Papers for
climate data engineers
Papers whose findings have a practical use for this group, as judged from the abstract. Open a paper to read what it means in practice.
Weather model speeds up forecasting by choosing tokens wisely
UtoMe: Observation-Uncertainty-Guided Token Merging for Weather Foundation Models
Abstract: Weather transformers process dense reanalysis fields whose reliability varies across variables, locations, and weather regimes. Token merging can reduce computation, but feature similarity alone does not account for this heterogeneous input uncertainty. We introduce UtoMe, an observation-uncertainty-guided token merging framework that combines dynamics saliency with ensemble data assimilation spread as a relative input-reliability proxy. The resulting importance score protects selected tokens as anchors and calibrates bipartite matching between the remaining tokens. Three variants use external uncertainty at both training and inference, during training only, or neither stage. In ERA5 72-hour forecasting at two spatial resolutions, UtoMe improves Overall error over train-time ToMe at matched token budgets. At $1.40625^\circ$ and 50% token reduction, UtoMe-E lowers Overall error from 67.32 to 53.00 at the same 0.55x encoder FLOPs. Small reductions remain close to the full-token baseline; larger reductions incur measurable accuracy losses. Component ablations and spatial uncertainty controls support combining dynamics with aligned uncertainty when allocating a weather transformer's token budget.
Digital typhoon dataset improves satellite storm intensity benchmarks
Digital Typhoon Dataset V3: Benchmarking for Multi-spectral Extension and Analyzing Systematic Bias in Intensity Regression
Abstract: This paper presents the Digital Typhoon Dataset V3, a new version of the longest typhoon satellite image dataset spanning nearly 50 years, designed to benchmark machine learning models on long-term spatio-temporal data. The latest addition to Dataset V3 is multispectral satellite data, enabling multi-channel models. We investigate data-splitting strategies and present benchmarking results for the Northern and Southern Hemispheres. Experimental results show that, under the current dataset construction and experimental setting, multi-channel inputs do not clearly outperform single-channel inputs for pressure regression. Among the evaluated model architectures, image types, and spectral channels, ResNet-18, full-resolution images, and Channel 1 generally provide the best single-channel performance for pressure regression. Performance also differs between the WP and AU datasets by regression target, with lower RMSE on WP for pressure regression and on AU for wind regression. These results highlight the importance of considering dataset-specific and task-specific characteristics when interpreting benchmark performance. Additionally, we analyzed systematic bias in intensity regression, which leads to underestimation of intensity for strong typhoons. We tested imbalance-aware weighting strategies, including inverse-density weighting inspired by BalancedMSE, and showed that these approaches are not sufficient to remove the bias. The dataset is publicly available at http://agora.ex.nii.ac.jp/digital-typhoon/dataset/ and https://github.com/kitamoto-lab/digital-typhoon/.
Earth science model calibration delegated to knowledge-guided language models
Delegating Earth science model calibration to knowledge-guided LLM agents
Abstract: Applying process-based Earth science models to new sites and questions often requires expert calibration decisions. Reliable delegation to language-model agents must preserve scientific competence and reproducibility. Here we develop a general calibration harness (GCH) for end-to-end delegation from a calibration request to assessed results. Constrained by a knowledge infrastructure (KI) and a validation convention, agents define parameter domains, observation mappings and objectives, and generate model-specific code. GCH checks the formulations against the same declarations and freezes them before numerical search and assessment, which require no further agent judgement. Agent-authored workflows executed across six model families, with assessment identifying unmet criteria. In snow-model tests, five of five knowledge-guided specifications executed on the first attempt, compared with none of five given only the model name, achieving validation Nash-Sutcliffe efficiency (NSE) of 0.81-0.94 against 0.57 for defaults. Under a common objective, independent GR4J formulations yielded scores within 0.001 NSE; re-evaluating eleven saved parameter vectors reproduced their metrics. In ten paired VIC tests with matched budgets, fixed search was non-inferior to continuing agent proposals (margin, -0.02 NSE; median difference, -0.003). This separation enables end-to-end calibration delegation with inspectable scientific choices and reproducible numerical evaluation.
Featurez framework compresses scientific data while preserving key features
FeatureZ: A General Framework for Feature-Preserving Compression via Pointwise Bounds and Star Classification
Abstract: Geometric and topological features, such as isosurfaces, quantiles, merge trees, and Morse-Smale complexes, are central to the analysis and visualization of scientific data across diverse domains, including medical imaging, climate science, materials science, and astronomy. However, most lossy compressors for scientific data provide only pointwise error guarantees and do not preserve derived features. Existing feature-preserving compressors are often difficult to develop and typically tailored to a single feature. In this paper, we introduce FeatureZ, a lossy compression framework for structured volumetric scalar fields that can preserve a wide class of geometric and topological features. In particular, FeatureZ frames feature-preserving compression as preserving pointwise upper and lower bounds together with a consistent classification of each point's star (i.e., its incident cells) in the underlying structured mesh. Although not all notions of feature preservation fit this framework, many features and topological descriptors targeted by existing compressors do. FeatureZ provides an efficient implementation of feature-preserving compression under this formulation. In particular, FeatureZ operates as an augmentation layer that refines the output of an existing lossy compressor. It first applies quantization to enforce pointwise bounds, and then employs an iterative procedure to ensure consistent star classification. We demonstrate that FeatureZ preserves diverse features during compression with minimal overhead, achieving compression ratios comparable to or better than methods specialized for individual features.
Climate adapted language models improve understanding of climate texts
Climate-ModernBERT: Revisiting Corpus Composition for Domain-Adaptive Continued Pretraining
Abstract: Natural Language Processing (NLP) in the climate domain requires models to process heterogeneous text sources, including scientific literature, policy disclosures, and synthetic reports. However, how to effectively combine diverse domain corpora during continued pretraining (CPT) remains underexplored. We introduce Climate-ModernBERT, a family of climate-adapted encoder models obtained through continued pretraining of ModernBERT-Base on three climate corpora: academic climate text, climate-filtered web data, and synthetic climate documents. We systematically compare joint continued pretraining on corpus mixtures with parameter-space merging of independently specialized checkpoints. Across nine climate NLP benchmarks, our best model achieves 76.3 average F_1, improving significantly over a vanilla ModernBERT baseline by 2.8 points. Within the climate NLP setting, the results show that academic climate corpora provide the strongest adaptation signal among the evaluated sources, while parameter-space merging improves over joint multi-source training and better preserves complementary information from heterogeneous climate corpora. We release all Climate-ModernBERT variants and training checkpoints to support future research in climate NLP and domain-adaptive pretraining.