Papers for

environmental modeling teams

Papers whose findings have a practical use for this group, as judged from the abstract. Open a paper to read what it means in practice.

GPU mixed precision speeds up spatial confidence mapping for environmental data

Mixed-Precision GPU Acceleration for Confidence Regions of Spatial Excursion Sets

Abstract: A spatial excursion set identifies where a field exceeds a threshold. With incomplete and noisy observations, inner and outer confidence regions quantify uncertainty in its spatial extent through lower and upper bounds at a specified confidence level. Constructing these regions requires repeated conditional simulations accounting for joint spatial uncertainty, making dense covariance factorization and simulation major computational bottlenecks. We present a GPU-accelerated framework that combines adaptive tile-based mixed-precision arithmetic with distributed task execution to accelerate universal kriging, prediction-uncertainty estimation, conditional Gaussian simulation, and confidence region calibration. In our parallel mixed-precision simulation workflow, triangular matrix-matrix multiplication (TRMM) inherits the adaptive precision layout of the Cholesky factor and uses FP16 simulation operands, while covariance scaling and compensating operand rescaling accommodate the numerical range of reduced precision arithmetic. With appropriate precision tolerances, empirical coverage is close to the double-precision reference and the nominal 90% confidence level across weak, medium, and strong spatial correlation. Ocean surface-salinity experiments show close agreement with the double-precision reference in spatial predictions and confidence regions. On four NVIDIA A100 GPUs (40 GB each), mixed-precision TRMM reaches 6.36x to 6.93x the theoretical FP64 peak throughput. On four NVIDIA GH200 Hopper GPUs, it reaches 10.20x to 11.03x. Each AMD MI250X node has eight GPU dies. Aggregate throughput rises by 9.1x to 11.5x from 1 to 16 nodes under weak scaling and by 1.6x to 1.9x from 4 to 16 nodes under strong scaling. Adaptive mixed-precision accelerates large-scale excursion set analysis while preserving the statistical accuracy required for spatial uncertainty quantification.

Sun 18 OctDistributed, Parallel, and Cluster Computing
The gist
Some scientists want to find out where a natural phenomenon, like ocean salinity, goes above a certain level, but they have limited and noisy data. The authors show a way to use powerful graphics processors with clever shortcuts in math precision to run many computer simulations faster without losing accuracy. This method helps measure uncertainty about where exactly this phenomenon is happening. Their tests on ocean data show the faster method gives almost the same results as slower, more precise calculations.
Open → 2610.25039v1

Retain and repair neural operators improve real world simulation predictions

Beyond Simulation: Retain-and-Repair Neural Operators for Real-World Adaptation

Abstract: Neural operators increasingly benefit from pretraining on numerical simulations, yet adapting them for real-world prediction remains challenging. We introduce the Retain-and-Repair Neural Operator (R$^2$NO), a framework for adapting simulation-pretrained operators to real-world data while retaining useful pretrained structure. The pretrained operator is first finetuned on real data and then frozen to provide a source prediction, and a shared repair module learns a sequence of refinements from the same observations. Using orthogonal Fourier projections, a spectral ensemble fits a small ridge regression within each cell of the Fourier domain and combines the refinements by weights fitted on a held-out split of the real data. The cells are defined jointly by radial ranges, angular sectors, and measured channels, allowing refinement depth to vary with frequency magnitude, with orientation, and across channels. Including the source prediction as a candidate makes retention available in every cell, and independently trained repair modules enter the same combination as additional candidates. On all RealPDEBench systems and six backbones, R$^2$NO consistently outperforms full finetuning and iterative refinement. The framework treats adaptation depth as a cell-specific choice learned from real data.

Wed 30 SeptMachine Learning
The gist
Neural operators are tools trained on computer simulations to predict complex systems, but they often struggle to work well with real-world data. The authors introduce a method called Retain-and-Repair Neural Operator (R2NO) that first fine-tunes these tools on real data and then uses a repair module to make detailed improvements. This approach keeps useful parts of the original model while adapting it better to real-world situations. Testing showed that R2NO outperforms existing methods on various benchmark problems.
Open → 2609.39387v1