autonomous systems developers

Abstract: Model selection and hyperparameter tuning pose a central challenge in off-policy evaluation (OPE) because errors of fitted Q-functions and occupancy-ratio estimates cannot be directly evaluated from held-out transitions. Bellman-residual and minimax validation methods often require auxiliary regressions or optimization over separate critic classes, adding computational and tuning costs. We introduce pairwise Bellman validation (PBV), a tuning-free minimax procedure for selecting among finite classes of fitted Q-functions and occupancy-ratio estimators using held-out transitions. PBV constructs critics from pairwise candidate differences, requiring only finitely many empirical moment calculations without auxiliary validation models or separate critic optimization. We establish finite-sample oracle inequalities relative to the best available candidate, even under candidate-class misspecification. Our key insight is that Q-function errors and log ratios between candidate and true occupancy ratios provide oracle critics whose Bellman and adjoint Bellman moments control estimation error. Pairwise candidate differences approximate these unknown critics, while penalties account for comparator approximation error. For Q-function selection, we first develop unweighted PBV, which evaluates pairwise Bellman moments under the offline distribution and admits oracle guarantees under a pairwise coercivity condition relating the offline distribution to the target-policy dynamics. We then develop target-aligned PBV (TA-PBV), which uses marginalized importance weighting to provide error control without pairwise coercivity. For occupancy-ratio selection, we develop adjoint PBV (A-PBV), which evaluates adjoint Bellman moments against log-ratio critics. On Hopper and Deep OPE, unweighted PBV performs competitively, while target-occupancy weighting can improve performance in settings with controlled overlap.

Abstract: Learning to predict how the world evolves can provide vision-language-action (VLA) policies with predictive context for long-horizon control, but its effectiveness depends on what future representation is modeled and how it conditions action generation. We introduce PLaW-VLA, which models task-relevant future states in a pretrained prediction-oriented representation space, reducing the need to predict control-irrelevant visual details. Built on a Mixture-of-Transformers architecture, PLaW-VLA conditions action generation on observation history, current task semantics, and predicted future states through structured causal attention. Experiments show a +11.8 percentage-point (pp) gain over reactive policies on RoboTwin Hard Horizon III and a +1.77 pp gain over reconstruction-oriented latent prediction on zero-shot LIBERO-Plus, supporting improved long-horizon control and generalization under distribution shift, respectively. By avoiding low-level visual reconstruction, PLaW-VLA lowers the burden of future prediction, enabling a lightweight latent world model with parallel future prediction and about 1/19 the inference latency of generative world-action modeling at comparable policy performance.

Abstract: Vision-Language-Action (VLA) models have become a major paradigm for Vision-and-Language Navigation (VLN). However, in safety-critical facilities, invisible risks such as radiation or temperature spikes cannot be detected by an RGB camera, and handling each risk is expensive, requiring a new encoder, new data, and model retraining. We propose Physics-Guided Visual Prompting (PG-VP), a plug-and-play multimodal perception module that instead reuses what a frozen VLA model already does well: avoiding visible obstacles. Given a proximal radiation or thermal source, PG-VP performs a physics-guided risk assessment to determine the avoidance direction and overlays a corresponding virtual obstacle that moves across consecutive frames (Dynamic Visual Prompting). The navigation policy then naturally detours around this invisible hazard. The identical virtual obstacle is used regardless of hazard type, so the visual prompting pattern remains fixed as sensors are added. When no hazard is detected, nothing is rendered, and the policy behaves exactly as it would without PG-VP. We evaluate PG-VP on OmniNav using the val-unseen splits of R2R-CE and RxR-CE, where it guides the policy toward intended low-risk actions in 84.9% and 83.2% of cases, at a cost of 6.8 and 7.9 percentage points in navigation success rate. We further test it with distinct scenarios on a real robot in the presence of actual thermal and radiation sources, all without any retraining. The real test shows that PG-VP effectively avoids these invisible hazards, improving worst-10% average trajectory safety by 63.45% and 32.59% against thermal and radiation sources, respectively.

Abstract: We study Bayesian optimization (BO) through the lens of information geometry. Pulling back the Fisher information metric through the surrogate posterior map yields a local sensitivity tensor on the input space, which leads to an upper bound on the gradient of reparameterizable acquisition functions. This view explains vanishing-gradient behavior in high-dimensional BO and provides a common interpretation of heuristics such as RAASP and dimension-scaled lengthscales. Building on this analysis, we propose FITR, a trust-region-based BO method that replaces lengthscale-based scaling by local pullback-Fisher weights. FITR is not restricted to GP kernels with explicit lengthscales. On GP benchmarks with an SE kernel, experiments show competitive performance using FITR. The proposed method also easily generalizes to non-isotropic surrogates, although the gains are more task-dependent in that setting.

Abstract: We present \emph{commonsense ranked search} (CoRS), a novel path planner that turns an abstract instruction into a route that follows commonsense. While existing methods respect the considerations written down in advance, a robot working among people must follow those left unstated too, as with a wet floor that a worker avoids without being told. CoRS leverages large language models (LLMs) and vision-language models (VLMs) as commonsense knowledge to reason about these latent considerations in its planning. Given an abstract instruction (\emph{e.g.}, ``move carefully'') and visual observations of each region in the environment, CoRS derives a consideration for each region, as in ``this wet floor is slippery and worth a detour.'' It then compares the considerations between regions to see which of the two the robot should avoid more, as in ``the crowd is worse than the wet floor.'' These judgments sort the regions into a commonsense ranking, whose costs drive a conventional search that always returns a valid route. We build a benchmark for planning under latent considerations, with three environments, 1350 problems, and five instructions at three levels of abstraction. Experiments show that CoRS discovers the unstated considerations and goes around the ones worth a detour while crossing the rest, a behavior that recent LLM-based planners do not achieve.