Papers for
business intelligence teams
Papers whose findings have a practical use for this group, as judged from the abstract. Open a paper to read what it means in practice.
Modeling connections in linked database tables improves performance
InRTL: Effective Intra-Inter Interaction Learning for Relational Tables
Abstract: Relational table learning has recently emerged as an important research direction for modeling multiple tables connected through primary key-foreign key (PK-FK) relationships. Despite recent advances, a principled modeling framework tailored to this task remains underexplored. In this paper, we propose Intra-Inter Relational Table Learning (InRTL), a unified framework that explicitly models dependencies both within and across relational tables. Specifically, InRTL formalizes two complementary interaction patterns: intra-table interactions, describing associations among rows within the same table, and inter-table interactions, describing dependencies between rows across PK-FK-linked tables. To model these dependencies, we develop a column-aware table encoder to generate initial row representations, followed by Transformer-based self-attention and cross-attention modules for intra-table and inter-table learning, respectively. To further improve scalability, InRTL incorporates linearized attention and heterogeneous graph neural networks to simplify the self-attention and cross-attention operations. Extensive experiments on ten datasets covering 24 real-world tasks demonstrate the effectiveness of our approach. Code is available at https://github.com/W1nterFloW/InRTL.
Causal stories improve reasoning when graph direction is unclear
From the Task Boundaries of Narrative Text to Structural Anchoring, Uncertainty Triggers, and Cross-Calibration
Abstract: Causal graphs represent structural relationships among variables, yet users must still interpret direction, mechanism, and adjustment conditions in relation to the task at hand. Prior work often compares explanation formats as fixed conditions and pays less attention to how users distribute reasoning across graphs, direct explanations, and stories. We developed CoNS-Explorer, which uses reviewed instructional DAGs/SCMs to maintain a shared causal-fact ledger and generate fact-matched direct explanations and contextualized stories. A controlled survey experiment ($N=240$) compared the two texts as complete presentation packages. In the primary GLMM, the Story condition had a positive but uncertain overall association with accuracy (OR $=1.55$, 95\% CI $[0.34,7.10]$, $p=.572$); a population-averaged GEE showed a significant positive effect (OR $=1.89$, 95\% CI $[1.02,3.48]$, $p=.042$). Task-type interactions localized the clearest advantage to total-effect adjustment. Story also significantly increased situational presence. In a separate system-task and interview study ($N=24$), participants freely used graphs, direct explanations, and stories across three causal models. They established structural anchors with graphs and numerical results, consulted text when direction was unclear, mechanisms were unfamiliar, or multiple paths competed, and checked their judgments against other representations or external evidence. Integrating the two studies, we develop a process framework of structural anchoring, uncertainty triggering, explanation routing, and cross-calibration, together with four testable design propositions for adaptive causal explanation.
Regularization shapes performance and efficiency in linear recommendation models
On the Regularization Landscape for the Linear Recommendation Models
Abstract: Recently, a wide range of recommendation algorithms inspired by deep learning techniques have emerged as the performance leaders on several standard recommendation benchmarks. While these algorithms were built on different DL techniques (e.g., dropouts, autoencoder), they have similar performance and even similar cost functions. This paper studies whether the models' comparable performance are sheer coincidence, or they can be unified under a single framework. We find that all linear performance leaders effectively add only a nuclear-norm based regularizer, or a Frobenius-norm based regularizer. The former ones possess a (surprising) rigid structure that limits the models' predictive power but their solutions are low rank and have closed form. The latter ones are more expressive and more efficient for recommendation but their solutions are either full-rank or require executing hard-to-tune numeric procedures such as ADMM. Along this line of finding, we further propose two low-rank, closed-form solutions, derived from carefully generalizing Frobenius-norm based regularizers. The new solutions get the best of both nuclear-norm and Frobenius-norm world.
Information metrics benchmarked for predicting time series with text annotations
When Does Text Inform? Benchmarking Information-Theoretic Metrics for Multimodal Time-Series Forecasting
Abstract: Multimodal forecasting models that combine time series with text annotations promise richer prediction through textual context, but how do we know whether a text annotation meaningfully contributes to the forecasters prediction? This is an information-theoretic question, but to evaluate whether information-theoretic metrics can reliably measure the predictive value an annotation provides, a ground truth benchmark is needed, and none currently exist. We create a synthetic time series signal with annotations in three categories: semantically correct, incorrect, and irrelevant. Because the data generation process is fully controlled, ground-truth information content is known exactly, enabling principled evaluation of six complementary mutual information estimators (KSG, MINE, InfoNCE, CCA, PID and V-information). We show that all six estimators identify correct annotations as most informative, and are able to audit the quality of mixed text corpora, choosing the annotations that result in the best downstream forecasting results without the need for model training. Our benchmark identifies limitations of each estimator, and these are validated on seven real-world datasets, which show how estimator performance differs on weak signals. Finally, we establish practical rules for implementing these metrics for annotation auditing and fusion selection.
AI soccer analyst improves collaboration with stage-aware verifiable insights
AI Soccer Analyst: Stage-Aware and Verifiable Human-AI Collaboration for Soccer Data Analysis
Abstract: Sports data analysts translate domain questions into insights by combining computation with sport-specific domain expertise. Large language models ease programming, but prompt-to-report workflows may obscure decisions and evidence. We present AI Soccer Analyst, a mixed-initiative system with revisable stages: Data Understanding, Problem Definition, Structured Planning, Execution, Evidence-Grounded Reporting, and Interaction and Refinement. A formative study with five analysts first informed design goals for automation, verifiability, human control, and accessibility. Subsequently, a task-based evaluation with 16 participants combined system logs, retained artifacts, ratings, and open responses; 33 of 48 tasks met the operational completion criteria. Exploratory tests supported favorable participant perceptions of completed-task output quality, task achievement, reliability, and verifiability after Holm correction. Interaction records showed domain knowledge emerging through clarification, planning, and refinement. These findings position stage-aware human-AI collaboration as a practical approach for producing inspectable, revisable, and verifiable analyses while retaining domain-expert involvement in consequential decisions.