Papers for

energy storage operators

Papers whose findings have a practical use for this group, as judged from the abstract. Open a paper to read what it means in practice.

Semantic battery data improves health forecasts and insights

Sera: Semantic Representation Aggregation for Reliable and Interpretable Battery Health Forecasting

Abstract: Battery state of health (SoH) forecasting is important for battery management, but remains challenging due to nonlinear degradation and heterogeneity across batteries. Existing data-driven approaches primarily use temporal models to learn from numerical battery time series, and higher-level degradation characteristics are often not explicitly represented. These characteristics, however, can provide degradation guidance to support reliable forecasting and make the influence of degradation more interpretable. In this paper, we propose \textsc{Sera}, a \underline{se}mantic \underline{r}epresentation \underline{a}ggregation framework that complements temporal modelling with degradation semantics. Guided by battery domain expertise, \textsc{Sera} extracts degradation semantics from time series and constructs two complementary representations using rule-based knowledge and LLM-based interpretation. The representations are independently encoded and integrated with the representation learned by temporal models through gated aggregations. Experiments on the mainstream benchmark across multiple prediction horizons and different temporal models show that \textsc{Sera} consistently improves forecasting performance, achieving up to a 37.3\% reduction in prediction error over the temporal baseline and enhanced generalizability. Counterfactual analysis examines how forecasts respond to changes in degradation semantics to assess interpretability. The results show that prediction responses are consistent with the meanings of key degradation descriptors across tested horizons. Together, these findings demonstrate that structured degradation semantics and effective aggregation can improve forecasting accuracy and support reliable and interpretable battery health forecasting for advanced battery management.

Thu 8 OctMachine LearningArtificial Intelligence
The gist
Batteries wear out over time, but predicting exactly how and when can be hard because each battery is different and ages in complex ways. The authors created a new method called Sera that not only looks at the usual battery data over time but also adds expert knowledge about how batteries degrade. This approach combines rules from battery experts and interprets data with large language models to better understand battery health changes. Tests show Sera makes predictions more accurate and easier to understand. This helps battery managers trust forecasts and plan better battery use.
Open → 2610.11567v1

Trading algorithms with storage limits achieve near optimal profits

Trading with the STARS: Algorithm Design & Spectrum of Fundamental Limits for Trading with Storage

Abstract: We study an online trading problem where a trader, given a sequence of i.i.d. prices drawn from a known distribution $F$ on $[0,1]$, must make irrevocable buy, sell, or hold decisions subject to storage constraints. We investigate achievable algorithmic performance measured in terms of regret, the difference between the expected profit of the hindsight optimal policy that knows the entire price sequence and an online algorithm. We analyze finite atomic and continuous distributions characterized by their local behavior around the median which we capture using a parameter $β$. The parameter $β$ quantifies how the mass of prices accumulates around the distribution median. We identify a new driver of algorithmic performance, demonstrating that median gaps coupled with an initial inventory level of zero can force regret scaling of $Ω(T^{(β+ 1)/(2β+4)})$ --- establishing a novel spectrum of fundamental limits on algorithmic performance. We then study STARS, short for Storage Trading by Averaging Repeatedly across multiple Scenarios, which simulates possible future price scenarios to approximate the value-to-go function and make buy/sell/hold decisions. We show that STARS obtain near-optimal algorithmic performance (upto poly-logarithmic factors) across a broad range of distributions. In particular, it achieves $O(\log T)$ regret for finite atomic prices, $\widetilde{O}(T^{β/(2β+2)})$ for continuous distributions without a median gap and $\widetilde{O}(T^{(β+1)/(2β+4)})$ for continuous distributions with a median gap for $β\geq 0$.

Mon 5 OctData Structures and AlgorithmsComputer Science and Game Theory
The gist
This paper looks at how to make the best buy, sell, or hold decisions when trading a product with limits on storage, using prices that come from a known range but change over time. The authors show how the difficulty of this task depends on how prices cluster around the middle value, and they prove that some amount of error in decision-making is unavoidable. They introduce an algorithm called STARS that tries out many future price possibilities to decide what to do next. STARS performs very well and nearly matches the best possible decisions across a wide variety of price patterns.
Open → 2610.07285v1

Battery storage dispatch improved by cost-aware reinforcement learning methods

Cost-Aware Reinforcement Learning with Action Masking and Projection for Battery Energy Storage Dispatch under Suppressed-Spread Market Shifts

Abstract: Battery energy storage system (BESS) dispatch must preserve operational feasibility while declining price spreads reduce the margin available to pay for cycling. We study a proximal policy optimization (PPO) controller whose pre-selection physical action mask and emergency projection are separated from a causal, forecast-informed economic advisory. All forecast-dependent methods receive the same causal 24-step forecast and grid-side settlement. Across five PPO seeds, advice-on net profit is 30.59 and 18.04 USD per 336-hour T1 and T2 window, versus 36.77 and 22.94 USD for proxy-cost MPC; PPO remains below this reference in both periods. Advice raises T2 profit from 16.45 to 18.04 USD while reducing throughput, but is immaterial in T1. On disjoint weekly blocks, PPO is stable under daily, weekly, and blended seasonal forecasts, weakens under persistence, and remains below proxy-cost MPC. Paired diagnostics localize changes to the observed 5-10 USD/MWh regime with mixed SoC-dependent effects. An M0-M6 ablation shows that mask removal sends thousands of infeasible requests to projection, while removing both physical layers exposes ramp violations. The evidence separates economic screening from feasibility enforcement without claiming formal safety, lifecycle-optimal aging, or RL dominance.

Sun 20 SeptMachine LearningArtificial Intelligence
The gist
Managing battery energy storage to make money from shifting electricity prices can be tricky because the price differences are shrinking. The authors tested a smart computer program that uses forecasts and rules to decide how to charge and discharge a battery while avoiding unsafe actions. Their method improved profits over simpler approaches in some cases but still didn't beat some traditional control methods. They showed how separating economic advice from safety checks helps keep the battery running within safe limits without guaranteeing perfect outcomes.
Open → 2609.23590v1

Neural network predicts battery wear from charging signals

Intelligent Degradation Monitoring in Lithium-ion Batteries via Discharge Incremental Capacity Feature Estimation

Abstract: Accurate and timely detection of degradation in lithium-ion batteries is crucial to ensure safety, reliability, and longevity in high-demand applications such as electric vehicles and energy storage systems. Traditional incremental capacity (IC) analysis methods require low-current cycling for discharge measurements, limiting their practical use in real-time battery management. This paper proposes a novel neural network-based framework that predicts discharge IC features directly from charging signals, eliminating the need for low-current discharge. Trained on a comprehensive dataset of 53 battery cells cycled under diverse fast-charging protocols, the model demonstrates robust generalization ability, effectively estimating degradation indicators on unseen battery data. Among several architectures evaluated, the LSTM model provides the best balance of prediction accuracy and computational efficiency. The proposed approach enables real-time integration into Battery Management Systems (BMS), enhancing degradation monitoring without disrupting normal battery operation. This paper presents a study to bridge IC analysis with practical, fast-charging scenarios, marking a significant step towards intelligent and scalable battery health monitoring.

Sat 19 SeptMachine Learning
The gist
Knowing when a lithium-ion battery is wearing out helps keep devices safe and long-lasting. The authors found a way to guess how worn out a battery is by looking just at charging data instead of slow discharge tests. They trained a computer model with lots of battery data so it can spot signs of damage quickly and while the battery is charging fast. This method could help devices like electric cars better manage their batteries in real time without slowing down.
Open → 2609.22843v1