agnostic CHange-Aware framework for Shifting nodEs that wraps any dynamic GNN with targeted components for detecting label shifts and overriding stale neighborhood signals. CHASE consistently improves shifter performance across all tested models and datasets (up to 114.9% and 202.5% improvement on accuracy and F1 score, respectively) while preserving stable-node performance. We additionally contribute three dynamic graph benchmarks with naturally shifting labels, filling a gap in existing resources. The source code is available at https://github.com/jhkim611/CHASE
Multilingual ai system improves retrieval of scientific sources online
KhyontekAI at CheckThat! 2026: Multilingual Dense Retrieval and Cross-Encoder Reranking for Scientific Web Claims
Abstract: Scientific claims shared through social media platforms frequently reference research findings without explicitly linking to the corresponding scientific publications. Automatically retrieving the correct scientific source for such claims is a challenging multilingual retrieval problem involving semantic matching, paraphrasing, noisy social media text, and cross-domain language variation. In this work, we present a multilingual two-stage retrieval framework for CLEF 2026 CheckThat! Task 1 on Source Retrieval for Scientific Web Claims. Our system combines fine-tuned dense retrieval models with cross-encoder reranking for improving multilingual scientific document retrieval. We evaluate multiple transformer-based dense retrieval architectures including multilingual-E5, BGE, and Contriever under different metadata configurations. We further investigate multilingual joint training, retrieval depth analysis, metadata enrichment, and language balancing strategies for improving retrieval effectiveness. Experimental results demonstrate that metadata enrichment consistently improves retrieval effectiveness, while fine-tuned cross-encoder reranking provides additional gains in retrieval precision. Our final multilingual system achieves MRR@5 scores of 0.6222 for English, 0.5112 for German, and 0.6254 for French, with an overall average MRR@5 score of 0.5862.
Recommendation algorithms increase opinion polarization in social networks
Polarization Dynamics under Algorithmic Recommendations in LLM-based Online Social Networks
Abstract: How do recommendation algorithms contribute to the formation of polarized opinions in online social networks? This question has been studied through empirical analyses of real platforms and mathematical models of opinion dynamics. Empirical studies capture user behavior but are often limited by noisy, incomplete, or inaccessible platform data, while mathematical models offer control and interpretability but usually rely on simplified opinion update rules. More recently, large language model (LLM)-based social simulations have provided an alternative for studying recommendation and opinion dynamics through natural-language interactions. However, how different ways of applying recommendations shape opinion dynamics remains underexplored. In this work, we provide a controlled comparison of two different recommendation mechanisms in an LLM-based online social network simulation. Edge Recommendation (ER) introduces new connections in the network, while Content-Exposure Recommendation (CR) exposes additional users to individual posts without modifying the underlying graph. Our framework represents users as LLM-based agents who interact in natural language while maintaining evolving opinion states. We measure polarization as opinion dispersion, extremization as the average distance of opinions from the neutral midpoint, and reinforcement as interactions that amplify already aligned opinions. Our results show higher mean polarization and extremization across recommendation conditions compared with the no-recommendation baseline, with absolute differences of up to $0.12$ in our main experiments.
Modeling social influence with hidden attention reveals stronger effects
Learning Social Influence with Unobserved Attention
Abstract: Social influence, the tendency of our social environment to sway our beliefs and behaviors, is often cited as a driver of population-level trends in opinions or beliefs. Many quantitative theories of social influence assume that an agent interacts with its entire social environment. This assumption is often unrealistic. For example, users of online platforms typically see posts from only a small subset of the accounts they follow at any given time. We introduce a simple probabilistic agent-based model of social influence that explicitly models unobserved attention mechanisms. The first of these latent mechanisms is selection: each agent interacts with only one other agent at a time from its social environment. The second is retention: the agent chooses whether or not to ignore the opinion of the other. Our model admits an efficient maximum-likelihood algorithm which allows us to fit it to opinion traces even when these mechanisms are unobserved. On synthetic data, omitting either latent mechanism reduces the overall strength of social influence governed by the inferred interaction kernel, which hides the evidence for the underlying nonlinearity of the social influence. We study a selection of previously analyzed empirical datasets and curate several new ones. We show that models that include the latent mechanisms are often more predictive on these datasets; indeed, they typically improve prediction far more than the choice of interaction kernel does. Modeling latent attention increases held-out predictive likelihood on 14 of these 15 datasets. Each mechanism changes the size of the inferred kernel in a predictable direction, while its effect on the kernel's shape depends on the data.
Relative patch response learning improves ai generated image detection accuracy
Relative Patch Response Learning for Generalizable AI-Generated Image Detection
Abstract: Generative models can now synthesize highly realistic images, simultaneously increasing the risks of misinformation and visual forgery. Therefore, detecting AI-generated images becomes more essential, and a reliable detector must generalize to unseen generators and stay robust to unseen perturbations in the wild. Existing detectors are typically trained on either independently collected real and generated images or aligned real-generated pairs designed to mitigate content bias. Building on aligned pairs, recent methods form a mixed view by replacing some patches of the real image with their generated counterparts. However, we find that self-attention lets real and generated patches interact, so the feature of each patch no longer reflects its own source alone. This contextual shift makes a per-patch source label an imprecise target. To this end, we propose Relative Patch Response Learning (PRL). Instead of labeling each patch, PRL compares the same patch across two mixed views of an aligned pair and learns from its patch response, the change of its score between the views. (i) To give precise supervision under the contextual shift, a relative response objective measures the responses of source-changed patches against those of source-unchanged patches, which respond to the shift alone. (ii) To provide a reliable reference for the shift, a reference coherence objective keeps each group of source-unchanged patches moving as a whole. (iii) Since the two views contain different amounts of generated content, an area ranking objective asks the view with the larger generated area to have a higher mean patch score. Extensive experiments demonstrate the superior performance of PRL, which surpasses the best prior methods by 4.3% and 5.9% in average balanced accuracy across eight standard and three in-the-wild benchmarks, respectively.
Evolving AI image detection adapts to new generators without old data
EvoKnow: Continual Knowledge Evolution for AI-Generated Image Detection
Abstract: AI-generated image detectors are commonly trained on fixed generator domains and become difficult to maintain as new generative models emerge. Continual adaptation is challenging because replaying historical generated images is costly, whereas updating shared parameters with limited current-domain data can overwrite prior forensic knowledge. We propose EvoKnow, a replay-free framework that formulates continual AI-generated image detection as forensic knowledge evolution. EvoKnow preserves a shared forensic basis learned from base domains, incrementally adds isolated residual experts for complementary generator-relevant evidence, and retrieves expertise through an Analytical Incremental Router (AIR) updated in closed form from current-stage generated images and accumulated sufficient statistics. Experiments demonstrate effective cross-generator generalization, few-shot expansion, and long-horizon continual adaptation. With ten generated images per arriving generator, EvoKnow achieves 96.70% average accuracy on non-base GenImage generators and 94.48% accuracy on Chameleon without target-benchmark adaptation. Under a strict replay-free continual learning protocol, EvoKnow achieves state-of-the-art continual learning performance, attaining 96.32% mean stage-wise accuracy and 4.32% average forgetting.
Graph augmentation method improves network model tuning and community detection
Graph Data Augmentation via Contrastive Generator Inversion ($\texttt{DCBA}$)
Abstract: Graphs provide a natural representation of many complex systems, ranging from social platforms to ecosystems. However, the development of graph-based machine learning methods is often constrained by the limited availability of large and diverse graph datasets. In this paper, we introduce $\texttt{DCBA}$, a model-based approach to graph data augmentation that infers the configuration of a synthetic graph generator from an observed network. We instantiate the proposed framework using the $\texttt{ABCD}$ generator, which produces scale-free networks with community structure. Our model learns a joint representation of graphs and generator parametrisations using a multi-positive contrastive objective with soft negative weighting. The learned representation enables the prediction of an $\texttt{ABCD}$ configuration whose stochastic realisations preserve the macrostructural properties encoded by the generator. Experiments show that $\texttt{DCBA}$ recovers generator parameters more accurately and robustly than an algorithmic inverse-modelling baseline. Its downstream utility is further demonstrated in community detection, where inferred configurations used to fine-tune $\texttt{PRoCD}$ improve AMI on average by $161\%$ on synthetic and $273\%$ on real-world networks.
Misinformation fact-checking scores inflated by future knowledge leaks
No Hindsight for LLM Fact-Checkers: Measuring Leakage Channels in Misinformation Detection
Abstract: As automated fact-checking scales on social media, large language model (LLM) verdict scores can look stronger than warranted. One reason is that evaluations mix in information that was not knowable at claim time. Two channels are easy to conflate: outcomes memorized in pre-training and retrieved evidence published after the claim. Yet standard benchmarks rarely separate the two. In this study we measure both channels on AVeriTeC and QuanTemp++ by reconstructing point-in-time evidence conditions and probing for outcome information encoded in model representations. We find substantial evidence of parametric leakage, that can be hidden by the aggregate accuracy, while a simple representation bottleneck reduces this future leakage more efficiently than a mutual-information-based training penalty. We also find that allowing post-claim evidence inflates zero-shot accuracy by 6.3 points in AVeriTeC while the effect is negligible in QuanTemp++, where retrieval provides little post-claim evidence. These results show that misinformation benchmarks can overstate fact-checking performance when they do not account for what information was actually available at claim time.
Temporal link prediction improves by tracking who is active
Your Temporal Link Predictor Is Blind to Who Is Active: A Missing Factor That Transfers Across Models
Abstract: An interaction has two parts: someone decides to act, and then chooses whom to act on. Temporal link prediction has concentrated on the second, and we show that it is blind to the first by construction: a standard negative keeps the real source and swaps the destination, and we prove that this cancels the source's activity exactly from the optimal score, so no model trained and evaluated this way is ever rewarded for learning it. Under the harder historical and inductive negatives, whose sources differ, the same factor becomes the dominant signal. We model it with Source Node Activity Modeling (SNAM), a self-exciting event intensity fitted by an exact point-process likelihood to decayed interaction counts the history states already contain; it has fewer than 20 parameters. On their own, never looking at the destination, these parameters beat DyGFormer and TPNet on four of five datasets under historical negatives. Added to the frozen scores of TPNet, TGN, DyGFormer and DSRD, four models of different design, without retraining anything, they raise AP on almost every backbone-dataset pair in both settings, by up to 25 points. Our full model ranks first overall against eleven baselines on 13 datasets and three protocols, and on million-event streams trains an epoch 9-100x faster than TPNet and DyGFormer. We conclude that source activity is a blind spot of temporal link prediction, and a cheap, transferable one to close. Code is available at https://github.com/Erutaner/Your-Temporal-Link-Predictor-Is-Blind-to-Who-Is-Active.
Dynamic graph model improves anomaly detection with explicit time evolution
Differentiable Koopman Operator for Contrastive Learning on Dynamic Graphs
Abstract: Real-world interaction networks are inherently dynamic: edges form and dissolve as node behavior shifts over time. Most snapshot-based contrastive methods encode temporal dependencies implicitly in encoder weights, without an explicit model of how node representations evolve, making them brittle under distribution shifts. We propose KAIROS (Koopman-Aligned Invariant Representations for Open Dynamic Systems), a self-supervised framework that embeds a differentiable Koopman operator within a dynamic graph contrastive learning loop to linearize temporal evolution in the learned embedding space. A dual-view encoder pairs raw node features with a graph-diffused structural view and is optimized with multi-granularity contrastive objectives across temporal windows. For anomaly detection, KAIROS uses the Koopman prediction residual together with temporal inconsistency and local neighborhood deviation to separate irregular behavior from predictable graph evolution. Evaluated on nine dynamic graph benchmarks, KAIROS achieves state-of-the-art anomaly detection results on all nine datasets, with gains of up to 23.15 ROC-AUC points over prior work, while remaining competitive for unsupervised node classification. These results show that explicit dynamics modeling provides a scalable and effective inductive bias for temporal graph representation learning.
LLM agents adopt beliefs based on coherence with prior knowledge 11 words
Coherence-Driven Belief Formation and Population Dynamics of Contagion in LLM Agents
Abstract: Models of social contagion usually assume how individuals adopt beliefs and derive population behavior from it. We instead empirically measure belief adoption in language model agents, quantifying the probability an agent adopts a claim given how many peers endorse it. We find this adoption kernel to be sigmoid, a characteristic of complex contagion, with a threshold that is sensitive to three sources: the claim's plausibility, the source's reliability, and the agent's disposition. These three dimensions are well approximated by a single effective dimension which we propose can be understood as the coherence of the incoming belief with the LLM agent's prior beliefs. Further, we observe a characteristic of complex contagion in the collective dynamics of belief adoption in a system of AI agents: further spread on clustered than random networks. These systems also exhibit a bifurcating cascade window, and self-sustaining hysteretic consensus which lead to consensus being far harder to remove than to establish.
Accurate aesthetic image cropping improves with continuous preference modeling
Discrete Annotation, Continuous Preference: Rethinking Supervision for Accurate and Generalizable Aesthetic Image Cropping
Abstract: Aesthetic image cropping aims to identify the optimal crop of an image in terms of aesthetics and composition. While supervision based on annotated data is fundamental, the field has been hindered by a long-standing problem: existing datasets suffer from (1) human subjectivity and (2) rigid discreteness confined to fixed sampling grids. These flawed annotations not only limit the accuracy and generalization of trained models but also severely distort fair evaluation. To overcome this, we propose to model human cropping preference as a multi-peaked, continuous, and sharp field over the crop space. We introduce the Continuous Preference Field (CPF), which recovers a dense preference landscape from discrete annotations through (1) peak clustering, (2) off-lattice refinement, (3) negative shaping, and (4) field assembly. Based on this, we train CPIC, a VLM-based cropping model optimized via GRPO with the CPF reward, which overcomes template collapse, achieving state-of-the-art performance and exceptional out-of-domain generalization. Finally, to resolve the long-standing benchmark evaluation crisis, we introduce CPICD, a comprehensive recalibration of existing ground-truth boxes. By leveraging the CPF to correct grid-bound artifacts across mainstream benchmarks, CPICD establishes a rigorous and reliable foundation for future cropping research. Extensive experiments and user studies demonstrate the superiority of our CPF, CPIC, and CPICD. Code, model, and data are available at https://github.com/zzqingz/CPIC.
Scalable method maintains dense groups in changing hypergraphs
Scalable Approximate Algorithm for Dynamic Densest Subhypergraphs with Solution-Guided Maintenance
Abstract: Hypergraphs model interactions involving groups of entities, and finding highly connected groups is a fundamental task in analyzing these data. When interactions arrive and expire, maintaining a dense group can require frequent and expensive changes to the underlying representation. We propose CAP, a scalable algorithm that explicitly maintains a $(1+ε)$-approximate densest subhypergraph under hyperedge insertions and deletions. The algorithm keeps a solution candidate together with an endpoint allocation that bounds the optimum density. The candidate's density guides maintenance: an update triggers repair only when this bound is too large to establish the required approximation. Local searches redistribute load or find a denser candidate, allowing CAP to retain useful solutions across many updates. We give an analysis that relates maintenance work to the size of the regions searched and the density lost by the maintained solution. It identifies conditions under which local repair remains inexpensive and provides a theoretical explanation for the observed efficiency. Experiments on real-world hypergraphs show speedups of up to nearly four orders of magnitude over the evaluated dynamic baselines, while supporting frequent queries and high accuracy. CAP also remains competitive with specialized dynamic graph methods on ordinary graphs, with speedups of up to approximately $64\times$ on the tested workloads.
Link inference attacks reveal hidden relations in privacy graphs
Link Inference Attack on Privacy-Preserving Knowledge Graphs
Abstract: Knowledge Graphs (KGs) are widely used to store and share structured information across sensitive domains such as healthcare, fi- nance, and social networks. A common privacy practice is to delete sen- sitive relations before publishing the graph, under the assumption that removing edges is sufficient to prevent their recovery. In this paper, we challenge this assumption and show that even when a relation is fully or partially hidden, its existence leaves structural traces in the public graph that can be exploited to recover it with high accuracy. To this end, we propose a link inference attack that operates on the topology of the public graph, and evaluate it under two privacy scenarios that differ in how the adversary exploits the knowledge available to him. In the first setting where the adversary exploits all topological information, the attack achieves near-perfect discrimination (AP = 0.949, ROC-AUC = 0.999), while in the more realistic one where the adversary makes use of some semantic information, it recovers up to 74% of hidden edges. Build- ing on these results, we further conduct a structural analysis to identify which topological properties of the graph drive the attack success, re- vealing that privacy risk is not uniform across entities and that certain structural patterns make specific relations significantly more vulnerable to inference than others.
Generative image compression preserves detail at ultra low bitrates
Rethinking Generative Image Compression at Extremely Low Bitrates
Abstract: Generative image compression produces visually plausible reconstructions at low bitrates, yet their behavior as the rate approaches zero remains largely unexplored. When pushed below normal operating rates, representative codecs undergo semantic collapse: rather than gracefully losing source-specific detail, they produce malformed or unrecognizable content. Our analysis identifies two factors. As the bitrate decreases, reconstruction losses increasingly conflict with semantic objectives on gradients and visual results, while pixel-space and reconstruction-oriented VAE diffusion models become less efficient on semantic preservation. Guided by these findings, we introduce RAE-CoD, a compression-oriented diffusion (CoD) built in a representation autoencoder (RAE) space with direct alignment between compressed and source representations, preserving recognizable, naturally structured content for a $256\times256$ image with as few as 16 bits. We evaluate this framework using five vision foundation models (VFM) and a blinded vision-language model protocol. On MSCOCO-30K, RAE-CoD stands out from all evaluation. At 0.001-0.008 bpp, it reduces relative VFM feature MSE and Fréchet Distance ratio by at least 25.7% and 69.1% over the best competitors. Meanwhile, semantic recognizability and quality of the reconstructions remain nearly constant while source consistency falls smoothly, replacing abrupt semantic collapse with a graceful transition toward unconditional generation. Code will be released at https://github.com/LuizScarlet/RAE-CoD.
Generative models improve forum post retrieval using cross-platform data
Exploring Forum Post Retrieval with Generative Modeling
Abstract: Generative recommendation (GR) has emerged as an alternative to embedding-based retrieval, building on the success of generative models in language and vision. We are exploring GR on Facebook Forum, a standalone application for medium-to-heavy users of Facebook Groups. Because Forum is a new surface, its own interaction data are too sparse to train a GR model from scratch. We address this with transfer along two axes: we train on a broader corpus of Facebook Groups engagements rather than Forum sessions alone, and we reuse hierarchical, prefix-based semantic IDs (SIDs) learned from cross-platform Facebook Feed data instead of fitting a Forum-specific tokenizer. A 3B-parameter instruction-tuned language model is then supervised-fine-tuned to generate SIDs directly from user context. We systematically ablate the design choices that matter most in practice, including SID construction, the composition and length of user history, and the inclusion of user-profile features. Our results show that cross-platform SIDs transfer to a new recommendation surface, and offer practical guidance for teams deploying GR on real-world social platforms.
Influence maximization algorithm runs in nearly linear time
Maximizing Social Influence in Almost Linear Time
Abstract: Influence maximization is a central algorithmic challenge in network analysis, aiming to identify a set of $k$ seed nodes in a graph with $n$ nodes and $m$ edges that maximizes the expected cascade of information under standard diffusion models. The seminal work of Borgs, Brautbar, Chayes, and Lucier (SODA'14) yielded a fundamental breakthrough\footnote{The conference version of their paper originally claimed a runtime of $\tilde O_ε(n+m)$, but this was subsequently corrected to a runtime of $\tilde O_ε((n+m)k)$ in an updated version of the paper that is available online. We validate the necessity of this additional factor $k$ in Section~\ref{sec:lowerbound} by demonstrating that if their algorithm is restricted to a runtime budget of $\tilde{O}_ε(n+m)$, the approximation ratio deteriorates to $O(k^{-1/4})$.} for this problem by achieving an $\tilde O_ε((n+m)k)$ time algorithm for approximating the solution within a factor of $1-1/e-ε$. In the years since, numerous efforts have attempted to improve the runtime of this algorithm; however, these works have been successful in only shaving logarithmic factors or improving the dependence on $ε$, leaving the existence of an almost linear-time algorithm as an open question. In this work, we resolve this long-standing open question. We present a novel algorithm that approximates the influence maximization problem within a factor of $1-1/e-ε$ in time $\tilde{O}_ε(n+m)$, effectively removing the multiplicative dependence on $k$ from the time complexity.
WorldGraph models changing graphs to predict future states
WorldGraph: Graph-Native World Modeling
Abstract: World models infer latent states of an environment to capture its underlying dynamics and predict future evolution. Many real-world environments, however, are inherently relational and observed as evolving graphs, where entities, relations, and their properties change over time. Prior graph-related world models use graph structures to organize internal states or support task-specific reasoning, rather than treating an evolving graph itself as the modeled world. We instead study graph world modeling (GWM), where graph evolution itself constitutes the world dynamics. We formulate graph world modeling over observed graph evolution, latent graph states, and heterogeneous graph-transition predictions. Based on this formulation, we construct GWM-Zero, a benchmark covering node-, edge-, and graph-level transitions over eight temporal graph datasets. We propose WorldGraph, which combines a state-aware graph transformer for multi-granularity structural and transition-conditioned evolution modeling with transition-aware GRPO using dynamic grouping and structure-aware verifiable rewards. Extensive experiments on GWM-Zero show that WorldGraph consistently outperforms representative graph representation, temporal graph learning, graph pretraining, and graph world-model baselines across all three transition granularities.
Tighter bounds improve control of information flow in social networks
A Novel Approach for the SDIR Epidemic Model on Online Social Networks
Abstract: Information diffusion can be controlled by restricting or removing links (edges) in online social networks, as well as in real-world networks. To identify the most influential links to remove while minimizing diffusion, previous studies have proposed upper bounds for spreading processes in SIR and SIS models, using supermodularity and weighted matrices to identify critical links in contact networks. However, in some cases, existing upper bounds are not sufficiently tight to accurately capture the effect of important edges, as in the SDIR model of [14] (Khanh-Cho-Dung, Proceedings of 40th ICOIN, 2026). We therefore propose a tighter upper bound for controlling diffusion in the SDIR model by directly analyzing the dynamics of the two state vectors D and I in a $2N$-dimensional space. This approach yields an improved spectral-radius convergence condition and outperforms the previous method. Simulations on the synthetic Erdos-Renyi network and the real-world Haslemere dataset using a Greedy edge-deletion algorithm demonstrate its effectiveness for influence minimization on social networks.
Vision-language method improves fake news detection with reusable concepts
ReVR: Dual-Path Concept Reasoning for Multimodal Fake News Detection
Abstract: Vision-language models (VLMs) support multimodal fake news detection (FND) by producing explicit analyses. Recent methods further improve interpretability by organizing verification knowledge into explicit concepts. However, two questions remain: how to improve the reliability and applicability of verification concepts, and how to effectively apply reusable concepts to verify unseen news. We propose \textbf{ReVR}, a dual-path reasoning framework that constructs and applies reusable verification concepts for multimodal fake news detection. An agentic workflow grounds and consolidates candidate concepts, while statistical profiles characterize their historical behavior. During inference, a coverage-oriented path aggregates evidence from the complete concept library using a trainable encoder, while a query-focused path prompts a frozen VLM to reason over selected concepts and their observations. A learned conflict resolver selects between the two predictions when they disagree. Experiments on fake news benchmarks demonstrate the effectiveness of the method regarding detection performance and generalizability.
Mexican spanish video dataset advances hate speech detection research
MexHat: A Dataset for Hate Speech Detection in Mexican Spanish Videos
Abstract: Ensuring online safety through content monitoring had raised Hate Speech Detection as a crucial task to be addressed. By essence the task demands the capture of contextual cues, which are essential for a precise understanding of the content's intent. Although automated detection approaches for the task have advanced significantly, the scarcity of non-English resources persists, limiting the ability of models to adapt to the subtle, context-dependent, and culturally related nature of multimodal content. In this paper, we introduce MexHat, a video dataset designed to capture the linguistic and cultural cues for the hate-speech detection task in a Mexican Spanish context. Our dataset comprises around 1k video clips annotated across two tasks: a three-way class evaluation (no negative content, offensive content and hate-speech content), and a fine-grained class evaluation including three hate-speech sub-categories. The dataset statistics and the baseline results highlight the inherent challenges associated with the task. Disclaimer: This paper contains sensitive content that may be disturbing to some readers.
Theory based features improve fake news detection and explanation
Fake News Theories: Harnessing Disciplinary Insights for Computational Modeling, Detection, and Explanation
Abstract: Disinformation research has produced increasingly accurate automated fake-news detectors, but many systems remain difficult to interpret and are weakly connected to established theories of persuasion, credibility, and human judgment. In this paper, we develop a theory-informed computational framework that translates cross-disciplinary theories of fake news into measurable features for automated detection and explanation through statistical techniques and large language models. To that end, we conduct a structured cross-disciplinary review of theories from social sciences, psychology, economics, among other disciplines that reveal how fake news persuades and spreads, thereby establishing a broad theoretical foundation for computational modeling. Experiments on benchmark datasets show that theory-derived features are predictive and provide interpretable, theory-referenced diagnostic signals. Multi-feature models generally outperform individual features, although gains among the strongest small feature combinations are modest. Our work highlights the value of interdisciplinary perspectives in building robust and interpretable fake news detection systems, advancing the foundation for human-centered approaches in combating disinformation.
Engagement algorithms cause misinformation to spread faster online
Why Does Misinformation Propagate Faster? An Algorithmic Perspective on X
Abstract: Misinformation is widely reported to propagate faster on engagement-based platforms, yet prior work largely focused on empirical analysis, without identifying a specific algorithmic mechanism that results in this phenomenon. Thanks to the open-sourcing of X's recommendation algorithms, we conduct what is, to our knowledge, the first component-level study of the recommendation algorithm deployed by a social media platform, which examines how each of its components affects misinformation propagation. Specifically, we identify the engagement fungibility mechanism in the algorithm, where the final recommendation score is constructed as a weighted sum of all predicted user activities. As a result, a tweet can be repeatedly recommended simply because it is predicted to draw many instant reactions (e.g., likes and retweets), even when it is not expected to draw thoughtful responses (e.g., replies and quotes). Since misinformation typically draws a larger share of its engagement from instant reactions, this mechanism enables it to receive more recommendation exposure and to propagate faster. To empirically validate this mechanism, we re-implement X's recommendation algorithm on the USC X 2024 election corpus, and build a calibrated simulation study to analyze the impact of different scoring rules. We find that re-tuning the metric weights has little or even a negative impact on reducing the credibility exposure gap, while those scoring rules that set a precondition of thoughtful engagement for amplification would be able to alleviate the gap significantly, across 46 robustness checks. Our diagnosis, therefore, yields a simple and deployable fix, a reflective-threshold gate that withholds amplification until a tweet is predicted to draw thoughtful engagement, which we find to reallocate exposure away from low-credibility content at no cost to mainstream exposure and with no loss of engagement.
Multilevel model improves hate speech detection with clear explanations
An Explainable DistilBERT-BiLSTM-Attention Framework for Binary and Multi-Class Hate Speech Detection
Abstract: Hate speech on social media poses serious risks to social harmony, mental well-being, and public safety, making its timely and accurate detection essential for content moderation systems. Most existing studies focus on binary classification, evaluated their frameworks on a single dataset, and provide limited insight into how decisions are made, which limits their real-world applicability. In addition, limited work is done on the explainability of their predictive inference. To address these challenges, this study proposes a multilevel and explainable hate speech detection framework. The proposed model integrates DistilBERT (Distilled Bidirectional Encoder Representations from Transformers) embeddings with a Bi-LSTM (Bidirectional Long Short-Term Memory) model, and an attention mechanism to capture both contextual meaning and sequential dependencies in text. To enhance trust and transparency, LIME (Local Interpretable Model-agnostic Explanations) is employed to explain model predictions by highlighting influential textual features. The framework is evaluated on two benchmark datasets using both binary and multi-class classification to examine robustness and generalization. In addition, an ablation study is presented to highlight the significance of various components of proposed framework. For binary classification, the proposed model achieves F1-scores of 96.78% on the Davidson dataset and 99.53% on the SMHS dataset. In the multi-class setting, it attains F1-scores of 97.00% and 94.99% on the Davidson and SMHS datasets, respectively, outperforming existing baseline approaches. The results demonstrate that multilevel evaluation improves the reliability that the proposed framework effectively balances performance and efficiency. This makes the framework suitable for practical hate speech moderation systems that require accurate, generalizable, and explainable decisions.
Similarity based recommendation systems can be stealthily poisoned by multi stage attacker chains
The Like Trap: Multi-Stage Poisoning against Agents in Similarity-based Recommendation Systems
Abstract: With recent advancements in large language models (LLMs) and LLM-based agents, these agents are becoming increasingly autonomous and gaining broader access to act on users' behalf on the internet. However, the vulnerability of automated agents deployed on social media platforms (e.g., for managing a user's personal account) remains underexplored. Existing studies on agent poisoning typically assume that the adversary can expose poisoned content to the agent. Although such an attack is direct and effective, it is more easily detected and mitigated. In the context of social media platforms, this leaves open whether the recommendation system itself would surface such content to the agent in a more subtle manner. Through theoretical analysis, we show that the like-score mechanism used in OASIS can be exploited, and we characterize the conditions under which a multi-stage chain of poisoned posts can steer the agent's feed. Based on these insights, we further develop an algorithm that crafts realistic poisoned posts. Experiments support our theoretical findings and demonstrate the effectiveness of the proposed algorithm. Notably, by exploiting the like-score feedback loop, the attack causes the recommendation system to select poisoned posts even when their user-post similarity falls below the retrieval threshold.
CacheDyG speeds up learning on dynamic graphs with less memory
CacheDyG: Decoupling Temporal Propagation for Efficient Dynamic Graph Learning
Abstract: Dynamic graphs are widely used to model time-evolving relational systems in real-world applications. Dynamic graph neural networks provide an effective framework for capturing both structural dependencies and temporal dynamics in such data. However, they typically intertwine temporal graph propagation with every optimization epoch and often maintain large trainable representations for each node-time pair. This design repeatedly recomputes largely unchanged historical structures, leading to substantial training and parameter overhead. To address this critical issue, we propose CacheDyG, a Cache-refine framework for efficient Dynamic Graph learning. Specifically, it decouples temporal propagation from routine parameter updates by constructing a time-ordered temporal dependency cache that stores graph-aware node-time representations in non-trainable buffers. During standard training epochs, CacheDyG reads from the cache and updates only a lightweight cache refiner, an adaptive residual gate, and the link predictor. Selective cache refresh further keeps cached representations aligned with the supervised objective while avoiding epoch-wise sparse propagation. Experiments on five dynamic graph benchmarks show that CacheDyG adopts substantially fewer trainable parameters and lower runtime to obtain more competitive predictive performance than baselines. These results demonstrate that cache-based decoupling provides an effective principle for scalable dynamic graph learning.
Llm agents improve social decision making by using relationship context
When LLM Agents Fail to Read the Room: ReAdapt for Relational Social Reasoning
Abstract: A social agent's most basic decisions (should I react to this post? who should I reach out to?) are not purely content problems. The right action often hinges on the latent relationship between people -- tie strength, reciprocity, mutual connections -- rather than on which content is most salient. Standard LLM agent loops do not explicitly represent how new relational evidence should revise the agent's current social hypothesis, leaving them prone to surface-obvious choices when relational and content cues diverge. We formalize this failure mode with a relationship-reasoning benchmark: 500 synthetic social worlds with friendships, follows, reaction histories, and feeds, yielding 1,000 queries over two tasks, reaction selection and warm introduction (finding the best bridge to a target person). By construction, the surface-obvious candidate differs from the relationship-grounded oracle in about 53% of queries, forming an overturn subset where the agent must use relational evidence to revise an initially plausible choice. We propose ReAdapt (Relationship-Adaptive Agent with Policy-driven sTate), which augments the ReAct loop with an explicit structured social state z = (G, B, R, N, D) capturing goal, belief, relationship, norm, and disclosure. After each tool observation, ReAdapt runs a typed Adapt step that updates this state and emits a policy operation (continue, switch, abandon, or clarify) before choosing the next action. With Gemini-3-Flash on a stratified subset of n = 150 queries per task, ReAdapt improves warm-introduction accuracy from 37% to 51% (+14 points) and reaction-selection accuracy from 69% to 77% (+8 points). Oracle regret drops from 0.260 to 0.152 and from 0.095 to 0.053, respectively. Holding the model, tools, and environments fixed, these results suggest that explicit relational-state adaptation helps LLM agents turn retrieved social evidence into revised decisions.
Social bot detection improves by balancing model simplicity and conflict awareness
CSC: Calibrated Simplicity for Conflict-Aware Social Bot Detection in the LLM Era
Abstract: Social bot detection is essential for protecting online platforms from misinformation amplification, coordinated manipulation, and distorted public discourse. However, large language models have made social bots much harder to detect from text alone because semantic camouflage is now cheap, fluent, and scalable. The resulting challenge is modality conflict: an account may look human-like in semantics while remaining suspicious in graph structure, profile attributes, or cross-modal consistency. Recent graph-based detectors tackle this limitation by adding graph-side complexity, such as sparse prototype selection, adaptive gating, or architecture-specific control logic, yet our experiments suggest that complexity alone is not the most reliable way to resolve such conflict. We therefore propose CSC, a calibrated-simplicity framework for conflict-aware LLM-era social bot detection. The framework combines three design choices: a simplified prototype-guided graph expert that retains useful structural biases while removing unstable graph-side heuristics, calibrated simplex-constrained fusion that aligns heterogeneous confidence spaces before late fusion, and a lightweight inconsistency expert that models cross-modal disagreement. Experiments on TwiBot-22, TwiBot-20, and MGStBot-large show that \textsc{CSC} improves calibrated operating-point decision quality while remaining competitive across external benchmarks. Further analyses show that calibration improves confidence reliability, the inconsistency expert mainly provides localized corrections in high-conflict or near-threshold regions, and simplified graph-side control yields a better stability-cost trade-off. A targeted semantic-camouflage stress test further shows that replacing selected bot text with matched human text sharply degrades the standalone text expert while leaving graph and fused evidence stable on a balanced challenge set.
Analyzing YouTube comments reveals urban topics and sentiment challenges
Analyzing Public Discourse on Urbanism: Topic Clustering, Sentiment Analysis and Retrieval-Augmented Generation using YouTube Comments
Abstract: Online discourse about urban issues - walkability, cycling infrastructure, public transit, housing density, and street safety - is voluminous but unstructured, and existing city-evaluation tools capture none of it. We present a pipeline and conversational system that combines geographic entity resolution, topic modeling, sentiment analysis, and Retrieval-Augmented Generation (RAG) over 22,788 chunks of YouTube transcripts and comments spanning 309 North American cities. Beyond the system itself, our contribution is a set of measurements about what happens when standard NLP components meet short, informal, geographically ambiguous text. A Twitter-tuned RoBERTa classifier outperforms a VADER lexicon baseline by 12.6 macro-F1 points (0.589 vs. 0.464; McNemar p = 0.0001), but both models collapse on the neutral class, which dominates urbanist comment traffic; annotators disagree on the same class (Cohen's kappa = 0.53). Dense retrieval beats a TF-IDF baseline at every cutoff (P@5 0.790 vs. 0.560), and video-level relevance proxies understate chunk-level precision by a wide margin (0.660 vs. 0.94 under human rating). For groundedness evaluation, we find BERTScore unusable when a multi-sentence generated summary is compared against a single short comment - scores are nearly flat regardless of relevance - and show that ROUGE-1-based groundedness is a paraphrase-driven lower bound rather than a hallucination rate. These findings generalize beyond the urbanist domain to any RAG system built over short user-generated documents.
Connected Content retriever boosts LinkedIn feed engagement with GPU power
Connected Content Retriever: Dense Graph Edge Features Powering Pre-Ranking at LinkedIn
Abstract: In large-scale recommendation systems like the LinkedIn Feed, content generated by a member's network (connections and follows) makes up over 70% of impressions and engagement. It is therefore essential that the pre-ranking layer forwards the best possible few hundred candidates to the ranking layer. LinkedIn's professional knowledge graph carries engagement signals across both the first degree network (connections and follows) and the second-degree network: posts that a 1st-degree connection reacted to, commented on or reshared but did not author (a.k.a. stranger viral). Due to this fan out, the resulting candidate index exceeds one billion; selection of activities from the viewer's network narrows it down to roughly tens of thousands of activities that must be scored within a 120 ms p99 latency budget. We present Connected Content Retriever (CC Retriever), a pre-ranking system that scores these candidates with a full deep ranking model on GPUs at low latency. At its core is a sorted-search GPU primitive that joins dense graph affinity features (viewer to author) with document level features stored on the GPU at runtime in 5-10 ms. The shift to GPU served scoring enabled a 50x scale up of the ranking model's parameters and delivered a +2.5% lift in content time spent on the LinkedIn Feed in online experiments, significantly higher than the typical gains observed in LinkedIn Feed experiments. In this work, we describe the feature set we leverage from LinkedIn's economic graph and the model architecture used for scoring, with a particular emphasis on the online system that scales the stack.
Exact greedy influence maximization runs in linear time on simple graphs
Exact Greedy Influence Maximization in Linear Time on Bounded-Treewidth Graphs
Abstract: Computing influence spread under the Independent Cascade (IC) model is #P-hard, and influence maximization is commonly approached using Monte Carlo or reverse-reachable-set sampling. We study IC diffusion on bounded-treewidth graphs. Using probability distributions over separator reachability relations, we obtain exact influence evaluation in $O(n2^{O(w^2)}\operatorname{poly}(w))$ time for a graph with $n$ nodes and treewidth $w$. Our main contribution is an exact all-marginal-gains algorithm. We introduce variable artificial source edges and show that, at a deterministic seed set, the derivative with respect to each source-edge probability equals the corresponding greedy marginal gain. Reverse-mode differentiation therefore computes all marginal gains simultaneously with the same asymptotic complexity as one exact influence evaluation. This yields an exact implementation of classical greedy influence maximization in $O(Kn2^{O(w^2)}\operatorname{poly}(w))$ time, linear in graph size for fixed $w$ and seed budget $K$. We also show that the separator-relation representation has tight $2^{Θ(w^2)}$ state complexity within exact context-independent compositional separator summaries. This contrasts with the NP-hardness of globally optimal IC influence maximization already on graphs of treewidth one and pathwidth two. Experiments on synthetic bounded-treewidth networks are consistent with linear scaling for fixed width and show that runtime is largely insensitive to propagation and seed-activation probabilities. In demanding diffusion regimes, the method substantially outperforms reverse-reachable-set and optimized Monte Carlo greedy baselines while computing greedy marginal gains exactly.
Vision language models fail harmful meme detection by misrouting features
Decodable but Misrouted: Sparse Features Uncover a Readout Gap in Vision-Language Models for Harmful Meme Detection
Abstract: When a large vision-language model misclassifies a harmful meme, the failure may reflect missing internal evidence or an inability to route represented evidence to its output. We distinguish these cases in Gemma-3 and Qwen3.5 using sparse autoencoders, role-conditioned probes, causal interventions, and recovery experiments across six harmful content benchmarks, with additional Spanish and Hindi-English code-mixed evaluations. Sparse readouts outperform native prediction on all six primary binary tasks: Qwen averages $0.740$ versus $0.432$ native macro-F1, while residual reconstruction reaches $0.486$, whereas Gemma improves from $0.532$ to $0.714$. These differences reflect supervised accessibility rather than a pre-existing, native decision rule, and the most influential token role depends on the task. Under the evaluated score scales, Qwen silent-feature ablation is $24-63$ times more probe-sensitive, whereas routed-feature patching on literal yes/no tasks is $16-140$ times more output-sensitive. Calibration-only routing recovers $93.3$% of the mean gap, and probe-distilled LoRA improves native predictions, although shared multi-task adaptation causes negative transfer. A case study of Gemma-3-12B on Facebook Hateful Memes finds a distributed rank-32 image-prompt interaction, reaching $0.756$ versus $0.685$ native macro-F1. Robustness controls show that the signal extends beyond English, is not explained solely by accompanying OCR, and depends on paired visual evidence. Thus, routing, rather than representation alone, is a recurring bottleneck in harmful meme classification.
Multi-agent evolution improves fake news detection with large language models
Reasoning through Evolution: Automatic Meta-path Discovery for LLM-based Fake News Detection
Abstract: Propagation structures provide crucial evidence for fake news detection, yet existing approaches primarily rely on supervised GNN-based models, which require substantial labeled data and exhibit limited generalization. Although large language models (LLMs) exhibit strong reasoning capabilities, directly feeding them raw propagation graphs creates a significant modality mismatch and severe information overload, making structure-aware reasoning unreliable in zero-shot and few-shot settings. To bridge this gap, we propose MAGER, a multi-agent genetic evolution framework that automatically discovers meta-paths optimized for LLM reasoning. By compressing complex propagation graphs into informative subgraphs, the evolved meta-paths alleviate both information overload and modality mismatch, enabling frozen LLMs to perform structure-aware veracity reasoning. We further introduce a graph in-context learning strategy that retrieves semantically and structurally similar demonstrations to strengthen classification and reasoning. Extensive experiments show that MAGER substantially improves frozen LLMs as standalone fake news detectors in data-efficient settings. Our code is available at https://github.com/SenticNet/MAGER.
Scalable algorithm finds tight communities around many nodes fast
Improved Methods for k-core Community Search
Abstract: Community search based on user-specified query nodes is complementary to community finding or graph clustering. Prior work in community search is divided into optimizing for external separate- ness or internal cohesiveness, which does not scale well networks of over a billion edges. We present SteinerKCore, a new scalable k-core based community search algorithm for multi-vertex queries. We also present Par-ShellStruct, a parallel algorithm for building the ShellStruct data structure used for k-core community search. We show that our implemen- tations in Icebug, an open-source toolkit for large-scale network analysis, are both more efficient and more scalable than comparative tools, being able to perform on a benchmark network of 273M and 5.1B edges using just 64GB RAM and under 4 hours runtime with 16 CPUs.
Efficient private counting of triangles and quadrangles in shared graphs
Trinqet: Private Triangle and Quadrangle Counting over Distributed Graphs
Abstract: Triangle and quadrangle counts are core statistics in graph analysis. Yet many real-world graphs are distributed across multiple parties and encode highly sensitive relationships, precluding direct data sharing. Secure multi-party computation (MPC) provides a principled alternative, but introduces a fundamental tension: the protocol must hide the graph's topology, forcing fully data-oblivious operations over all potential edges--while real-world graphs are extremely sparse, making most of this work wasted. We propose Trinqet, a system that resolves this tension through new MPC-friendly algorithms for private triangle and quadrangle detection. Trinqet safely exploits sparsity using a suite of novel techniques that eliminate vast numbers of unnecessary operations while preserving strong security in the malicious threat model. Trinqet supports both counting and enumeration and, in our evaluation, outperforms all five baselines by up to 10^5 in runtime.
Multimodal models get better at avoiding false emotion guesses
Multi-Faceted Evaluation and Mitigation of Emotion Hallucinations in MLLMs
Abstract: Multimodal large language models (MLLMs) have shown strong potential in open-ended emotion understanding, yet they often generate emotion hallucinations. Evaluating such hallucinations is particularly challenging for two reasons. First, emotion understanding spans multiple cognitive facets, from multimodal perception to psychological reasoning. Second, emotional interpretations are expressed in free-form language, making existing closed-ended protocols insufficient for evaluation. To address these challenges, we introduce EHR (Emotion Hallucination Rate), an evaluator that quantifies emotion hallucinations across six facets: expression, action, audio, instinct, logic, and conclusion. Using EHR, we reveal that existing mitigation methods often reduce hallucinations in some facets while aggravating them in others, exposing the limitation of coarse-grained correction and the need for facet-aware localization and mitigation. Motivated by this finding, we propose HMER (Hallucination-aware Memory-guided Emotion Reasoning), a training-free framework for emotion hallucination mitigation. HMER maintains a Hallucination Memory that records localized hallucinated claims and enables targeted logit rectification, together with an Anchor Memory that preserves reliable intermediate reasoning states to stabilize subsequent generation. By selectively suppressing unreliable cues while preserving trustworthy reasoning context, HMER enables fine-grained mitigation across diverse hallucination facets. Extensive experiments on 19 MLLMs demonstrate the prevalence of emotion hallucinations and the effectiveness of our framework across diverse model architectures.
Foundation models improve online content moderation accuracy
Can Foundation Models Moderate Online Content? Evaluating Instruction- vs. Example-Driven Policy Operationalization
Abstract: The growing complexity of content moderation policies presents a critical challenge for their consistent operationalization. While foundation models possess the basic capabilities needed to confront this challenge, whether they can reliably moderate online content remains an unanswered question. In this paper, we systematically compare two competing paradigms for Vision-Language Model (VLM) guidance: an instruction-driven approach where models reason from policy precepts, and an example-driven approach where they generalize from prior precedents. We ground this investigation in ModerationBench, a new benchmark of 4,000 manually annotated, in-the-wild posts from the Bluesky platform. Our experiments reveal that foundation models can substantially outperform Bluesky's deployed moderation system, nearly tripling its $F_1$ score (0.60 vs. 0.22) on Random Posts in the benchmark, with both instruction- and example-driven paradigms achieving comparable peak effectiveness. Our findings thus chart a path toward reliable and adaptable policy operationalization at scale.
Graph neural networks defended from attacks by pruning risky edges
Kernel-Complexity Edge Sanitization for Training-Free Defense against Structural Graph Attacks
Abstract: Graph Neural Networks (GNNs) have achieved remarkable success across diverse applications, yet they remain highly vulnerable to adversarial attacks that maliciously perturb graph structure. Existing defenses often lack rigorous theoretical grounding, rely on attack-specific heuristics, or require costly retraining procedures such as adversarial training. To address these limitations, we propose Kernel-Complexity Edge Sanitization (KCES), a training-free and model-agnostic framework for defending against structural attacks. KCES is built upon Graph Kernel Complexity (GKC), a principled metric derived from the graph Gram matrix that appears in a generalization upper bound on the GNN test error. From this bound, we define an edge-specific KC score that quantifies each edge's structural influence via its induced change in GKC. KCES then identifies and prunes high-KC edges, which are empirically enriched with adversarial perturbations under structural attacks, to mitigate their harmful impact. Computationally efficient and scalable, KCES operates as a lightweight preprocessing step without retraining and can be seamlessly integrated with existing defenses. Extensive experiments demonstrate that KCES consistently outperforms representative robust baselines across diverse attack settings and scales effectively to large graphs. Supported by theoretical analysis and extensive empirical validation, KCES provides a principled and efficient framework for securing GNNs. Our code is available at https://github.com/karpning/KCScore.
Social media algorithms limit political speech reach unequally
Democracy Needs Reach: Political Equality, Online Speech, and Algorithmic Recommendation
Abstract: Within democracies, the capacity to influence political outcomes through speech depends not only on the right to express oneself, but also on the opportunity to reach relevant audiences. In this paper, I argue that the unequal distribution of algorithmic reach on social media platforms undermines equality of opportunity for political influence (EOPI), which is a central democratic ideal. Drawing on Niko Kolodny's work, I contend that current recommendation algorithms create and perpetuate informal inequalities by concentrating attention among a small minority of already-amplified speakers while systematically marginalizing others. To address this problem, I propose recommendation floors as a mechanism for equalizing political speech. To help users achieve meaningful participation, each verified account would receive guaranteed minimum recommendation for up to a limited number of political posts per week. Although this measure represents one component of the structural reforms needed to move the digital public sphere closer to democratic ideals, it offers a feasible pathway to reducing informal inequalities in political influence online.
Large language models improve social network modeling and dynamics
LLMs for Social Network Modeling: From Network Generation to Dynamic Processes
Abstract: Large language models (LLMs) are rapidly emerging as a new paradigm for modeling social networks by representing users and their relationships and interactions through natural language. Unlike classical network models or deep learning approaches, LLMs can simulate context-aware social behavior and language-driven interactions, enabling more realistic modeling of network formation and dynamic social processes. However, existing studies are scattered across different research communities and lack a unified perspective. This survey presents the first comprehensive review of LLMs for social network modeling by organizing the literature into two broad categories: network generative models and dynamic process models. Network generative models are further classified into selection-based and interaction-based approaches, while dynamic process models are categorized into opinion dynamics, information diffusion, and rumor propagation, each with their underlying modeling mechanisms. LLMs enable rich textual social interactions and decision-making, but they also exhibit many limitations, including inherent social biases and prompt sensitivity. We outline these open research challenges and discuss future directions in LLM-based social network modeling.
Uncertainty matters when checking fairness of machine learning models
The Role of Uncertainty in Assessing the Fairness of Machine Learning Models
Abstract: Machine learning models are widely used in clinical applications, social media, law enforcement and critical infrastructure. Verifying whether their outputs are biased against disadvantaged groups or individuals is crucial to ensuring they are fair and allowing their use in such settings. A rigorous risk assessment of possible fairness violations requires quantifying the uncertainty associated with selecting and estimating such models. Yet, this is rarely done in the literature, which focuses on identifying a single model with a suitable trade-off between predictive accuracy and fairness. In this paper, we move beyond point estimation and discuss frequentist and Bayesian approaches to uncertainty quantification for fair machine learning, with practical examples and implications for simulated and real data.