Papers for

clinical intervention planners

Papers whose findings have a practical use for this group, as judged from the abstract. Open a paper to read what it means in practice.

Model predicts earlier healthy brain states from later disease scans

Reverse Spatio-Temporal Disease Progression Modelling

Abstract: Deep learning-based spatio-temporal disease progression models commonly overlook the incubation period of progressive diseases, limiting the use of those models in early interventions, which are vital for not easily reversible diseases such as Alzheimer's. This is because, the existing deep learning based longitudinal disease-progression models are almost always run forward: from an observed baseline they predict future decline. In many clinical settings, however, imaging begins only after pathology is suspected or already visible, the earlier, healthier patient-specific reference was never acquired. To address this, we propose to study reverse disease progression prediction: given later diseased anatomy, reconstruct the unobserved healthier anatomy that preceded it. We use a two-stage model in which a frozen 3D vector-quantised autoencoder defines a compact discrete latent space, while a Neural Ordinary Differential Equation (ODE) learns continuous-time dynamics in that space. A recurrent encoder reads late observations in reverse temporal order, initialises the latent state, and the ODE is integrated backwards across the trajectory. On a controlled Morpho-MNIST benchmark with a sinusoidal perturbation, our model successfully recovered the unseen previous states from later observations of the non-monotonic trajectory. On longitudinal brain MRIs from Alzheimer's Disease Neuroimaging Initiative, at the task to recover the previous unseen trajectory towards healthy states of the patients from observed later diseased states, our model outperforms the baselines that uses copy-nearest and mean-observed, with positive disease-reversal scores in every diagnostic stratum. We hope that our work can provide insights and tools towards discovering the incubation periods from single-shot scans, and developing early interventions of diseases based on imaging.

Sun 13 SeptComputer Vision and Pattern Recognition
The gist
Many brain diseases like Alzheimer's develop gradually before symptoms appear, but scans usually only start after the disease is visible. This makes it hard to understand early changes and intervene sooner. The authors created a new AI model that can take brain scans showing disease and work backwards to estimate what the healthier brain state looked like earlier. Their approach outperforms simple guesswork methods and could help find early signs of disease from routine scans.
Open → 2609.14590v1