financial services teams

Abstract: Time-series forecasting plays a vital role in a wide range of real-world applications. Recent approaches have achieved strong performance by modeling temporal correlations and cross-channel dependencies, yet most forecasting benchmarks still represent time series primarily as numerical histories. In practice, time series are observations of complex real-world processes, and their trajectories may reflect events, interventions, disruptions, and changes in measurement or reporting that cannot always be inferred from past values alone. A central barrier to studying context-aware forecasting is therefore the lack of large-scale datasets that align real-world events with the individual series they affect. We present World2TS, a scalable construction framework and large-scale dataset for time-series forecasting with real-world event context. We first develop world2ts-core, a reusable tool that combines agent-led semantic reasoning and Web search, command-line execution and validation, and human review within a feedback-driven discovery workflow. Given heterogeneous time series with semantic descriptions, the workflow discovers candidate events, consolidates retrieved evidence into verified events, and links them to relevant series under explicit temporal and semantic scopes. Using this framework, we construct world2ts-data, which contains 31 datasets across six domains, comprising 4,179 series, 97.1 million observations, 1,159 events, and 56,846 event-series links. We further conduct extensive data analyses and controlled comparative experiments to characterize the dataset and demonstrate the utility of the collected context for improving forecasting accuracy. World2TS provides a reusable data foundation for developing and evaluating context-aware forecasting models and agents. The project homepage is available at https://world2ts.github.io/.

Abstract: Question answering over spreadsheet collections requires finding the correct workbook and computing over complete tables. We introduce Find-then-Compute (FiCo), which retrieves document summaries, disambiguates similar workbooks, and executes constrained Structured Query Language (SQL) over the selected full table. On DataBench (80 datasets, 1,810 questions), FiCo reaches 76.2% accuracy: 9.9 points above a strong TableRAG-style baseline on the same frozen workbook choices (66.3%) under the tracks' prespecified evaluators, and 63.4 points above prefix RAG (12.8%). On 508 MiMoTable questions, FiCo reaches 79.7%, versus 22.2% for prefix RAG. Giving the strong baseline the gold workbook raises it from 66.3% to 76.3%, exposing a 10.0-point source-selection cost under fixed compute. Despite 95.1% document recall and 98.5% executable SQL, only 81.3% of questions execute on the gold workbook. FiCo's advantage comes from integrating semantic source selection with exact, schema-grounded computation.