manufacturing quality teams

Abstract: Elastic buckling remains a critical concern in the design of deep spherical shell caps, given that experiments reveal a significant reduction of critical loads from those predicted by linearized eigen-buckling analysis. This discrepancy has been attributed to initial geometric imperfections and is often reconciled through a dimensionless parameter, namely the knockdown factor (KDF). However, conventional KDFs (NASA SP-8007; Eurocode 3) are highly conservative, as they represent the lower bound of an extensive body of experimental data. This study aims to narrow the conservatism in the KDFs for spherical shell caps through machine learning (ML) regression models trained on experimental data on spherical shell buckling. A hybrid model is proposed by combining Gaussian Process Regression (GPR) with Extreme Gradient Boosting (XGBoost), and its improved performance is demonstrated over conventional ML algorithms, i.e., the Artificial Neural Network (ANN), Support Vector Regressor (SVR), Random Forest Regressor (RFR), and Histogram-based Gradient Boosting (HGBoost). Each of these models uses six input features and a single output, i.e., the KDF. The most critical feature affecting the KDF is ascertained through a sensitivity analysis. The study concludes with a reliability-based design framework that relies on the predictive ML model to obtain safety-consistent, yet less conservative, KDFs.

Abstract: Existing Anomaly Detection benchmarks are saturated and often unrealistic. As part of the VAND 4.0 Challenge, we introduce a hidden-test, application-driven benchmark across two deployment-critical domains: industrial manufacturing and retail logistics. In the Industrial Track (MVTec AD 2), the results reveal that unsupervised anomaly segmentation remains challenging: the best regular-setting method achieves only ~57\% pixel-level $SegF_1$, indicating substantial room for improvement. Zero-shot approaches trail by ~15 $SegF_1$ points, confirming that task-specific training on normal data remains essential for precise defect localization. Robustness to distribution shifts remains a key open challenge and DINOv3-backbones clearly dominate this track. In the Retail Track (Kaputt 2), the results reveal that (1) supervised defect detection is approaching saturation for common defect types; (2) the best off-the-shelf VLM approach trails specialized models by ~28 AP, confirming that currently VLMs cannot replace fine-tuned detectors, (3) reference images did not prove helpful for top-performing approaches. Performance collapses on rare defects (spillage ~53 AP, missing units ~27 AP), where the supervised ceiling is bounded by data availability. To drive future progress in this domain, we provide a new low-prevalence retail AD dataset (Kaputt-Rare). Across both tracks, computational efficiency is assessed as a first-class metric combining performance, throughput, memory, and power consumption. We introduce a novel metric for measuring efficiency and reveal that that top-performing methods rely on heavy architectures while efficiency is largely neglected. Overall, we conclude that the community needs (a) more efficiency-aware method development, and (b) true anomaly detection approaches for rare defects and shifting conditions. https://sites.google.com/view/vand4-cvpr2026/challenge

Abstract: In this paper, we study the estimation of a marginal regression function from independent units with repeated binary, count, or continuous responses using ReLU deep neural networks. In the model, we assume that the dependence is generated by an unobserved random mean function within each unit. We then fit a neural network with a convex generalized regression loss. We show an oracle inequality by separating conditional measurement variation from between-unit variation. In addition, we prove that with $n$ units and $m$ measurements per unit, ReLU networks can attain an integrated mean squared error of order $n^{-1}+(nm)^{-2β/(2β+d)}$, up to logarithmic factors, over $β$-Hölder classes. We also derive a weighted oracle inequality for unequal cluster sizes and a rate for compositionally smooth functions. For pointwise ensemble inference, we give a projection central limit theorem and prove infinitesimal jackknife consistency under an explicit asymptotic linearity condition. Simulations and real data examples are provided to support our theoretical findings and practical implications.

Abstract: An assistant watching egocentric video should notice a mistake from past frames alone, before the next step begins, and keep working once the person recovers. A mistake changes the state of the work, so every later step has to be read against what was done rather than against the plan. The first-mistake protocol that current online methods report on cuts each recording at its first mistake, so a fixed-time rule that never looks at the video is right on every case. We evaluate on complete trials, where mistakes and recoveries arise naturally, under a validation false-alarm budget and against controls that use timing alone. PROVIA keeps two records apart: a factual state, a learned summary of the steps each actor performed, mistakes included, and the accepted progress, an exact posterior over the state of an automaton induced from correct demonstrations by Bayesian state merging and over the execution status of each actor. Procedure-state transitions occur only in the correct-status branch; the mistake and correction branches retain the source state. A sequential test turns the per-frame mistake probability into alarms. With one filter and one optimization rule, PROVIA ranks mistakes best among the evaluated controlled baselines on CaptainCook4D, IndustReal, HoloAssist and IMPACT-ego. At a validation budget of 0.1 false alarms per minute it recalls .154 against .128 on CaptainCook4D and .034 against .015 on HoloAssist, where it leads at every budget. The pipeline runs at 58-70 frames per second. The source code is available at https://github.com/Kratos-Wen/PROVIA.

Abstract: We present Personalized Federated Hierarchical Gaussian Processes (pFedHGP) for probabilistic regression and classification when data are distributed across heterogeneous clients. Each client's latent function decomposes into (i) a shared global component, (ii) a client-specific deviation that shares the global kernel structure, and (iii) a flexible local residual. Sparse inducing-variable approximations and federated variational inference keep raw data local while the server synchronizes only low-dimensional statistics for the shared component. Full predictive distributions support uncertainty-aware decisions. In application studies, pFedHGP attains perfect fault classification in press tonnage monitoring using 13.77% of labeled cycles and recovers geographic zones in federated air-quality modeling without centralizing station-level time series. An Instantaneous Linear Mixing Model viewpoint links the hierarchy to multi-output Gaussian processes for correlated sensors.

Abstract: Industrial process monitoring is fundamental to the safety and economic performance of modern process plants. Current practice remains a one-task-one-model paradigm that is label-inefficient and prone to degradation under operating drift. Foundation models have reshaped language, vision, and generic time-series forecasting, but it has not been adapted to industrial process monitoring. This setting poses domain-specific challenges, including safety-critical decisions and asymmetric sampling between process variables and laboratory measurements. We propose the industrial process monitoring foundation model (IPM-FM). It first learns general-purpose representations from unlabeled industrial process data through self-supervised pretraining, then adapts to specific monitoring tasks using a small amount of task-labeled data, and finally produces calibrated predictions through an uncertainty-aware prediction head. IPM-FM integrates a self-supervised Informer backbone with a multi-criteria consensus feature selector, a recursive lag-feature regression head, and a calibrated Monte Carlo dropout uncertainty module. On a seven-year hydrotreater dataset for diesel flash-point soft sensing, IPM-FM attains an RMSE of 2.99, $R^2$ of 0.50, and 97\% coverage of its 95\% predictive interval, outperforming the strongest classical and from-scratch sequence baselines by 8.3\% and 14.6\% in RMSE respectively, supporting the viability of a unified pretraining--adaptation framework for industrial process monitoring.