disaster response coordinators

Abstract: Wildfire smoke detection from satellite imagery is critical for early warning and rapid response. For onboard satellite deployment, detection systems must operate under strict memory and latency constraints while providing spatially informative outputs for downstream decision-making. Existing tile-level classification methods are computationally efficient but lack spatial localization, whereas pixel-level segmentation approaches provide detailed masks yet are typically too computationally demanding for real-time onboard execution. To address this gap, we propose WISE (Weakly-supervised Inference-efficient Smoke Extraction), a deployment-oriented framework for onboard fire smoke detection and localization. WISE leverages only tile-level annotations through a teacher-student distillation strategy, where an offline teacher provides soft spatial supervision to a lightweight WISE-Student optimized for efficient onboard inference. The student jointly predicts tile-level smoke presence and smoke probability maps within a single forward pass, enabling spatially informative detection under strict computational constraints. WISE was evaluated through in-orbit execution aboard the ISS-mounted IMAGIN-e payload. Three model variants achieve average inference times of 0.10 s, 0.14 s, and 0.26 s per tile, indicating near-real-time per-tile inference within onboard resource limits. Ground-based experiments on Landsat 5 and Landsat 8 imagery further indicate effective detection and spatially informative localization. The best-performing variant achieves a mean tile-level F1 score of 0.964 and a mean pixel-level F1 score of 0.750 across 10 runs, while containing only 0.12M parameters and requiring approximately 3 GFLOPs. Together, these results indicate that WISE is a practical candidate for low-latency wildfire smoke monitoring from space under onboard resource constraints.

Abstract: Subseasonal-to-seasonal (S2S) forecasting is societally critical, supporting decision-making in sectors ranging from water and agricultural management to disaster risk reduction, energy planning, and insurance. Achieving reliable predictions at these timescales requires representing the ocean and its dynamics, but traditional physics-based Ocean General Circulation Models (OGCMs), are computationally expensive and difficult to develop and improve because of the code complexity. In this work, we propose Neptune, an end-to-end data-driven framework for global ocean and sea-ice components emulation tailored for S2S timescales, up to 60 days. Neptune combines Convolutional Neural Networks (CNNs) and Spherical Fourier Neural Operators (SFNOs) to effectively capture local features and global cross-scale interactions, thereby obtaining a coherent representation of the ocean state. Forced by prescribed daily atmospheric fields, Neptune emulates ocean state variables, from temperature and salinity, to zonal and meridional currents, from sea surface height to sea ice thickness and concentration, with daily outputs at the ocean surface and through the water column. Specifically, we propose two variants of Neptune, Neptune-1 and Neptune-025, capable of emulating the ocean state at 1° and 0.25° resolution, respectively. Evaluated against a suite of metrics, including statistics (RMSE, CRPS and ACC), physical coherency (Ocean Heat Content, Eddy Kinetic Energy and Ice Brier Score) and climate indices (ENSO and Z20 metric, IOD), Neptune successfully reproduces the spatio-temporal evolution of the oceanic fields up to 60 days, and is stable over long timescales. Neptune provides compelling evidence that end-to-end data-driven ocean emulators can become a powerful component of next-generation S2S forecasting systems, emulating ocean state at high spatio-temporal resolution.