Papers for
clinical ai deployment teams
Papers whose findings have a practical use for this group, as judged from the abstract. Open a paper to read what it means in practice.
Efficiency matters as much as accuracy in GI disease image classification
Accuracy Is Not Enough: An Efficiency- and Statistics-Aware Benchmark of ResNet50 and Vision Transformer for Explainable Multi-Class Gastrointestinal Diseases Classification
Abstract: Automated classification of gastrointestinal (GI) findings in endoscopic images could support early diagnosis, but architectures are often chosen on accuracy alone. We present a controlled, reproducible benchmark of ResNet50 and ViT-B/16 for eight-class GI classification on the public Kvasir dataset (4,000 images), using a stratified split (400 test images) and stratified group 5-fold cross-validation over all images. In cross-validation, ResNet50 and ViT-B/16 reached 92.12% and 91.70% accuracy, and a two one-sided tests (TOST) procedure showed equivalence within a +/-3 percentage-point margin (difference +0.43 points, 90% CI -0.33 to +1.18; p < 0.001). The architectures differed mainly in cost: ResNet50 had 3.6 times fewer parameters and 4.3 times fewer operations, 2.5-fold lower single-image CPU latency (69 vs. 177 ms) and 3.8-fold higher GPU throughput. Cross-validated calibration was similar (expected calibration error 0.021 vs. 0.023). An edge-oriented transformer, MobileViT-S, was most accurate on the test split (95.5%) but lost 9.4 points when an acquisition artefact present in some classes (the ScopeGuide inset) was occluded, whereas ResNet50 was not significantly affected. On 500 unseen polyp images with expert masks, both models' Grad-CAM maps focused on the lesion (3.6 times chance). On a de-duplicated external subset of GastroVision (1,998 images), accuracy fell to 78-80% for all three models and differences between them remained small. Accuracy differences between architectures were thus small relative to the effects of shortcut learning and domain shift, whereas efficiency differences were large. An efficient CNN is a defensible default for resource-constrained screening, but no model is deployment-ready without local validation.
Medical image models can be persistently wrong under image degradation
Beyond the Evidence Boundary: Behavioral Mirage Under Progressive Degradation in Medical VLMs
Abstract: VLMs for medical image interpretation are typically evaluated on clean inputs, despite the progressive evidence loss that can occur in high stakes clinical settings. Existing robustness studies show that performance can degrade while confidence remains high, but do not establish when a previously reliable model-case pair ceases to behave reliably. We introduce a baseline-anchored framework that traces baseline-correct cases through progressive image degradation to identify an empirical evidence boundary, and define mirage as continued commitment at this boundary, regardless of correctness. Across three VLMs on three medical datasets, only MedGemma provides a sufficiently large baseline-correct pool for trajectory analysis. On VQA-RAD, the only dataset in which the question text varies, language-only answerability is associated with baseline correctness (AUROC 0.677) and with commitment at the boundary (AUROC 0.653 to 0.670). MedGemma's post-boundary behavior is heterogeneous, including direct mirage, correct recovery, mirage dissolution, consistent abstention, and oscillation, with mirage rates of 16.0 to 100.0% across dataset-modality pairs. Despite this behavioral heterogeneity, residual-stream probes decode commit-versus-abstain behavior at the boundary with AUROC of 0.895 to 0.994 under nested cross-validation. These results show that progressive evidence loss can produce persistent commitment that output entropy and abstention behavior do not consistently reflect, motivating boundary-aware evaluation, option-order controls, and improved abstention mechanisms for reliable medical foundation models operating under partial observation.
Health systems need to check error overlap between clinicians and AI models
Complementary Vulnerabilities: Auditing and Governing Clinician-LLM Error Overlap
Abstract: Health systems are deploying large language models (LLMs) into clinical workflows, often on the assumption that a second automated check can only reduce error. But a second reasoner reduces error only insofar as it fails differently from the first. We say that a clinician and a model have complementary vulnerabilities to the extent that they break down through different mechanisms and on different cases. The two reasoners' failure substrates differ: they are embodied and cognitive in the clinician, and statistical and generative in the model - so their weak points need not line up. That divergence is plausible rather than guaranteed, and the independence it creates is fragile, eroding when clinicians defer to the model or the model conforms to the clinician. We therefore propose a predeployment audit in which each site measures error overlap on its own cases. We also propose a governance model with which the site keeps those errors independent over time. Health systems should then judge a clinical artificial intelligence (AI) tool by whether its failures overlap with their clinicians' failures, as well as by its accuracy.
Federated learning challenge expands tumor segmentation and classification globally
The Federated Tumor Segmentation and Classification (FeTS++) Challenge
Abstract: International challenges have become the standard for developing and benchmarking biomedical image analysis methods using centralized multi-institutional data. Federated learning (FL) describes a paradigm-shift on multi-institutional collaborations, where models are trained across institutions while their data are always retained locally. The Federated Tumor Segmentation (FeTS) challenge, first held in 2021, was the first challenge dedicated to FL in medical imaging and editions in 2022 and 2024 pushed the frontiers of real-world method validation. FeTS++ 2027 returns after a two-year gap with a substantially larger and more diverse cohort, and with the two "pluses" that name the challenge: an official classification task alongside segmentation, and a move of the infrastructure to NVIDIA FLARE (NVFlare). Built on the clinically acquired, multi-institutional multi-parametric MRI data of the BraTS 2025 Lighthouse challenge, FeTS++ spans gliomas and meningiomas across patient cohorts from institutions in North America, Europe, Asia, and Africa, and focuses on ranking submitted methodological approaches according to their model utility and an efficiency-aware score. Task 1 asks participants to find the best strategy for aggregating knowledge from per-institution segmentation models, while Task 2 asks them to distinguish glioma from meningioma under the same federated protocol, in which the entity label is heavily confounded with the site of origin.
Adaptive methods detect shifts in generative AI data faster and more accurately
Learning to Detect Shifts in Unstructured Data Streams via Monitoring-by-Betting
Abstract: Continuous monitoring of generative AI systems requires detecting distribution shifts in the unstructured data they ingest and generate. Existing monitoring methods typically control false alarms by requiring the discrepancy measure used to detect shifts to be *pre-specified*. However, for unstructured data, pre-specification creates a sensitivity--breadth trade-off: a narrowly defined measure is sensitive to the anticipated shift but may miss unexpected changes, whereas a broadly defined measure may detect a wider range of shifts but with reduced sensitivity. Although adaptively hypothesizing the shift direction can overcome this limitation, such data-dependent adaptation generally invalidates conventional false-alarm guarantees. We reconcile adaptivity with statistical validity through testing-by-betting, reframing sequential changepoint detection as a betting game in which the bettor continually updates its hypothesized shift direction, or witness function, as new observations arrive. We introduce *asymptotic e-detectors*, which approximate the pre-change distribution using a calibration set of size $m$, and prove that they asymptotically control the average run length to a false alarm as $m$ increases. Empirically, calibration sets as small as $m=30$ provide effective control. We then develop adaptive monitoring strategies ranging from black-box bettors that learn from embeddings to interpretable bettors based on LLM-proposed concepts. Across three real-world datasets, including data from a clinical AI scribe deployment, adaptive monitors detect shifts faster than fixed monitors at the same false-alarm level. Further, when the true shifts are sparse and interpretable, LLM-concept monitors provide the fastest and most interpretable detection, while also guiding root-cause diagnosis for complex shifts.
Neuro semantic verification improves trust in glioblastoma AI findings
Evidence-Bound Reasoning: Neuro-Semantic Verification of Biomedical AI in Glioblastoma Radiogenomics
Abstract: Background: Biomedical AI can generate plausible explanations without reliably verifying whether each statement is supported by patient-specific evidence. We developed a neuro-semantic verification framework that converts radiomic measurements into addressable evidence records and machine-checkable claims. Methods: UPenn-GBM radiomics were aligned with de novo CaPTk extraction from standardized MRI and expert-validated segmentations in an independent multicenter cohort. The shared space comprised 1,728 features from T1, T1GD, T2, and FLAIR MRI across three tumor regions. Reference-defined semantic states were derived from 611 UPenn cases. We evaluated cross-cohort transportability, model-linked provenance, deterministic verification, controlled predictive degradation, and an LLM claim-extraction pilot; MGMT prediction served only as a transport stress test. Results: Median semantic-state agreement was 0.786 (weighted kappa 0.709), ranging from 0.918 for morphologic to 0.252 for intensity features. The external evidence ledger contained 1,655 model-linked records for 331 patients. The verifier achieved 100% exact-set accuracy in a 6,620-claim corruption benchmark. In a 24-case pilot, GPT-5.6 Sol reproduced 72/72 prespecified atomic claims, and the frozen verifier recovered 24/24 expected conditions. During controlled degradation, ROC AUC declined from 0.899 to 0.500 while verification accuracy remained 1.000. External MGMT discrimination was weak (ROC AUC 0.543). Conclusions: Verifiability can be engineered and evaluated independently of predictive performance. LLMs may structure explanations, while final evidence-consistency checking remains deterministic.
Medical vision language models improve few shot uncertainty prediction
Learning to Adapt and Calibrate: Score Distribution Alignment for Few-Shot Uncertainty Prediction in Medical VLMs
Abstract: Uncertainty estimation for medical vision--language models (VLMs) using conformal prediction has gained increasing attention due to its distribution-free coverage guarantees. However, standard conformal prediction relies on exchangeability between calibration and test data and typically requires a sufficiently large calibration set to obtain reliable coverage. These assumptions are difficult to satisfy in few-shot transfer settings, where only a small labeled support set is available to adapt a pretrained VLM to a new medical task, while an unlabeled query set is used for evaluation. Supervised fine-tuning on the support set changes the model parameters and consequently shifts the nonconformity score distribution, breaking exchangeability between calibration and query samples and leading to unreliable coverage under distribution shift. Existing transductive conformal adaptation methods often preserve validity by avoiding supervised updates. While this helps maintain conformal assumptions, it underutilizes the scarce labeled support data and limits task adaptation, which is the primary objective in few-shot learning. In this setting, conformal prediction should serve as an uncertainty estimation layer that supports the adapted model, rather than preventing adaptation itself. To this end, we propose AlignCP, a framework that reconciles supervised few-shot adaptation with conformal uncertainty estimation under non-exchangeability. AlignCP learns a reweighted calibration distribution that reduces the score-level discrepancy between the labeled support set and the unlabeled query set. By aligning the one-dimensional nonconformity score distributions, AlignCP aims to close the coverage gap induced by adaptation without requiring query labels.