Papers for

algorithmic trading firms

Papers whose findings have a practical use for this group, as judged from the abstract. Open a paper to read what it means in practice.

AlphaRLM trains language models to create market prediction formulas

AlphaRLM: Aligning Language Models for Literature-Grounded Symbolic Factor Discovery

Abstract: Formulaic alpha mining seeks to discover executable expressions that capture predictive market signals in a vast, noisy search space. Recent LLM-based approaches use prompting, iterative search, or seed-factor evolution, leaving direct factor construction through policy learning less explored. To address this, we introduce AlphaRLM, a reinforcement-learning framework that trains LLMs to construct executable symbolic factors from financial literature without input factor expressions. AlphaRLM incorporates Literature-Guided Operator Assembly (LEGO), which conditions factor construction on literature-derived ideas and executable operators, providing semantic priors for exploration. It further aligns the generation policy with market feedback through executable-validity and grouped-return-separation rewards that capture non-monotonic structures across factor quantiles. Extensive experiments on CSI 300, CSI 1000, and S&P 500 show that AlphaRLM outperforms strong factor-mining and LLM-based baselines in annualized excess return. Notably, the 8B model achieves strong cross-market performance, highlighting the promise of literature-conditioned, market-aligned factor generation.

Sat 10 OctArtificial IntelligenceComputation and LanguageMachine Learning
The gist
Finding formulas that predict financial markets is tough because the search space is huge and noisy. The authors present AlphaRLM, which teaches language models using reinforcement learning to build executable formulas based on ideas from financial literature. This approach aligns formula creation with real market performance by rewarding expressions that work well on market data. Their method outperforms other smart approaches in predicting stock market returns across different markets. This shows promise for combining financial texts and market signals to discover useful trading strategies.
Open → 2610.14959v1

Financial agents evaluated by separating skill from chance in event choices

Agent Policy-Value Audit: Separating Transition Composition from Event Selection in Financial LLM Agents

Abstract: Financial LLM agents are often evaluated by comparing their end-to-end returns with those of a baseline and testing the paired difference against zero. This measures whether deploying the agent changes realized performance, but it does not isolate event-selection skill. An agent that frequently changes positions from flat to long can earn a positive paired return from an upward-drifting event pool even when it selects events at random. We propose the Agent Policy-Value Audit, which holds fixed the observed count of each ordered action-change type and randomly reassigns them across eligible events. The average payoff from these reassignments is the composition benchmark; the difference between observed deployment value and this benchmark is selection value. In semi-synthetic benchmarks based on real earnings-event returns, a zero-centered paired test falsely attributes passive exposure to selection skill in $11.6\%$ of no-skill replications, while the transition-matched audit reduces this rate to $5.3\%$. Applied retrospectively to 723 earnings events at 44 U.S. consumer-facing firms, the audit decomposes the agent's gross deployment value of $+15.2$ bps/event into a $+25.8$ composition benchmark and a $-10.6$ selection value. The agent does not detectably outperform matched random assignments. Financial-agent evaluations should report deployment value separately from event-selection value.

Fri 2 OctArtificial Intelligence
The gist
Measuring how well financial AI agents pick profitable events is tricky because sometimes an agent’s returns look good even if it chooses randomly. The authors propose a new method called the Agent Policy-Value Audit that keeps certain action patterns fixed and mixes them randomly to see if the agent’s success really comes from making good choices or just from market trends. Testing on real and simulated data shows this method reduces false claims of skill. Their findings suggest future evaluations should clearly separate overall returns from actual event-selection skill.
Open → 2610.04040v1