data center planners

Abstract: GPU compute resources are scaling to support growing AI workloads, leading to further rises in the climate change impact of hyperscale data centers that rely on high-performance GPUs. To model how packaging decisions impact the carbon footprint we have estimated the embodied emissions (EE) of a chiplet-based GPU that has been scaled in 2.5D and 3D using the imec.netzero modelling platform. We doubled the number of compute units and high bandwidth memory (HBM) capacity in the 2.5D and 3D scaled systems and found that 3D scaling results in an 89% increase in EE, as compared to an increase of 141% for 2.5D scaling, positioning 3D scaling as an attractive solution to limit the embodied emissions due to GPU scaling.

Abstract: An AI data center is committed years before it draws a watt: a few discrete choices (grid or on-site gas, evaporative or dry cooling, which county to file in) fix its capital, water draw, and carbon path, and LLMs are now asked to help screen them with no test of whether they track what each commitment rules out. We introduce DCBench-440, with two arms reported separately: 200 generative questions over STRIPS worlds for five US deal archetypes, with search-verified gold answers and no tested shortcut above 12% on any question type, and 240 multiple-choice questions grounded in quoted site records, emission equations, and stated scenarios. Across open-weight deployments, accuracy spans 12.5-71.5% (generative) and 58.3-92.5% (multiple choice). One skill fails everywhere: asked to list every action available at a decision gate, no model exceeds 4.0% exact match. The strongest list 72-85% of the actions that would change the project's state but omit most permitted actions that change nothing; with those excused, the best exact match is still 24%. Code, data, and other materials are available upon request.

Abstract: Data centers are being developed at an unprecedented pace, yet their energy and water impacts, and the spatial and temporal distribution of these impacts, remain poorly characterized. Data centers consume water for cooling (direct) and through electricity generation (indirect). Decisions on siting and cooling technology result in water-energy trade-offs that extend impacts beyond the facility's location. Existing assessment frameworks rely on facility efficiency metrics and average grid water intensity factors, suppressing the temporal impacts of data center load and generation availability. They also attribute indirect consumption to the facility's location rather than to the generators (and corresponding hydrologic regions) that respond to the added load, misattributing spatial impacts. To close this gap, we develop a computational model of the data center-energy-water nexus that links facility cooling and electricity demand with hourly economic dispatch, generator-level water consumption, and monthly subbasin depletion. Built on open-source data, the model resolves where and when water is consumed, and where this consumption compounds existing water risk or creates new risk. Using the model, we study different cooling configurations and proposed developments in the state of Michigan. Air-cooled data centers halve total water consumption relative to evaporative cooling, but increase electricity demand and raise indirect water consumption by one-third, shifting the water footprint from the facility to generators. Mapping these changes to subbasins reveals depletion increases beyond the data center sites, in regions that facility-level reporting may overlook. These results show that data center water and energy impacts cannot be assessed in isolation, motivating the need for integrated modeling to inform siting, design, and reporting practices.

Abstract: The twenty-first century's transformative technology, artificial intelligence, is increasingly constrained by the twentieth century's transformative technology, the electricity grid. Rapid growth in electricity demand from data centers is leading to higher electricity prices, without a compensating supply-side response. We develop a framework linking data-center load growth, available generation capacity, and market-clearing prices to understand this phenomenon. We first analyze a deterministic model to show how differing estimates of demand and supply growth rates affect prices. We then model the expansion of new data centers and their associated electricity demand, together with build-outs of new electricity supply, as stochastic processes,resulting in probabilistic distributions of supply, demand, and prices rather than a single forecast. Finally, we formulate generation expansion as a stochastic control problem in which a revenue-maximizing investor dynamically chooses the intensity of supply-side investments. The analysis highlights a central challenge of the data-center build-out: even when rapid demand growth increases the need for new generation, the uncertainties related to load forecasts, development execution risks, and value cannibalization from overbuilding capacity may weaken incentives to invest at the pace required to keep electricity prices stable.