healthcare ai developers

Abstract: Deep learning models for dynamic survival analysis (DSA) achieve strong predictive performance by incorporating longitudinal patient data, but their black box nature limits clinical trust and adoption. Existing explainability methods cannot handle longitudinal, irregular inputs and functional survival outputs simultaneously, which limits their usability in DSA. We propose DynSHAP, a SHAP framework suited specifically for dynamic survival analysis. It extends common marginal SHAP estimators to this setting by treating time--feature pairs as players in the Shapley game. We further introduce Temporal DynSHAP, which learns linear dependencies in features over time and uses conditional sampling to address them in explanations. When applied to synthetic data with known ground-truth attributions, Temporal DynSHAP recovers temporally dependent features more accurately than marginal estimators for a given state-of-the-art model. Applied to two real-world clinical datasets and two DSA architectures, DynSHAP produces attributions faithful to model learning, allowing medical experts to see which patient information drove the prediction and when.

Abstract: Genetic Programming and its variants, such as grammatical evolution, are widely used in Symbolic Regression to derive mathematical expressions from multivariate data. In addition to predictive accuracy, models are appreciated for their potential to provide interpretability, offering explicit equations that relate input variables to outcomes. However, achieving interpretability and plausibility remains challenging, as evolved models may be complex or scientifically inconsistent. In this study, we explore whether Large Language Models, can assist in improving the explainability of Symbolic Regression models generated by evolutionary computation methods. Building upon our previous work on estimating body fat percentage using grammar-based Genetic Programming , we investigate the use of LLMs as post-processing tools to analyze and rank evolved expressions according to their interpretability and medical plausibility. Four symbolic expressions are analysed by three LLMs over three repeated runs, and the resulting interpretations and rankings are assessed by a panel of three clinicians. Across the three LLMs, comparative model-ranking outputs received more favorable clinician assessments than isolated term-level interpretations. However, the LLMs also produced physiologically and mathematically questionable explanations, indicating that they are better suited to comparative auditing under expert oversight than to autonomous validation.\blfootnote{The present work is an extended version of a paper submitted into a journal.

Abstract: Adapting natural-image foundation models like DINOv3 to multi-modal medical imaging is challenging due to the significant domain gap between natural color images and multi-channel medical scans. We present a unified, patch-based framework that processes raw multimodal imaging through training-free registration, automated localization, and mask-filtered patch extraction. This architecture culminates in a hierarchical strategy that aggregates patch-level insights into subject-level diagnostics. Using liver fibrosis staging as a case study, we evaluate four patch-level feature representations: handcrafted Radiomics features, learned ResNet features, pre-trained foundation model SAM-Med2D features, and frozen DINOv3 features. To ensure a controlled comparison, all models utilize the same lightweight MLP head and are evaluated across both rigid and deformable registration settings. Our training protocol focuses on mild fibrosis (S1) and cirrhosis (S4) classes only, enabling a single classifier to address both substantial fibrosis detection and cirrhosis staging. Evaluated via 10 random train (90%)/ test (10%) splits on 360 subjects from the CARE 2025 Liver Track 4 cohort, our DINOv3-based framework significantly outperforms all baselines, achieving the best classification accuracy of 78.4% for S1 and 75.8% for S4.

Abstract: Background: Emergency Department (ED) return visits are commonly reviewed for quality assurance, but are often limited (e.g., to revisits within 48-72 hours) to increase actionable finding yield while minimizing chart review burden. Those limitations may lead to missed quality improvement opportunities. Methods: We conducted an exploratory, retrospective study of randomly selected ED visits to a multihospital health system having an ED revisit within 1-14 days to the same health system. Given only each visit's primary diagnosis, raters (2-3 clinicians and GPT-4 large language model [LLM]) assessed characteristics of the diagnosis pairs, including the "target": whether a pair warranted further assessment. Informed by rater response analyses, an algorithm leveraging an LLM-populated knowledge graph ("KGA") was created to automatically screen for potentially concerning pairs, then preliminarily assessed. Results: 99 diagnosis pairs were included. GPT-4 responses poorly correlated to clinician raters, rating nearly all (94%) pairs as warranting follow-up (4.4-13.3 times more than clinicians). However, prompt engineering was minimal. Among clinician raters, revisit medical gravity was consistently significantly associated with the target, while a differential diagnosis/complication composite was significantly associated on unadjusted, but not adjusted (though less powered) analysis. The KGA achieved 83-100% positive predictive value for at least one clinician rater determining further assessment was warranted based on the diagnosis pair. Conclusion: These results can inform next steps for improving screening with LLMs like ChatGPT. Further research is warranted to validate this preliminary work's finding that the KGA may enable enhancing the scope and yield of screening without substantially increasing reviewer workload.

Abstract: As medical wearables become integrated into daily chronic disease care, effectively interpreting longitudinal monitoring data is essential for patients and clinicians to understand health trends, detect safety-critical events, and make informed decisions. While large language models (LLMs) show promise for transforming this streaming physiological data into personalized health insights, evaluating their reasoning capability and analytical rigor in diverse monitoring tasks remains a fundamental challenge. Existing medical wearable question answering (QA) benchmarks primarily assess short-horizon classification or statistical summaries, largely ignoring the long-term patterns, therapeutic and behavioural contexts, and potential system failures inherent in real-world deployments. To address this, we introduce HealthLoopQA, a comprehensive diagnostic benchmark for evaluating LLM reasoning over continuous diabetes monitoring data. Grounded in a novel taxonomy of eleven atomic reasoning abilities, HealthLoopQA comprises 127 tasks and over 1,500 QA instances spanning process mining, anomaly detection, and prediction over 30-day horizons. To systematically evaluate safety awareness, we complement real-world datasets with a fault-injected simulation testbed modeling diverse device malfunctions and cyber-physical attacks to generate physiologically plausible hazard scenarios. Evaluating state-of-the-art LLMs across prompting and agentic frameworks reveals severe limitations in complex temporal pattern mining. Furthermore, we identify a broader phenomenon of In-context Laziness under long-context prompting, highlighting critical open challenges in deploying LLMs for rigorous long-horizon medical reasoning.