Papers for

insurance analytics teams

Papers whose findings have a practical use for this group, as judged from the abstract. Open a paper to read what it means in practice.

Multi agent system improves accuracy of natural language SQL queries

NL2SQL with Iterative Self-Refinement

Abstract: Bridging the gap between human intent and machine logic remains a critical challenge in data access for non-technical users, yet Large Language Models (LLMs) remain unreliable: they hallucinate schema elements, generate syntactically invalid queries, or fail to capture user intent. These limitations are especially critical in domains such as insurance, where KPIs, regulatory constraints, and legacy relational systems demand high precision. We introduce a multi-agent, persona-driven NL2SQL framework that combines (1) domain relevance detection, (2) schema-grounded knowledge construction, (3) KPI-aware SQL synthesis, (4) syntax-level self-repair using sqlite execution feedback, and (5) semantic consistency checking via SQL-to-NL reverse engineering. Our system significantly reduces query hallucination and improves semantic fidelity compared to direct LLM prompting. Evaluated on 60 queries (50 from a HuggingFace text-to-SQL dataset and 10 custom domain queries), the system achieves 90% correctness using Mistral across seven coordinated LLM calls showing that this approach can substantially increase the reliability of NL2SQL pipelines in high-stakes environments.

Fri 16 OctDatabasesArtificial Intelligence
The gist
Turning spoken or written questions into database commands is tricky because computers often make mistakes interpreting the user's intent or the database structure. The authors created a system that uses several cooperating AI ‘agents’, each with a specific role, to catch and fix errors. These agents check if the question matches the topic, understand the database layout, consider relevant performance indicators, fix syntax errors by running the query, and verify meaning by converting the query back into words. Their method made database queries from language much more reliable, especially in precise areas like insurance.
Open → 2610.22968v1

LifeLong digital twin models whole-person health over a lifetime

LifeLong Digital Twin: A Unified Modeling Paradigm and Agent Harness for Event-Driven Lifelong Health State Trajectories

Abstract: Human health is a continuous, dynamic trajectory shaped by the cumulative interplay of biological processes, clinical events, behaviors and environmental exposures across the life course. Unifying the full breadth of lifelong health information, including longitudinal records, genetic variation, molecular profiles and environmental histories, is essential for whole-person modeling and remains a major challenge. We introduce LifeLong Digital Twin, a unified, event-driven modeling paradigm that organizes Life Events into daily Health States and accumulates them into Lifelong Health Context. An accompanying Agent Harness incorporates multimodal evidence beyond the language model's textual context. We evaluate four language models across 25 disease endpoints on three tasks: Disease Trajectory Forecasting, Disease Risk Ranking and Multi-horizon Disease Prediction. The approach yields marked gains over the reference condition: model-averaged F1 increases by 22.0% for disease identification in trajectory forecasting and 18.3% for five-year disease outcomes; thyroid-disease F1 reaches 0.669. The framework provides a foundation for whole-person digital twins and research on personalized lifelong disease prevention.

Sun 4 OctArtificial Intelligence
The gist
Human health changes every day based on many factors like biology, behavior, and environment. The authors created a system called LifeLong Digital Twin to track health events and states continuously throughout life. This system uses advanced language models combined with other data types to better predict diseases and their risks over time. Their tests show improved accuracy in forecasting diseases and ranking health risks for individuals.
Open → 2610.05566v1

Efficient large-scale Cox regression with grouped sets and better rates

Scalable Cox Regression via Grouped Risk Sets and Sharper LogSumExp Rates

Abstract: Motivated by the computational challenges of large-scale Cox regression, we study stochastic minimization of LogSumExp objectives over large sets. Mini-batch normalizer estimates generally yield biased gradients. We instead use a softplus surrogate that introduces one auxiliary scalar per normalizer and admits unbiased single-sample gradients. For smooth convex LogSumExp objectives, we prove an $O(T^{-1/2})$ averaged objective bound, improving the previous $T^{-1/4}$ analysis. With a strongly convex regularizer on the original variable, we also obtain a last-iterate squared-error rate of $\widetilde{O}(T^{-1})$ without strong convexity in the auxiliary variables. For Cox regression, the normalizers are defined over nested risk sets. We exploit this structure by grouping neighboring failures and sharing one auxiliary variable per group. The resulting compressed objective admits uniform score and curvature bounds that control the errors from grouping and softplus approximation. Together with the general optimization result, these bounds give a mean-square rate of $T^{-4/5}$, up to logarithmic factors, relative to the full Cox solution. The compressed estimator also matches the full estimator's asymptotic distribution. Experiments on synthetic and real survival datasets with slowly decreasing risk sets show a favorable performance relative to stochastic baselines.

Wed 30 SeptMachine Learning
The gist
Cox regression is a popular method used to analyze survival data, but it can be very slow when the data is huge. The authors found a new way to speed it up by grouping related events and using a special mathematical trick that reduces errors in calculations. They proved their method is more accurate and faster than older techniques and tested it on both synthetic and real data, showing it works well. This means it can help process large survival datasets more efficiently.
Open → 2609.40120v1