Papers for
financial trading teams
Papers whose findings have a practical use for this group, as judged from the abstract. Open a paper to read what it means in practice.
Agent system uses past trading memory to improve financial decisions
Agent Memory with Episodic Retrieval for Financial Decision-Making
Abstract: Large language models (LLMs) have demonstrated strong capabilities in financial analysis and reasoning, inspiring recent advances in agent-based trading frameworks. While these systems show promise, prior approaches either emphasize long-horizon forecasting or operate as stateless analyzers, limiting their applicability to the demands of trading in complicated settings. To address these gaps, we introduce META (Memory Enhanced Trading Agent), the first RAG-like episodic-memory-augmented multi-agent framework for financial decision making. META integrates a family of specialized indicator agents (e.g., Trend, MACD, Stochastic, RSI, SMA, AVWAP, Heikin-Ashi) with a Decision Agent that fuses their reports, and a Memory module that retrieves and updates past trading episodes encoded as market state embeddings with outcomes and reflections. By recalling relevant experiences and adaptively reweighting signals under similar market regimes, META achieves improved directional accuracy and robustness under short-horizon evaluation. Our results demonstrate that episodic memory provides a powerful mechanism for regime-aware, interpretable, and low-latency decision-making in trading and decision making. The code of this project is released on GitHub.
Transformer model improves long multivariate time series forecasting accuracy
SETTer: Sparse-Encoder Transformer for Long-term Multivariate Time Series Forecasting
Abstract: Long-term multivariate time series plays a significant role in many application areas such as power systems, trading, etc. However, their accurate prediction is quite difficult for conventional forecasting methods as they often exhibit high dimensionality and complex relationships. Recent works show that transformer-based approaches are quite effective for long-term forecasting thanks to their attention mechanism. However, in the presence of complex high-dimensional inputs, they show evidence of oversmoothing, limited capacity, and opacity. To this end, this paper introduces SETTer, a transformer-based model that addresses these challenges by incorporating novel techniques for decoupled self-attention and hybrid masking. The proposed techniques enable SETTer to effectively capture the dominant short- and long-term patterns across the temporal and channel dimensions. In addition, we enrich the model layers with simple explainable structures that indicate the discriminative pattern of SETTer. We show that with a single-layer transformer architecture, SETTer can effectively model long-term dependencies in the presence of varying data complexities. Extensive experiments on real-word benchmark datasets for long-term multivariate time series forecasting demonstrate that SETTer outperforms state-of-the-art models in 88% of the scenarios.