business analysts

Abstract: Large language models (LLMs) are increasingly used to support decisions under incomplete information, where deciding what to look up and when to stop matters as much as the final answer. However, LLMs fall into an information trap: They pay for checks, i.e., costly pieces of evidence, that cannot change their decision or are not worth their cost, and they keep asking when the evidence is already sufficient. To this end, we propose Decision-Informed Value-of-information Acquisition (DIVA), a simple yet effective procedure for LLM information seeking based on the decision value of evidence. DIVA 1) lets the LLM specify a small decision model, i.e., how likely a bad outcome is and how each check would shift this probability, through short numeric questions and 2) values each candidate check by how much its imagined outcomes improve the decision net of its cost, stopping when no check is worth its cost. Its variant, DIVA-U, further accounts for the LLM's uncertain estimates of how strongly each check shifts this probability. DIVA is training-free and applies to any LLM. Across four domains and 20 LLMs, DIVA-U has lower regret, i.e., value lost relative to the best possible decision, than every LLM baseline on real-world data, mainly by stopping once evidence suffices, and DIVA cuts the regret of the best LLM baseline by 75% in synthetic scenarios where every check's reliability is given. Code: github.com/seunghan96/diva.

Abstract: In real-world applications, being able to explain why a prediction is made is often as important - if not more so - than achieving high accuracy. However, existing methods for sequential event prediction typically prioritize accuracy at the expense of interpretability. Neuro-symbolic approaches offer a promising direction to improve interpretability by learning symbolic rules, but extending them to next-event prediction is challenging due to the presence of temporal dependencies. We introduce RULES, a neuro-symbolic model that learns sequential rules directly from data, and combine it with a residual network to form RUNES (Rule Network for Event Sequences). RULES accurately recovers ground truth rules from synthetic data and discovers compact, interpretable rule sets on real data. RUNES combines these rules additively with a residual network, achieving competitive accuracy while providing transparent access to active rules and how residuals adjust predictions.

Abstract: In this paper, we study the inconsistency of matrices in multicriteria group decision making under the assumption of uncertainty in their entries. The study binds together an $n$-dimensional probabilistic product measure $P$ and the Koczkodaj indicator $K_{n}$ of order $n$ used in pairwise comparisons. In the case of $n$ greater than 3, it starts with a new definition of $K_{n}$ based on the Steiner triple system of order $n$. It is of interest that the new indicator requires only $O \left( n ^{2} \right)$ evaluations, while the old one $O \left( n ^{3} \right)$. Our study results in analytic formulae for the probabilities of events $K_{n} \leq \varepsilon$ corresponding to uniform, exponential, and normal distribution functions, whenever the remainder of $n$ divided by 6 equals 1 or 3. For the remaining values of $n$, we present analytic formulae for their strict bounds. The formulae lead to much more efficient algorithms when compared with Monte Carlo simulations. This unexpected feature is illustrated by a few numerical experiments.

Abstract: Multimodal large language models (MLLMs) have substantially advanced chart understanding and reasoning, yet their performance remains highly uneven across chart types. While modern MLLMs perform well on common charts, their accuracy drops sharply on long-tail charts with diverse visual structures and reasoning requirements. Tool-augmented agents can improve complex chart reasoning by introducing specialized visual capabilities, but manually engineering strategies and tools for the heterogeneous and evolving long tail is difficult to scale. We introduce \textbf{ChartEvo}, a recursive self-improvement framework that enables chart agents to adapt to underperforming chart types through experience-driven harness-level self-improvement. ChartEvo jointly evolves reusable chart-specific Skills and executable Tools, while learning reusable local tool-call chains to compose evolved capabilities and control the inference overhead of tool-augmented reasoning. On long-tail charts from ChartBench and ChartX, ChartEvo improves accuracy over its base MLLM, Qwen3.7-Plus, by \textbf{45.6\%} and \textbf{32.5\%}, respectively, demonstrating the effectiveness of recursive self-improvement for long-tail chart adaptation.

Abstract: Causal discovery with latent confounding is particularly challenging, but a common setting in real-world data. In this work, we focus on linear causal models with latent confounding, represented by acyclic directed mixed graphs (ADMGs). Existing methods that fully identify ADMGs typically assume non-Gaussianity or graphical constraints, such as bow-freeness. In contrast, we propose Linear ADMG Learning (LinADMG), a framework for learning ADMGs for linear causal models through identifiable representation learning. Rather than relying on non-Gaussianity or bow-freeness, LinADMG leverages multi-domain settings to identify the noise variables. We show that the identifiability of the noise variables is sufficient for recovering all direct causal relations, and that, under an additional latent-confounding no-cancellation condition, LinADMG can identify the whole ADMG. We implement LinADMG with four identifiable representation learning approaches from the literature and validate the methods on simulated and semisynthetic datasets.

Abstract: LLM agents can now run causal discovery algorithms on a dataset and report what comes out. Whether they do more than that, such as noticing where an algorithm went wrong and fixing it with further tests, is hard to tell from current benchmarks. Most of them give the variables meaningful names, and an LLM shown only the names of the Tübingen cause-effect pairs already gets 99% of the directions right. With the names removed, the data are usually clean enough that picking a better algorithm than PC closes most of the gap. We introduce Heuresis, a benchmark of anonymous simulated datasets whose mechanisms range from linear Gaussian to heavy-tailed. For each family of datasets it separates what a better existing algorithm can gain from what only a closer look at the data can gain, and it traces every edge an agent changes. Every family leaves a gap that none of the algorithms, the router and the two causal-discovery foundation models we ran can close, so a score above the best chosen algorithm has to come from using the data. We instantiate the benchmark with an agent harness and three LLMs, GPT-6.1 Sol, Claude Opus 5.5 and Qwen 3.8 Flash. GPT-6.1 Sol surpasses the best chosen algorithm on all six families, by 14% adjacency F1 on the most difficult one, and Claude Opus 5.5 does so by 7.4% there. A third of the true edges the two agents restore on the two hardest families appear in no algorithm's output. The code and data will be publicly released to facilitate future work.

Abstract: Tabular data generation aims to synthesize realistic samples from limited observations while faithfully capturing the underlying data distribution. Tabular foundation models (TFMs), pretrained on diverse tabular tasks and adapted through in-context learning, have demonstrated strong predictive capabilities, suggesting the potential of extending this paradigm to tabular data generation. However, the strong predictive performance of TFMs often relies on sufficiently large context sets, whereas tabular generation is typically needed precisely when target data are scarce. Extending the foundation-model paradigm to generation therefore requires reliable distribution inference from only a limited context. To this end, we propose TabGift, a context-efficient tabular foundation model enabling both efficient distribution modeling and effective generation from only a few context samples. TabGift maps heterogeneous tables into a shared latent space with a pretrained tabular encoder, where an in-context diffusion model learns to denoise latent samples conditioned on a small set of clean examples. This design transfers generative priors across datasets and enables distribution inference from limited context, while a lightweight dataset-specific MLP decoder maps generated representations back to the original data space. Experiments on 7 classification and 11 regression datasets show that TabGift consistently outperforms representative baselines in synthetic data quality, with particularly strong gains under limited-context settings, while achieving substantially faster adaptation and generation.

Abstract: Recent advances in instruction-driven time series forecasting highlight a fundamental tension: systems must simultaneously master natural-language instruction following and precise numerical prediction. Current approaches often force a compromise. Large language models (LLMs) can interpret unstructured requests but may be inaccurate when asked to produce forecast values directly, whereas time series foundation models (TSFMs) provide numerical forecasts but typically require structured inputs specifying the target series, context window, and horizon. We present ChronoScribe, which applies semantic-numerical specialization to this workflow. A LoRA-adapted LLM proposes an execution path and context length; deterministic rules resolve the executable configuration. On the specialist path, a frozen TSFM produces quantile trajectories for the task-specified horizon. Deterministic trajectory summaries condition the response, while the LLM neither generates nor revises predicted values. We evaluate a Qwen3.5-9B--Chronos-2 implementation across 23 evaluation dimensions and 30 public datasets against eleven proprietary direct LLMs and three open TSFMs. ChronoScribe has the lowest error on sMAPE, MASE, WAPE, RMSE, and MAE among all evaluated systems, including fixed-context controls. Across these metrics, even the lowest direct-LLM error remains 2.0--2.7 times the corresponding ChronoScribe error. At the system level, ChronoScribe achieves a Task-Level Score (TLS) of 65.5, 10.6 points above the strongest direct-LLM baseline. The results support ChronoScribe's division of labor, in which the LLM handles interpretation, configuration, and communication while the TSFM handles numerical forecasting.

Abstract: Time-series forecasting plays a vital role in a wide range of real-world applications. Recent approaches have achieved strong performance by modeling temporal correlations and cross-channel dependencies, yet most forecasting benchmarks still represent time series primarily as numerical histories. In practice, time series are observations of complex real-world processes, and their trajectories may reflect events, interventions, disruptions, and changes in measurement or reporting that cannot always be inferred from past values alone. A central barrier to studying context-aware forecasting is therefore the lack of large-scale datasets that align real-world events with the individual series they affect. We present World2TS, a scalable construction framework and large-scale dataset for time-series forecasting with real-world event context. We first develop world2ts-core, a reusable tool that combines agent-led semantic reasoning and Web search, command-line execution and validation, and human review within a feedback-driven discovery workflow. Given heterogeneous time series with semantic descriptions, the workflow discovers candidate events, consolidates retrieved evidence into verified events, and links them to relevant series under explicit temporal and semantic scopes. Using this framework, we construct world2ts-data, which contains 31 datasets across six domains, comprising 4,179 series, 97.1 million observations, 1,159 events, and 56,846 event-series links. We further conduct extensive data analyses and controlled comparative experiments to characterize the dataset and demonstrate the utility of the collected context for improving forecasting accuracy. World2TS provides a reusable data foundation for developing and evaluating context-aware forecasting models and agents. The project homepage is available at https://world2ts.github.io/.

Abstract: Identifying causal effects from observational data typically requires a fully specified causal graph, an assumption that is often unrealistic in complex or high-dimensional settings. Causal abstractions address this limitation by retaining only partial causal information, thereby defining equivalence classes of compatible causal graphs. In this paper, we study causal effect identifiability directly at the level of these graph collections, rather than at the level of individual causal diagrams. We formalize several notions of identifiability in this setting and organize them into a hierarchy that clarifies their relationships and differences. In particular, we establish that a causal effect may be identified over a collection of graphs without admitting a single causal derivation that holds uniformly across all compatible graphs. These results help reveal gaps and clarify ambiguities in the existing literature.

Abstract: Non-autoregressive multi-step forecasting (NAF) enables time series foundation models to predict an entire future horizon in a single forward pass. Despite its strong sequence modeling capabilities, RWKV-7 exhibits long-horizon degradation in our NAF experiments. In this setup, future patches are represented as missing inputs, requiring the recurrent state to evolve across the prediction horizon without new observations. Our analysis of RWKV-7's generalized delta rule suggests a mechanism we term Placeholder Idling Decay (PID): repeated state transitions can attenuate historical information when placeholder-driven writes provide insufficient compensation. Layer-wise analysis reveals reduced state-injection norms in most layers, while transition-matrix norms remain similar between historical and prediction regions, consistent with PID. Motivated by this analysis, we propose HART, a Hybrid Attention-RWKV Time-series Foundation Model that alternates attention and RWKV blocks, combining direct access to historical tokens with recurrent temporal modeling. Controlled experiments on GIFT-Eval and TIME-Benchmark show that HART improves over pure RWKV at medium and long horizons while maintaining comparable short-horizon performance, and achieves better aggregate performance than a comparably sized pure Transformer. With 36M parameters, HART achieves long-horizon MASE comparable to Toto-2.0-1B on GIFT-Eval (0.752 vs. 0.754), using approximately 1/28 of its parameters.

Abstract: Data video is a media form that integrates data visualization with video narrative, widely adopted in news reporting and business analysis. Compared with general video understanding, data video understanding places greater emphasis on accurately reading data from animated charts, integrating evidence across charts and time, and understanding how narrative organization and visual design communicate information. Yet existing benchmarks target either general videos or static charts, and data video understanding has not been systematically evaluated. We present DataVista, the first benchmark for data video understanding, containing 961 real-world data videos and 6,775 evaluation questions organized under a three-level progressive capability framework (data perception, temporal reasoning, narrative understanding) with 10 fine-grained question types across five topic domains. Systematic evaluation of 19 mainstream MLLMs shows that the best-performing model, Gemini-3.1-Pro, achieves 70.0% overall accuracy, still far below human expert performance, with models performing worst on Causal Reasoning and Narrative Structure. Increasing frame counts and adding subtitles mainly benefit data perception and temporal reasoning, with limited gains in narrative understanding. Further analysis of model responses identifies typical failure modes in chart reading, evidence judgment, and instruction understanding. The benchmark is available at https://github.com/HKUSTDial/DataVista.

Abstract: Time-series question answering (TSQA) requires grounding linguistic queries and diverse answer formats in complex numerical observations. However, existing methods heavily overfit to specific datasets and struggle to generalize when input series, question contexts, and answer requirements shift simultaneously. To address this challenge, we propose TSHarness, an agentic framework that establishes a decoupled workflow for cross-dataset zero-shot TSQA. At its core, TSHarness divides and conquers numerical perception and contextual reasoning via a structured Time-Series Perception State (TPS). Guided by a reusable memory of analytical knowledge, a learned Tool Selector adaptively invokes numerical tools to extract salient statistical and temporal features into the TPS. The answering agent then performs semantic reasoning over the TPS to generate target outputs, triggering iterative re-perception through the feedback loop when evidence is deemed insufficient. By separating numerical feature extraction from question-specific reasoning, TSHarness eliminates the need for target-side training or answer feedback, providing a generalizable, cost-efficient foundation for zero-shot TSQA.

Abstract: We investigate error discovery and handling in question answering over imperfect tables through controlled studies across three large language models (LLMs) on human-reviewed RADAR-T examples. Answering questions over these tables requires handling errors that can affect the answer. We vary row order and compare original, error-marked, and repaired tables to test whether discovery depends on where errors appear and whether providing their locations is sufficient for accurate question answering. First, reordering rows changes error discovery even when the table contents and gold answer remain unchanged. Complete discovery is higher for back than front placements and, averaged over the tested mean positions, for compact than widely spaced layouts. Second, providing verified error locations alone is insufficient for accurate QA, leaving a substantial accuracy gap between error-marked and repaired tables. Providing tables with human-reviewed repairs already applied raises code-assisted QA accuracy by 39.0-59.1 percentage points over the error-marked tables across the three systems. GBDI, a simple workflow, puts these findings into practice by combining error discovery across shuffled table views with explicit guidance for verifying and handling the reported errors. On RADAR-T, GBDI raises observed QA accuracy by 3.8-18.5 percentage points over a code-agent baseline across five systems. These results highlight the importance of both reliable error discovery and effective error handling in question answering over imperfect tables. Our anonymous repository is available at https://anonymous.4open.science/r/GBDI-ICLR-2027-85BD/

Abstract: Question answering over spreadsheet collections requires finding the correct workbook and computing over complete tables. We introduce Find-then-Compute (FiCo), which retrieves document summaries, disambiguates similar workbooks, and executes constrained Structured Query Language (SQL) over the selected full table. On DataBench (80 datasets, 1,810 questions), FiCo reaches 76.2% accuracy: 9.9 points above a strong TableRAG-style baseline on the same frozen workbook choices (66.3%) under the tracks' prespecified evaluators, and 63.4 points above prefix RAG (12.8%). On 508 MiMoTable questions, FiCo reaches 79.7%, versus 22.2% for prefix RAG. Giving the strong baseline the gold workbook raises it from 66.3% to 76.3%, exposing a 10.0-point source-selection cost under fixed compute. Despite 95.1% document recall and 98.5% executable SQL, only 81.3% of questions execute on the gold workbook. FiCo's advantage comes from integrating semantic source selection with exact, schema-grounded computation.

Abstract: A cardinality constraint written on an edge of an entity-relationship diagram admits two opposite readings. Under the reading used by UML and by Chen's original model, the label is read with the entity set on the same side of the relationship; under the reading used by standard database textbooks, it is read with the entity set on the opposite side. The two readings are exact opposites, so a reader who assumes the wrong one takes away the opposite of what the designer meant. For binary relationships the difficulty is confined to interpretation, because the two constraints a binary relationship set admits can both be drawn. For relationships among three or more entity sets the picture is worse: a ternary relationship set admits twelve cardinality constraints, and a diagram with three edges can carry at most three of them. This paper presents a notation, Card(R; p; q) = (lower, upper), that removes the ambiguity without taking a side in it, and that is not limited to one constraint per edge. We give the number of constraints an n-ary relationship set admits, show which of them a design determines without ever writing them down, and state two inference rules, decomposition and augmentation, that derive one constraint from another, together with the side conditions under which each is sound. We close with a worked case study that turns three business requirements into three explicit constraints and nine more that the design decides on its own.

Abstract: Tabular foundation models (TFMs) achieve strong predictive performance through in-context learning, yet repeatedly conditioning on labeled data makes inference expensive. Knowledge distillation can reduce this cost by transferring their predictive ability to lightweight, dataset-specific students. However, the dependence of TFM predictions on both a labeled context and a query introduces two design questions: how to construct teacher supervision and whether expanding query coverage improves distillation. We examine these questions across two TFMs and both neural and tree-based students, and derive an effective distillation recipe. The recipe uses the full labeled training set as teacher context and trains students solely on teacher predictions for observed and synthetic queries. On TabArena, the resulting students outperform their supervised trained tuned-and-ensembled counterparts by 57-98 Elo points. Applied unchanged to TALENT, the same recipe improves matched default students on 236-258 of 300 datasets and reduces median primary error by 4.0-6.4%. The distilled students also achieve median inference speedups of 3.0-21.6 times over their teachers, offering a practical trade-off between predictive performance and repeated inference cost. Code is available at https://github.com/nums-ai/TFM_Distillation .

Abstract: This paper presents an LLM-assisted workflow for visualizing structural differences in evolving software require- ments. Implemented in the OntologyWeb environment, the work- flow represents baseline and current requirements as triple-based semantic graphs and supports side-by-side comparison of curated graph snapshots. The comparison view aligns matched entities and uses visual encoding to highlight structural changes.

Abstract: Enterprise data agents must preserve organization specific semantics, not just translate questions into queries. We present ChinaUnicom DataAgent (UniDataAgent), an ontology grounded system for reusable question-to-report analysis that separates semantic acquisition from online execution. Ontology Acquisition and Validation stage (OAV) builds versioned enterprise ontologies from metadata, business knowledge, and supporting materials through expert authored business skills, constrained generation, question verification, and selected expert review. Question-to-Report Execution (QRE) stage retrieves semantic contracts for each question, coordinates skills and data tools, validates results, and produces evidence linked reports. Across 27 enterprise tables and roughly thousands of metric types, ontology construction took a few hours instead of about one week manually. It took just a few minutes to generate the reports, instead of several working days. Ontology grounding achieved 95.0\% strict accuracy on real business questions, versus 72.5\% for document RAG, especially on structured and compositional tasks. The system has already been deployed to generate cost savings and has the potential to be replicated in other enterprises.

Abstract: Non-technical stakeholders frequently cannot write the SQL needed to extract insights from operational databases. We built and evaluated a Text-to-SQL agent that closes this gap end to end: a six-node LangGraph StateGraph checks question relevance, fetches the live schema, generates PostgreSQL, validates it with a dry run, retries on failure, executes the query, and narrates the result set in plain English. The agent uses prompt engineering only; no model was fine-tuned. We evaluated it on the Chicago Crime dataset (approximately 8.5 million records, 22 attributes) against a hand-built benchmark of 100 natural language questions with ground-truth SQL, stratified into 30 Easy, 40 Medium and 30 Hard items. Comparing two prompt revisions of the same agent, the revised system (V2) reached a Valid SQL Rate of 93% (from 87%), an Execution Accuracy of 60% under a hybrid relational equivalence metric (from 47%; 19% from 12% under strict JSON matching), and a mean Synthesis Quality of 4.34 out of 5 (from 3.91). The single largest driver was removing a LIMIT 10 instruction from the system prompt, which had been truncating multi-row answers. Error analysis attributes the residual failures to relevance-checker false rejections, ambiguous question semantics, and free-tier API rate limits rather than to the language generation step. We report no comparison against an external baseline system or a public benchmark; the study is a single-model engineering evaluation.

Abstract: Semantic cell annotation improves chunking interpretability for spreadsheets in LLM-driven RAG systems, aiding answer generation through enriched context rather than improved retrieval accuracy. We propose a novel framework of splitting any spreadsheet into interpretable chunks using cell role annotation. Our framework beats the state of the art, yet it faces a hard ceiling. Spreadsheets are fundamentally two-dimensional unstructured data with continuous relationships and infinite potential cell roles. Because classification models are restricted to finite, pre-defined classes, they cannot perfectly capture this structural nuance, even with human-level annotation. We show that addressing the spreadsheet-to-LLM bottleneck requires moving beyond discrete cell classification. Instead, the field must develop dimensionality-reduction techniques to directly flatten 2D unstructured spreadsheets into 1D unstructured text. Text chunks would be easier for downstream RAG to interpret and generate from.

Abstract: Discrete choice model specification is a time-consuming task in which modellers often specify and estimate multiple models while balancing goodness-of-fit, parsimony, and behavioural plausibility. We present Delphos, a multitask reinforcement learning framework that learns transferable specification strategies across transport choice datasets. Delphos frames model specification as a sequential decision-making problem in which it applies a sequence of modelling actions and receives feedback from an estimation environment based on model performance and convergence. To transfer modelling decisions across datasets with different sets of variables, Delphos represents utility specifications as sets of modelling terms using a DeepSet-Q architecture, allowing a shared specification policy to learn across multiple datasets. Trained on nine transport choice datasets, Delphos consistently outperforms independently trained single-task agents, indicating that sharing modelling experience improves learning efficiency and helps identify promising sequences of modelling decisions with fewer unsuccessful estimation attempts. When applied without further training to the unseen Swissmetro and Decisions datasets, the same agent identifies competitive specifications in less than 20 minutes on a standard CPU. It achieves a higher log-likelihood per observation than the VNS metaheuristic on Swissmetro and performance comparable to a published MNL specification developed by expert modellers on Decisions. These findings show that accumulating and reusing modelling experience enables Delphos to function as an intelligent assistant for discrete choice model specification. It reduces manual trial-and-error while allowing modellers to retain control over model diagnosis, refinement, and final selection.

Abstract: General-purpose AI lets users choose what support to request, but leaves them to structure the support a professional task requires. We examine how interactive workflows can embed professional task structure without prescribing how users engage with AI. We designed two scaffolded interfaces around the same negotiation scaffold: one presented a completed AI analysis, while the other supported user-directed, incremental development. A four-condition randomized experiment with 800 participants compared these interfaces with no-AI and an AI chat interface. AI-supported conditions improved preparation coverage over unaided work; the scaffolded workflows further improved coverage over chat. Although the scaffolded workflows produced similar coverage, the user-directed workflow elicited a broader repertoire of analytic requests and lower subjective effort. Professional scaffolding therefore depends not only on displayed structure but on how workflows organize users' engagement with it. Effective professional AI must structure how users and AI build analysis together.

Abstract: Classification and regression trees are typically constructed using a greedy splitting rule that maximizes the immediate reduction in prediction error at each node. Although this strategy is computationally efficient, it can miss splits that yield small short-term gains but create substantial downstream improvements after further partitioning. We propose a look-ahead tree-building method that evaluates each candidate split by the prediction error reduction achieved after growing a conventional CART subtree below that split. Because the full look-ahead procedure can be computationally expensive, we also describe a smart look-ahead algorithm that learns downstream split values using node-level features. The proposed framework preserves the interpretability of recursive partitioning while improving split selection in hierarchical or interaction-driven settings. We conduct a simulation study comparing conventional, full look-ahead, and smart look-ahead methods under several settings and apply the proposed methods to analyze two real data examples demonstrating the merit of the new methods.

Abstract: AI-driven automated decision-making requires both predictive performance and interpretability. Recent advances in interpretable machine learning (IML) provide tools for explaining model predictions, but the technical complexity of these explanations may hinder accessibility to non-experts. To address this challenge, this study integrates data storytelling with IML to enhance the explainability of AI-generated decisions for a broader audience. Following the design science research (DSR) paradigm, this study proposes a formal definition of data storytelling in IML, introduces the DIST Pyramid to align data storytelling with IML, and presents the I-P-O Model to describe their interactions. It further develops an architecture to explain AI decisions through distinct "What-if" and "Why-not" event-generation processes. The architecture also employs data desensitization to protect sensitive input data. To validate the approach, a case study is conducted with the Boston Housing dataset, using SHapley Additive exPlanations (SHAP) values and large language models (LLMs) to generate data stories with And-But-Therefore (ABT) structures. An empirical evaluation shows that 76.4% and 74.3% of respondents rated the "What-if" and "Why-not" data stories as more comprehensible, with significantly higher accessibility scores than traditional SHAP visualizations. The paper concludes with the presentation of a narrative interpretation framework that integrates IML and data storytelling, thereby expanding the research scope as well as the practical applicability of AI decision-making.

Abstract: Large language models (LLMs) can struggle with time-series question answering (TS-QA), especially when numerical signals are serialized as text and require explicit computation. Tool-augmented approaches improve performance, but existing systems often intertwine language reasoning, computation, and perception, making it difficult to determine which components drive the gains. We present T-SMART, a neurosymbolic framework that separates these roles: a frozen LLM interprets questions and selects operations, deterministic tools perform numerical computation, and structured perception is invoked only when needed. Controlled paired ablations show that deterministic computation provides the dominant benefit, improving accuracy by 31.7 percentage points over direct LLM reasoning on serialized time series, while language understanding and perception offer smaller complementary gains. These results indicate that tool-augmented TS-QA benefits primarily from reliable numerical execution rather than additional language-model reasoning and provide a controlled framework for analyzing component contributions in neurosymbolic time-series systems.

Abstract: Synthetic relational data is normally produced by a model trained on a real dataset, and its quality is measured as the distance to that dataset. This paper describes a generator that has no real dataset at either end. Given an industry, a company size, a business model, a set of business applications, and a random seed, it produces a complete fictional enterprise: a workforce, a customer base, sales deals, support tickets, recorded calls, chat messages, and documents, all consistent with one another. One entity graph is projected into the native formats of 66 business products, so the same customer appears in the CRM, the support desk, and the call system under one identity. Because no real counterpart exists, realism is built in from cited reference statistics and verified by reference-free measurement: a five-axis scorecard of 28 statistical checks, an adversarial detector that hunts for the marks of synthetic generation, and a set of soundness checks that include a classifier test against an independently shuffled copy of the data. Because these instruments existed before the generator was tuned, progress is measured under a fixed yardstick: over 23 generated companies, mean realism climbed from 60.3 to 99.1, the weakest company from 41.1 to 94.9, and the detector, which initially flagged 55.2% of all records, now flags none. The scores hold on a seed never used during development. A second generator builds relational databases from a list of business questions. It forces qualifying rows for each answerable question, adds controlled near misses, and computes exact labels from the finished tables. The generator runs as a hosted service at https://console.era.eon.io. A company built there to a specification is served through its simulators over MCP and REST, and the simulators are also published as container images for offline use

Abstract: Feature transformation improves predictive performance on tabular data by constructing informative abstractions from raw features. Recent generative approaches encode transformation knowledge into continuous embedding spaces for efficient exploration of candidate strategies, but face three key limitations: (1) overlooking hierarchical relationships between low-level features, operations, and high-level abstractions; (2) enforcing order-sensitive embeddings on inherently permutation-invariant transformation sequences, thereby introducing systematic bias; and (3) relying on gradient-based search, which is ill-suited to non-convex transformation spaces. We propose a framework with two complementary components. First, a permutation-invariant hierarchical module captures interactions across features, operations, and abstraction levels, with a self-attention pooling mechanism that maps semantically equivalent structures to consistent embeddings aligned with downstream performance. Second, a policy-guided multi-objective reinforcement learning strategy initializes the search from empirically strong seeds and jointly optimizes predictive accuracy and transformation efficiency. Extensive experiments on diverse tabular benchmarks demonstrate the effectiveness and robustness of our framework against strong baselines. Our code and data are publicly available at: https://github.com/RayLiu1103/PHER.