Papers for
aerospace design teams
Papers whose findings have a practical use for this group, as judged from the abstract. Open a paper to read what it means in practice.
Bayesian model updating method removes sampling noise for faster inference
A Bayesian Model Updating Framework for Systems Under Hybrid Uncertainties via Probability Integral Transform and Maximum Mean Discrepancy
Abstract: Model updating under hybrid uncertainty is challenging because aleatory input variability makes the simulator output a probability distribution rather than a scalar, rendering the likelihood analytically intractable. Existing Approximate Bayesian Computation (ABC) methods typically employ nested Monte Carlo sampling, where aleatory samples are redrawn for each epistemic parameter evaluation, introducing sampling noise into the discrepancy and consequently affecting posterior inference and model evidence. This paper eliminates this resampling noise by construction. The probability integral transform (PIT) converts the stochastic simulator into a deterministic map of distribution-free latent variables and epistemic parameters. By freezing a set of stratified quantile particles, the resulting discrepancy becomes a deterministic, sampling-noise-free function of the unknown parameters. Transitional Markov Chain Monte Carlo (TMCMC) is then employed for posterior inference and model evidence estimation. The framework is validated on a two-dimensional benchmark, a high-dimensional transient oscillator, and Subproblem A of the NASA Langley Multidisciplinary Uncertainty Quantification Challenge. The complete Bayesian analysis is achieved in approximately half a minute on a standard desktop workstation.
Digital twin models reduce costs and mirror fluid dynamics accurately
High-Fidelity Digital Twin Data Models by Randomized Dynamic Mode Decomposition and Deep Learning with Applications in Fluid Dynamics
Abstract: The purpose of this paper is the identification of high-fidelity digital twin data models from numerical code outputs by non-intrusive techniques (i.e., not requiring Galerkin projection of the governing equations onto the reduced modes basis). In this paper the author defines the concept of the digital twin data model (DTM) as a model of reduced complexity that has the main feature of mirroring the original process behavior. The significant advantage of a DTM is to reproduce the dynamics with high accuracy and reduced costs in CPU time and hardware for settings difficult to explore because of the complexity of the dynamics over time. This paper introduces a new framework for creating efficient digital twin data models by combining two state-of-the-art tools: randomized dynamic mode decomposition and deep learning artificial intelligence. It is shown that the outputs are consistent with the original source data with the advantage of reduced complexity. The DTMs are investigated in the numerical simulation of three shock wave phenomena with increasing complexity. The author performs a thorough assessment of the performance of the new digital twin data models in terms of numerical accuracy and computational efficiency.