industrial operations teams

Abstract: Temporal foundation models such as Chronos and TimesFM generalize across domains through a shared numerical observation space. In contrast, discrete event sequences (DESs), including operational event logs or patient clinical-event trajectories, have domain-specific event vocabularies whose labels lack a consistent correspondence across domains. Beyond this lack of consistency, the number of distinct events in real-world settings is high enough to challenge both classical temporal point process modeling and current in-context foundation inference models such as FIM-PP. Critically, current foundation models for DESs are limited to a small, fixed number of event types, restricting their applicability to realistic, high-dimensional event streams. To address this, we propose two complementary modules: (i) DES-JEPA, a joint-embedding predictive architecture that learns a shared discrete vocabulary from synthetic stochastic processes with unaligned event vocabularies; and (ii) DES-PFN, a discrete event sequence prior-fitted network that reuses the learned vocabulary for in-context next-event prediction. Without task-specific fine-tuning, this framework achieves competitive zero-shot performance on eight unseen real-world datasets and scales up to 700 distinct event types.

Abstract: Can large language model (LLM) agents deliver expert-level operations research (OR) solutions directly from original client materials, without prior expert reformulation? Existing OR benchmarks typically begin with self-contained descriptions or predefined optimization tasks, underrepresenting the translation of original business materials into professionally validated solutions. We introduce OR-License, an end-to-end benchmark of 31 instances across 10 industrial scenarios from paid OR engagements totaling USD 3.68 million. It preserves original requirements, input data, deliverable formats, and information boundaries after de-identification. To study information acquisition, we introduce ORSim, a controlled client simulator that discloses business facts without supplying OR expertise. Hidden evaluation checks feasibility and compares objective quality against original expert solutions accepted by clients before benchmark construction. Deployment-Adjusted Quality (DAQ) averages expert-relative quality across instances, assigning zero to infeasible deliveries. Across 11 frontier LLMs using coding-agent harnesses, several exceed the expert reference in conditional objective quality, but none matches its DAQ; the strongest primary Claude Code configuration achieves 88.39% strict feasibility and a DAQ of 0.87 against the expert reference of 1. Client information acquisition extends beyond clarification into solution development and validation, with some later stages showing higher confirmed issue-resolution proportions. Trajectory analysis identifies formulation and implementation failures, while task-equalized research-chain completion rates range from 24% to 45% across models on evaluable tasks. These findings motivate sustained information-gap resolution, faithful problem formulation, and evidence-linked self-improvement for reliable long-horizon agents.

Abstract: Time series anomaly detection (TSAD) remains challenging not only because anomaly labels are scarce, but also because temporal anomalies are highly context-dependent. Existing methods often rely on unsupervised objectives or surrogate abnormal patterns, providing limited supervision for context-dependent normal--anomalous distinctions. We propose Context-Anchored Pair Supervision (CAPS), a supervision-recovery framework for TSAD. CAPS views ideal anomaly supervision as a matched comparison between normal and anomalous outcomes under the same temporal context, and seeks to recover such supervision without target-domain anomaly labels. Using simulated normal--anomalous pairs, CAPS learns structure and anomaly-semantic representations through reconstruction, background consistency, and within-pair counterfactual recombination. The resulting anomaly representations form a continuous semantic space with coarse modes and induce a sampleable multimodal prior. CAPS conditionally realizes sampled semantics as residual-form effects on target reference trajectories. The resulting context-anchored normal--anomalous counterparts provide temporal supervision for discriminative detector learning. Experiments on nine datasets show that CAPS achieves the strongest aggregate performance across all four evaluation metrics among the compared methods, while complementary ablations and transfer analyses support the roles of context anchoring, semantic disentanglement, and conditional realization.

Abstract: Effective anomaly detection frameworks are a central pillar of the Industry 4.0 paradigm. In this paper, we introduce an Optimal Transport (OT)-based framework for anomaly detection, designed to detect deviations from normal behaviour in time-series sensor data. The OT-based method requires minimal user input and adapts to real-time data without the need for labelled training data. Our method effectively addresses existing limitations related to data labelling, generalisability, and scalability, demonstrating resilience against short-term fluctuations, noise, and data gaps - common challenges in industrial environments. Additionally, our method provides counterfactual explanations improving the auditability of the approach when deployed in industrial settings. The proposed method learns the mapping between normal and observed operating conditions through a sliding reference window that adapts to the dynamicity of the data. We evaluate our approach on three industrial datasets, from shipping, industrial HVAC systems, and publicly available benchmark data. The method was highly effective in identifying anomalies and reducing false positives, outperforming traditional methods, while maintaining computational efficiency and ease of configuration.