data platform teams

Abstract: Transfer learning explores how to leverage knowledge from various tasks or domains (sources) to enhance predictive performance in related tasks or domains (targets). Typically, transfer learning research is segmented into several isolated sub-areas (such as domain generalisation, domain adaptation, or multi-domain learning), each making distinct assumptions about target data availability, namely how much data and how many labels are available at training time. However, in many real-world applications, data availability is not fixed but evolves over time, as instances and labels are progressively collected from a new domain. Each of the classical settings then describes only a snapshot of a trajectory that a deployed system must traverse in full. We formalise this trajectory as a transfer learning problem in its own right, Transfer Learning for Evolving Domains (TrED), specified by a data availability process fixed by the environment, a learning protocol that the method is free to choose, and an evaluation criterion that scores the whole trajectory of models rather than a single one. Within this formalism, the classical settings are recovered as regimes that a learner may pass through, rather than as separate problems that TrED concatenates. We then examine the transfer learning literature to identify mechanisms that are promising building blocks for a solution, and find that most methods are tailored to a single regime and that even the strongest existing candidates do not yet optimise the whole trajectory. We argue that TrED is a well-posed and unsolved problem, and an important direction for future research.

Abstract: Automated machine learning (AutoML) is reshaping data-driven science and industrial practice, and as large language models are introduced into AutoML, pipeline reliability becomes as important as automation efficiency. However, existing AutoML still struggles to realize instant feedback and adaptive optimization during execution, so once a run drifts into a suboptimal or failed state, it lacks a process-level correction mechanism. The fundamental pathology lies in its one-way pipeline: intermediate failures are typically terminated or bypassed, while fixed paradigms often strengthen model generation but leave ensemble decisions static, weakening both execution reliability and the controlled use of structural diversity. This indicates that LLM-driven AutoML needs a closed-loop ability for trial-correction-improvement together with evidence-based use of model diversity. To this end, we propose SAGE-Loop, a reliable closed-loop, self-adaptive, LLM-driven AutoML framework that performs multi-round generation and validation for trial-and-repair, and adaptively selects ensemble strategies in both supervised and unsupervised tasks, thereby unifying how to generate with how to use models. Across 20 public datasets, SAGE-Loop consistently improves performance and stability on classification, regression, and clustering tasks. Additional results further show its ability to recover from execution failures and maintain robust pipeline behavior.

Abstract: Synthetic data has become a promising way to scale model training beyond limited human-generated data but it may also induce strong model collapse (Dohmatob et al., 2024), where any fixed fraction of synthetic data prevents model performance from improving under data scaling, leaving a non-vanishing excess risk floor. In this paper, we study how synthetic data affects the generalization of one-pass SGD in high-dimensional linear regression with model shift. We establish finite-sample risk bounds for mixed and two-stage training, separating standard bias and variance from source-mismatch effects, namely fluctuation and persistent drift under mixing and filtered initialization bias under two-stage. These bounds reveal a sharp contrast: mixed training induces strong model collapse, while two-stage training avoids the floor by using synthetic data only in the first stage, showing that collapse is not inevitable under a simple data curriculum. Under a random sketch model, we further obtain scaling laws for both protocols, with tight results for mixed training in the optimization-saturated regime. These laws show that larger models may amplify synthetic-induced degradation under mixing, and quantify how high-quality synthetic pretraining may reduce bias in two-stage training. Finally, we establish an exact finite-sample necessary-and-sufficient condition for two-stage training to strictly outperform real-only training under the same real-data budget and identical real-stage updates. Overall, our results highlight that synthetic data is neither inherently harmful nor beneficial; its effect depends critically on both its quality and the training protocol used to incorporate it.