Papers for

data scientists in e-commerce

Papers whose findings have a practical use for this group, as judged from the abstract. Open a paper to read what it means in practice.

User activity can create false item similarity in recommender systems

Do Similarity Measures Measure Similarity? How User Activity Creates Phantom Correlation in Recommender Systems

Abstract: Item-item similarity is one of the oldest and most foundational signals in recommender systems: two items are assumed to be similar when the same users consume them. Despite the sparsity and scale of interaction data, the implicit assumption across the field is that item co-occurrence reflects genuine shared preference, capturing what users like together. In this paper, we demonstrate that a substantial fraction of observed item-item similarity is an artifact of variance in user activity rather than shared taste. Even if every user consumed items completely independently, differing only in their total consumption volume, standard similarity measures still detect strong associations between items. We term this phenomenon phantom correlation: spurious item association that emerges strictly from heterogeneous user activity in the complete absence of preference structure. Starting from minimal formal assumptions, we show that independent consumption under varying activity is described by a Rasch model, and we derive how the resulting association depends on item popularity for each similarity measure. By comparing our theoretical baseline against real-world benchmark datasets, we reveal the extent to which popular similarity measures reflect phantom correlation, which bears on how item co-occurrence is interpreted and used in collaborative filtering.

Mon 26 OctInformation RetrievalArtificial Intelligence
The gist
Recommender systems often assume that when many people use two items, those items are similar because people like them together. The authors show that a lot of these detected similarities are actually fake and come from some users just being more active than others, not from real shared preferences. They call this problem phantom correlation and explain it with a statistical model. This means some item similarities that recommendation algorithms rely on might not reflect what users truly like.
Open → 2610.35765v1

Personal AI memory improves rating predictions with correct histories

A Controlled Audit of Personal AI Memory for Rating Prediction

Abstract: In structured rating prediction, does a personal AI use historical item-rating associations, or mainly the user's rating tendencies? We audit this distinction by permuting historical ratings within each user while preserving the exact rating distribution, item support, and metadata. We combine this control with full history, native memory extraction, and matched numerical readers in a publicly frozen evaluation of 400 held-out user profiles and 6,160 target ratings across Coat and MovieLens. On Coat, the tested Qwen-written Mem0 pipeline increases user-macro mean absolute error relative to full history by 0.084 for Qwen and 0.149 for Phi; both family-adjusted bootstrap intervals exclude zero. Correct historical assignments help both readers on Coat, but the corresponding MovieLens effects are smaller and inconclusive after adjustment. A history-only ridge reader outperforms Qwen in both domains and Phi on MovieLens, while the Coat Phi comparison is unresolved. All 2,800 reader calls, including 150 invalid outputs, are retained under a fixed fallback rule. A separate implementation verifies inputs, metrics, and all ten primary contrasts. The contribution is a reproducible diagnostic study showing why extraction, association use, output reliability, and reader choice require separate evaluation.

Fri 2 OctMachine Learning
The gist
The paper looks at whether personal AI systems rely more on a user's past item ratings or just their overall rating habits to predict new ratings. The authors scrambled the order of past ratings while keeping other details the same to test this. They found that having the correct history of item ratings helps the AI make better predictions, especially on one dataset called Coat, but the effect was less clear on another dataset, MovieLens. The study also shows that how AI systems use past data and how reliable their predictions are need to be evaluated carefully on their own.
Open → 2610.02764v1