Papers for

energy and weather planners

Papers whose findings have a practical use for this group, as judged from the abstract. Open a paper to read what it means in practice.

Shared module improves vital sign prediction and time series forecasting

Learning Where to Look: A Shared Relative-Alignment Module for Time-Series Forecasting and PPG-to-Vital-Sign Reconstruction

Abstract: PPG-to-vital-sign reconstruction turns a wrist-worn photoplethysmogram into clinical waveforms such as the ECG. Long-horizon multivariate time-series forecasting underpins planning in energy, weather, and traffic. Both generate a target sequence from a condition sequence, and current models hard-code where each target position reads it, as a same-position copy or seasonal recurrence, so neither transfers between tasks. We propose ROOSTER, one conditioning module that handles vital-sign reconstruction and time-series forecasting alike by learning this correspondence. Its core is a periodic-comb bias over the target-condition offset whose center, period, and sharpness are learned per head, so one module settles on the identity alignment or a seasonal lag and reports which it found. On vital-sign reconstruction from PPG, ROOSTER outperformed the published baselines on four heart-rate and respiratory-rate benchmarks. On multivariate time-series forecasting, it achieved the best horizon-averaged MSE on four benchmarks and outperformed the forecasting model it extends on 20 of 24 dataset-horizon settings under matched three-seed training. An ablation study indicated that the relative bias, not content matching, carried the alignment.

Wed 23 SeptMachine Learning
The gist
Predicting future data points in complex sequences like heart signals or weather often requires knowing which past information to use. The authors created a new model part called ROOSTER that learns where to look in the past data to make better predictions. Unlike older models that look at fixed positions, ROOSTER adjusts its focus based on the task, improving performance on both health monitoring and forecasting benchmarks. This approach helps in turning wrist sensor data into detailed heart and breathing signals and in predicting multiple time-based measurements over long periods.
Open → 2609.27473v1