air traffic controllers

Abstract: The rapid growth of resident space objects is increasing the complexity of space situational awareness sensor tasking, challenging classical optimization methods as they allocate finite, heterogeneous, and distributed sensing resources across ever-larger catalogues. Existing deep reinforcement learning approaches show promise in reduced settings, but fixed-dimensional state and action representations limit their ability to scale to large, dynamic catalogues and distributed sensing networks. We introduce VISTA (Variable-Entity Intelligent Sensor Tasking Architecture), a scalable deep reinforcement learning architecture for persistent uncertainty-driven catalogue maintenance across variable object populations and sensor configurations. VISTA combines physics- and mission-informed top-K retrieval with entity-centric attention, recurrent memory, and pointer-based action decoding, thereby keeping each agent's observation and action spaces independent of catalogue size. We evaluate VISTA across different scenarios, from fixed-size single-sensor benchmarks to large-scale space-based tasking and heterogeneous cooperative sensing. With 30 orbiting targets, VISTA recovers the catalogue 31.2% faster than the fixed-dimensional recurrent baseline. In the large-scale regime, VISTA reduces five-hour uncertainty by 97.5% relative to the strongest classical reference and by 99.3% relative to the recurrent learner. Zero-shot tests up to 20,000 objects reveal near-linear relations between sensing capacity, catalogue size, and recovery horizon. Learned policies also exhibit sensor modality adaptation and generalization to population and initial-uncertainty shifts. Together, these results demonstrate that VISTA provides a scalable framework for adaptive space situational awareness sensor tasking across large, distributed networks of heterogeneous ground- and space-based sensors.

Abstract: Building accurate decision-support tools for next-generation air traffic control requires robust trajectory prediction models. We present a flow-matching architecture trained exclusively on historical aircraft trajectories, with no route labels or chart supervision. Trained on 1.15 million Automatic Dependent Surveillance-Broadcast trajectory windows collected over the San Francisco Bay Area, the model generates aircraft trajectory distributions that closely match historical traffic, reproducing known airspace structure around San Francisco Airport such as the shape of SFO's published NIITE FOUR departure procedure. Our model is trained directly on the native, irregular ADS-B sampling interval. Trajectory prediction is cast as sequence inpainting using a block-causal Transformer that denoises future state tokens conditioned on the observed history using Conditional Flow Matching or Denoising Diffusion Probabilistic Models. We compare our architecture against constant-velocity, deterministic-Long Short Term Memory, and Conditional Variational Autoencoders baselines. At matched parameter count, CFM outperforms DDPM by 11-26% in minADE@20, and both generative objectives surpass the CVAE baseline by 31-41%. We further show that the error degrades gracefully with prediction horizon, and the architecture remains effective when retrained on temporally decimated feeds. Lastly, we sample $K$ independent completions, yielding spatial probabilistic occupancy estimates that can serve as input to downstream conflict-risk estimation.

Abstract: Generative AI is increasingly being used informally in Air Traffic Management (ATM) for tasks such as flight plan generation, trajectory interpretation, and constraint checking. Although these tools can reduce workload and accelerate planning, their non-deterministic outputs create safety and operational risks in human-in-the-loop settings. This paper proposes the AI Trust and Assurance Layer (ATAL), a model-agnostic decision assurance architecture that evaluates whether AI-generated flight-planning outputs are sufficiently reliable for operational use. ATAL combines semantic stability under prompt variation, operational consistency of structured outputs, and normative constraint validation against domain rules, and maps these signals to a Decision Readiness Level (DRL) for human operators. An ATM-inspired experimental study shows how unsafe, inconsistent, or misleading outputs can be identified before influencing flight-plan validation or execution. Although demonstrated in aviation, the framework is also transferable to other safety-critical decision-support domains that require human oversight under regulatory constraints.