Papers for
political data teams
Papers whose findings have a practical use for this group, as judged from the abstract. Open a paper to read what it means in practice.
Changing rating scales shifts large language model text scores
Change the Number, Change the Answer: Assessing Rating Scale Sensitivity in LLM-Based Text Scoring
Abstract: Large language models (LLMs) are increasingly used in computational social science to assign scalar scores to social and psychological constructs. However, studies use different rating scales, and whether their scores remain comparable across scale designs is understudied. To address this gap, we define and systematically investigate scale sensitivity, the variation in LLM-generated scores caused by rating scale design. We distinguish numerical sensitivity, changes in normalized scores, from semantic sensitivity, changes in score interpretation. To assess both, our experimental design crosses 2 formats (continuous vs. ordinal), 4 ranges (3, 5, 11, and 21 points), and 2 signs (signed vs. unsigned) across 3 tasks (political leaning, sentiment, and toxicity), 2 prompting strategies (zero-shot and rubric-based), and 5 LLMs. We find that changing one design element shifts normalized scores by about 0.10 on average and changes the category of roughly 20% of texts. Sensitivity is greatest for toxicity, the only unipolar construct examined. Also, rubric-based prompting does not reduce sensitivity compared with zero-shot prompting. We provide practical guidance for designing more reliable LLM-based text scoring and highlight the need for robustness checks across alternative scales.
Calibrated pipeline improves measurement of image details on social media
Perceive, Refine, Reason: A Calibrated Pipeline for Measuring Indicators in Strategic Visual Communication on Social Media
Abstract: Visual content shapes audience perception and opinion on social media, and computational social science increasingly relies on automated tools to analyze images at scale. Yet a measurement gap persists: existing tools rely on predefined categories or produce only coarse image-level labels, while measuring which specific objects appear in an image, how prominently, and where in the frame remains difficult at scale. We introduce Perceive, Refine, Reason (PRR), a calibrated pipeline that turns flexible vision-language detectors into auditable measurement instruments for social-scientific research. PRR combines natural-language category prompts with pixel-level spatial refinement via the Segment Anything Model (SAM) and a multimodal LLM arbitration layer whose reasoning chains externalize domain knowledge and lower the expertise threshold for human-in-the-loop validation. A complementary three-tier auditability framework applies quantification learning to profile per-category reliability, support task-aligned configuration, and statistically correct prevalence estimates. Across four vision-language detectors and nine sociological categories, the pipeline yields substantial precision gains over zero-shot baselines, including a 43.3-point improvement for the strongest backbone. Applying PRR to 103,920 Facebook images from U.S. legislators during the 2024 election cycle and linking detections to DW-NOMINATE ideology scores, we find that more conservative legislators display U.S. flags as larger visual elements, with a weaker tendency toward peripheral placement, a spatial pattern invisible to binary detection. PRR provides computational social scientists with a model-agnostic toolkit for accessible, spatially-grounded, and correctable visual measurement.