Papers for
network operation centers
Papers whose findings have a practical use for this group, as judged from the abstract. Open a paper to read what it means in practice.
TimeWorld improves forecasting by modeling action effects on time series
TimeWorld: Towards Action-Conditioned Multimodal World Models for Time Series Forecasting
Abstract: Time series forecasting supports decision-making in web applications such as online retail and network management, where planned actions can reshape future dynamics. World models provide a natural paradigm for predicting such action-dependent changes beyond extrapolating historical patterns. However, existing time series world models (TSWMs) typically rely on fixed, domain-specific covariate schemas that limit flexible intervention specification, while multimodal forecasters treat text primarily as passive predictive context. To investigate these gaps, we introduce TSWM-Bench, a cross-domain benchmark for multimodal TSWMs spanning seven real-world datasets, with textual interventions grounded in recorded action--outcome data. Our evaluation reveals that conventional multimodal forecasters underperform history-only time series foundation models (TSFMs) despite dataset-specific training, whereas simple text-prefix adaptations improve forecasting across all evaluated TSFM backbones. These findings suggest that pretrained TSFMs encode implicit world knowledge of temporal dynamics, offering a strong foundation for action-conditioned modeling beyond conventional multimodal fusion. Building on this insight, we propose TimeWorld, a plug-in framework that adapts pretrained TSFMs through explicit action-response modeling. Specifically, the Prototype-Guided Latent Modulation (PLM) module grounds textual actions in temporal dynamics by composing representative response prototypes to modulate future representations based on the action and historical patterns. The Action Contrastive Learning (ACL) component strengthens action-specific response modeling by contrasting these updates under alternative interventions sharing the same history, distinguishing action types while preserving relative intensity relationships.
New method improves budget-based feature selection for accurate predictions
Learning Source Acquisition Policies by Offline Planning
Abstract: Predicting under an acquisition budget requires choosing feature groups whose value can depend on later queries. O-MPAC transfers finite-horizon risk-cost targets from complete training records into a shared source-action scorer. At inference time, the scorer uses partial observations and source metadata, re-scores after each query, and applies a hard cost mask. We analyze how tied teacher targets and the remaining planning horizon affect the learned decisions. Uniform supervision over tied minima preserves the target distribution under source relabeling. In a five-seed routing experiment, it achieves 0.965 accuracy under both original and context-last orders. On six real tasks, validation selects H1 without action cross-entropy in all thirty splits. O-MPAC has the highest mean budget-integrated accuracy on five tasks against source-adapted GDFS, DIME, AACO+NN and a static policy.