Papers for
financial modelers
Papers whose findings have a practical use for this group, as judged from the abstract. Open a paper to read what it means in practice.
Deep operator learning speeds up sampling for complex stochastic systems
Deep operator learning for efficient sampling from invariant measures of stochastic differential equations
Abstract: We introduce an amortized neural sampler that combines operator learning with flow methods for sampling. It maps SDE coefficient functions to pushforwards from a reference measure to the invariant measures, enabling efficient sampling across families of stochastic differential equations. Our framework shifts traditional sampling cost to an initial training phase, after which new SDE instances require only one encoder pass and a few ODE solver steps, independent of mixing time. To handle problems in high dimensions, we use Lagrangian trajectory sensors for the coefficient functions and cross attention in the architecture. We also theoretically establish the expressivity and resolution invariance of our framework. Experiments on 1D and 2D SDE families show competitive accuracy with substantial speedups over MCMC in regimes with slow mixing, transfer across sensor counts, and demonstration results on a 64D interacting particle SDE where traditional grid approaches are infeasible.
Integration method reduces sample size with similar accuracy benefits
Quasi-Monte Carlo Beyond Hardy-Krause II: $(1 + \varepsilon)n$ Samples Suffice
Abstract: Numerical integration studies how well one can estimate the integral of a function $f$ over $[0,1)^d$ using $n$ sample points. The two classical methods, Monte Carlo (MC) and quasi-Monte Carlo (QMC), have complementary strengths and weaknesses, and a fundamental question is to design an approach that combines the benefits of both. Recently, building on the transference principle in discrepancy theory, Bansal and Jiang~\cite{BJ25a} gave a randomized QMC method that bridges MC and QMC guarantees using only i.i.d.\ samples. Their method also goes beyond the classical Koksma--Hlawka inequality: it achieves integration error $\widetilde{O}_d(σ_{\mathsf{SO}}(f)/n)$, where the smoothed-out variation $σ_{\mathsf{SO}}(f)$ can be substantially smaller than the Hardy--Krause variation that governs the classical bound. However, their algorithm requires $n^2$ i.i.d.\ samples as input, and this quadratic blowup is inherent to any method based on the transference principle. In this work, we bypass the quadratic blowup: for any constant $\varepsilon > 0$, we show that $(1+\varepsilon)n$ i.i.d.\ samples suffice to both obtain the beyond-Hardy--Krause guarantee of~\cite{BJ25a}, resolving an open problem posed there, and to produce low-discrepancy point sequences. Our algorithms are variants of the online Haar-thinning method of Dwivedi, Feldheim, Gurel-Gurevich, and Ramdas~\cite{DFG+19}.
Improving gradient mapping complexity for constrained stochastic min max problems
How to Make the Gradient Mapping Small for Constrained Stochastic Min-Max Problems and Beyond
Abstract: We study the stochastic first-order oracle complexity for constrained or regularized convex-concave min-max optimization and stochastic monotone variational inequalities. We focus on the case when suboptimality is measured in terms of the gradient mapping, also known as, forward-backward or natural residual, an optimality notion that generalizes the gradient norm for unconstrained problems. In this setting, under standard unbiased oracle access with now-standard variance assumptions, the best-known complexity for making the norm of the gradient mapping less than $\varepsilon$ is $\widetilde{O}(\varepsilon^{-4})$, compared to the near-optimal $\widetilde{O}(\varepsilon^{-2})$ that is established in the unconstrained case. We bridge this gap to improve the gradient mapping complexity for constrained convex-concave min-max problems to $\widetilde{O}(\varepsilon^{-2})$. We then extend to prove the same complexity for problems without the bounded variance, by using the Blum-Gladyshev assumption.
Sharp risk bounds found for estimating effects in partial linear models
Sharp Structure-Agnostic Minimax Risk for Partial Linear Models
Abstract: We characterize the sharp structure-agnostic minimax risk for coefficient estimation in the partial linear model when the outcome and treatment nuisances are learned by two distinct black-box learners, which resolves the open problem in double machine learning posed by Gu (2025). For each nuisance \(q\in\{μ,π\}\), we characterize the available learner by an approximation-error budget \(a_q\) and a stochastic-error budget \(s_q\), with the latter controlled through localized Rademacher complexity. Writing \(\mathcal E_n\) for the minimax mean-squared error, we show that \[\mathcal E_n\asymp1\wedge\left\{\frac1n+\left(a_μa_π+\min\left\{a_πs_μ+s_π^2,\,a_μs_π+s_μ^2\right\}\right)^2\right\}.\] The main new ingredient is a novel lower bound for the general two-learner problem. Our proof constructs four finite-mixture testing experiments using orthogonal code functions. Across these experiments, the hidden perturbations are placed outside both learner classes, outside only the treatment learner class, outside only the outcome learner class, or inside both learner classes. These four configurations capture, respectively, the interaction between the two approximation errors, the two asymmetric interactions between one learner's approximation error and the other learner's learning error, and the joint estimation difficulty of learning both nuisances. Combining the four resulting lower bounds yields the displayed rate, which matches the latest upper bound in Gu (2026). Our result shows that standard double machine learning can overstate the intrinsic difficulty of target estimation and provides a target-specific principle for learner selection: approximation error and stochastic complexity must be jointly balanced across the two nuisance learners rather than optimized separately.
Smoothed Picard method improves sampling from complex shapes
Smoothed Picard Hamiltonian Monte Carlo
Abstract: We develop a new low-accuracy sampler, called \emph{smoothed Picard Hamiltonian Monte Carlo}, which combines Gaussian smoothing, Picard iteration, and higher-order discretization. For a log-concave target $π\propto \exp(-V)$ in dimension $d$ satisfying $0 \prec αI \preceq \nabla^2 V \preceq βI$, with condition number $κ:= β/α$, smoothed Picard HMC returns a sample with $\sqrt α\,W_2(\cdot,π) \le \varepsilon$ using $\widetilde O(κ^2 + κ^{7/6} d^{1/6}/\varepsilon^{1/3})$ gradient queries. We also prove stronger $W_q$ bounds, and then develop an algorithmic framework, the recursive warm start generator, to upgrade these $W_q$ bounds to stronger divergence guarantees. This produces a warm start for the proximal bouncy particle sampler, introduced in a companion work, leading to a high-accuracy log-concave sampler with complexity $\widetilde O((κ^{7/6} d^{1/6} + κ^{1/2} d^{1/4})\mathrm{polylog}(1/\varepsilon))$.